"A civil war would be a failure and a victory for the insurgents."
So you think the Sunnis are just going to give up their centuries long hatred of Shia because Allawi "wins" the "election"?
A civil war is INEVITABLE.
"Why did we go there if we are going to let Iraq be broke up into tribes again ?"
Uh, WMD?
Saddam was a threat to the United States?
Remember that...?
Regime Change. Remember that ? You buddy Blozo Clinton even said that.
"So you think the Sunnis are just going to give up their centuries long hatred of Shia because Allawi "wins" the "election"?"
You are quite ignorant of Iraqi realities. MOST sunni do not hate Shia... a small number of Saddam henchmen and supporters in the Sunni community are killing others to stop democracy in Iraq, because democracy means and end to their power forever.
That small minority - the 10,000 or so who take up arms, and the Sunni supporters around them... are a tiny fraction of Iraq, which has over 25 million people.
That's not a 'civil war', that's a remnant of Baathist/Sunni power. About to go the way of the Confederacy, Carthage, the Third Reich, etc.
"A civil war is INEVITABLE."
Utter BS.
I urge you to go to
http://freedomstruth.blogspot.com
and read this:
http://freedomstruth.blogspot.com/2005/01/iraqis-support-election-will-go-to.html
... linking Iraqi comments about the election. Civil Wars happen when there is not a better mechanism for a society to
determine the political power arrangements. Well there IS a better way - elections, a constitution, and a democratic state. 85% of Iraqis want that and support it, including vast majority of Kurds and Shia, as well as most (if not all) in the Sunni Arab community.
If a Civil War was 'inevitable', it would have happened already. the Iraqi FM has made that point when asked such (mis)leading questions by the press. It hasnt happened because most Iraqis dont support violence, hate the terrorists, and do support a unified country.
Iraqis will choose a unified country and a democratic one, and will pick leaders who will pursue the fight against terrorists.
"Saddam was a threat to the United States?"
.... not any more. he he he.