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Problems Found With '04 Exit Polls
Foxnews.com ^ | Wednesday, January 19, 2005 | AP

Posted on 01/19/2005 9:55:38 AM PST by MikefromOhio

NEW YORK — Two firms that conducted Election Day exit polls for major news organizations reported Wednesday that they found a number of problems with the way the polls were carried out last year, resulting in estimates that overstated John Kerry's share of the vote.

Edison Media Research (search) and Mitofsky International (search) found that the Democratic challenger's supporters were more likely than President Bush's supporters to participate in exit polls interviews. They also found that more errors occurred in exit polls conducted by younger interviewers, and about half of the interviewers were 34 or under.

The polling firms laid out their findings to the consortium of news organizations, known as the National Election Pool. See the results of the study by clicking here (pdf).

The news organizations — ABC, CBS, NBC, CNN, FOX News and The Associated Press — formed the consortium to get exit polling data for the 2004 election after a previous group known as the Voter News Service was disbanded.

In November 2000, flawed information from VNS twice led television networks to incorrectly declare a winner in the presidential race in Florida, the state that proved to be key to the outcome. And in the 2002 election, VNS was unable to provide its members and other clients with results from exit poll surveys.

(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...


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Hopefully the DUmmie meltdown will continue....?
1 posted on 01/19/2005 9:55:39 AM PST by MikefromOhio
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To: MikeinIraq

Big surprise


2 posted on 01/19/2005 9:56:35 AM PST by bgnn32
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To: MikeinIraq

Didn't we figure that out by 6:00 PM election day?


3 posted on 01/19/2005 9:56:52 AM PST by Semper Paratus
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To: MikeinIraq

In other news...

Bear Sh*ts in Woods, Scientists Baffled
Sky Really Blue, says Government Study
Pigs Can't Fly, Study Shows


4 posted on 01/19/2005 9:58:12 AM PST by RockinRight (Sanford for President in '08!)
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To: MikeinIraq

Not possible. Cannot be true. The exit polls are the only true measure of the vote. The actual ballots should not count. Only the exit polls.


5 posted on 01/19/2005 9:58:26 AM PST by RtWngr (Being tolerant of the intolerant is pretty stupid actually.)
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To: MikeinIraq
Edison Media Research (search) and Mitofsky International

Quick, find their donation history! I bet they are right wing fascists!

6 posted on 01/19/2005 9:58:27 AM PST by smith288 (I have posted over 10,000 times. The more I post, the more intelligent you become!)
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To: MikeinIraq

Rove strikes again!


7 posted on 01/19/2005 9:59:05 AM PST by Rebelbase (Who is General Chat?)
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To: bgnn32

Isn't it....but its up on Foxnews.com like its breaking news or something....


8 posted on 01/19/2005 9:59:12 AM PST by MikefromOhio (DO I need a new screen name? I am no longer in Iraq :) 18 to keep 8 to change so far)
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To: MikeinIraq
DUmmies are going to be so upset!
9 posted on 01/19/2005 9:59:39 AM PST by areafiftyone (Democrats = the hamster is dead but the wheel is still spinning)
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To: Semper Paratus

hell I had that figured out about 4 PM that day, from seeing Drudge and having my own experience....


10 posted on 01/19/2005 9:59:42 AM PST by MikefromOhio (DO I need a new screen name? I am no longer in Iraq :) 18 to keep 8 to change so far)
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To: RtWngr

Ahem /sarcasm!


11 posted on 01/19/2005 9:59:43 AM PST by rocksblues (Sgt. Rafael Peralta, American Hero, Everyone should know his name.)
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To: MikeinIraq
Edison Media Research (search) and Mitofsky International (search) found that the Democratic challenger's supporters were more likely than President Bush's supporters to participate in exit polls interviews.

The election was two months ago. It took them THAT long to figure this out? Its amazing how dumb smart people can be sometimes.

12 posted on 01/19/2005 9:59:50 AM PST by Personal Responsibility (Sometimes you have to fight when you're a man...)
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To: MikeinIraq

Does this mean that Kerry didn't really win?


13 posted on 01/19/2005 10:00:02 AM PST by Jedi Jake (www.bingewars.com)
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To: RockinRight

LOL!

Exactly what I was thinking...


14 posted on 01/19/2005 10:00:51 AM PST by MplsSteve
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To: MikeinIraq

Did they also discover the overwhelming majority of voters considered the exit pollsters to blithering mindless idiots?


15 posted on 01/19/2005 10:02:31 AM PST by odoso (Millions for charity, but not one penny for tribute!)
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To: MikeinIraq

Captain Obvious strikes again!


16 posted on 01/19/2005 10:02:37 AM PST by Little Pig (Is it time for "Cowboys and Muslims" yet?)
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To: MikeinIraq
...found that the Democratic challenger's supporters were more likely than President Bush's supporters to participate in exit polls interviews.

I would never contribute to an exit poll. I don't need some jagov with a clipboard asking me who I voted for and what religion I am. Worse than mall pollsters...

APf

17 posted on 01/19/2005 10:03:08 AM PST by APFel (Humanity has a poor track record of predicting its own future.)
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To: MikeinIraq

Really?
You mean they could have been skewed? What a shock!!!!!!


18 posted on 01/19/2005 10:03:10 AM PST by housedeep
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To: MikeinIraq

What!!? No kidding. Ya cudda knocked me over with a feather.


19 posted on 01/19/2005 10:03:29 AM PST by garyhope
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To: MikeinIraq
Edison Media Research (search) and Mitofsky International (search) found that the Democratic challenger's supporters were more likely than President Bush's supporters to participate in exit polls interviews. They also found that more errors occurred in exit polls conducted by younger interviewers, and about half of the interviewers were 34 or under.

Not only are conservatives more inherently likely to tell an exit poller to go stuff it, but there are clearly more exit pollers standing around in blue country as opposed to "flyover country". Exit polling is methodologically worthless.

20 posted on 01/19/2005 10:03:29 AM PST by jpl ("Liberals love America like O.J. loved Nicole." - Ann Coulter)
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