A civil war would be a failure and a victory for the insurgents.
"A civil war would be a failure and a victory for the insurgents."
So you think the Sunnis are just going to give up their centuries long hatred of Shia because Allawi "wins" the "election"?
A civil war is INEVITABLE.
"Why did we go there if we are going to let Iraq be broke up into tribes again ?"
Uh, WMD?
Saddam was a threat to the United States?
Remember that...?
"A civil war would be a failure and a victory for the insurgents."
Dittos on that ...
Moreover, the 'civil war' theory is a pile of garbage. Iraqis dont want that, just *listen* to the many iraqi politicians, leaders, and the polls; 85% want democracy and a unified and stable Iraq; only Saudis and their pawns in US establishment (paging Brent Scowcroft) that fear a real democratic Iraq want civil war or raise its spectre.
It's a hoax.
Just watch. A democratic Iraq will TOTALLY RESHAPE THE MIDDLE EAST, in ways that will make the turbaned ones in Iran, the Baathists in Syria and the Saudi royal soil themselves.
Not necessarily. Not if we helped the Shiites and the Kurds to overcome the Sunnis. Our presence would a) mitigate and minimize the influence of Iran with the Shiite leadership, b) associate us with the winning side, and c) provide practical help in exterminating the Ba'athist regime elements and their helpers.
It would also keep the Iraqi Shiites' and Kurds' communication lines open to the West in a number of ways and keep the Shiites from becoming puppets of the Iranians.