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Electromagnetic Pulse: An Avoidable Disaster
GOPUSA ^ | January 4, 2005 | Paul M. Weyrich

Posted on 01/04/2005 12:43:49 PM PST by Tolerance Sucks Rocks

Although the risk of your house catching fire and burning to the ground is remote, are you willing to risk not having fire insurance?

That's a question that Rep. Roscoe Bartlett (R-MD) poses, and the answer that I think you and I would give without hesitation is "no."

Our country is unprepared to deal with a nuclear explosion at a high altitude. The danger would be more than merely life or limb. A nuclear explosion over Chicago, for example, could plunge a large portion of our country into darkness, with electricity lost for days, even months, perhaps in some places years. All computerized activity in the region would cease. The culprit: High Altitude Electromagnetic Pulse.

The very day the 9/11 Commission report was issued another report, that may one day prove itself to be even more important to our security, also was released. "The Report of the Commission to Assess the Threat to the United States from Electromagnetic Pulse Attack" stated that our country has the ability to prevent the worst-case scenarios from occurring in this age of international terrorism.

When NATO started to bomb the Serbs in the spring of 1999 to stop Slobodan Milosevic's expulsion campaign against ethnic Albanians, the Russians were very unhappy about our military aggressions against one of their longtime allies. Rep. Bartlett was part of a bi-partisan delegation assembled by Rep. Curt Weldon (R-PA) to examine the situation. They conferred with some counterparts from the Russian Duma. One Duma member, Vladimir Lukin (at the time chairing the Duma's International Affairs Committee and formerly a high-level member of the Soviet national security apparatus under Gorbachev), threatened that if Russia really wanted to hurt us without fear of retaliation, Russia would launch a missile against us from a submarine, explode it high over our skies and shut down our power grid and communications for six months.

Rep. Bartlett was very disturbed by what he had heard; he wanted to know if the Russians were bluffing and sought the opinions of our country's military experts. After he found that the Clinton Administration was ignoring the threat, Rep. Bartlett decided to establish the Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) Commission. The EMP Commission was established by unanimous consent of the House and Senate.

If a nuclear blast occurred in high altitudes over our country, people would not be killed by the fallout from the blast itself. The most serious and far-reaching damage would be done by the EMP emissions. The result? According to the report, "the 'electromagnetic shock' that disrupts or damages electronics-based control systems, sensors, communication systems, protective systems, computers, and similar devices. Its damage or functional disruption occurs essentially simultaneously over a very large area." One scenario outlined by the EMP Commission predicted that a blast over Chicago, where 70% of our country's total power generation occurs, would instantly impact cities as distant as New York and Washington, D.C.

Important economic and life-sustaining sectors that stand to be severely damaged or shut down are our electronic power infrastructure, telecommunications, banking and finance, transportation, fuel/energy, food and emergency services, water supply, space systems and government operations.

An EMP attack cannot be compared to an ordinary blackout, even a very large blackout, because it will occur over a greater area, damage major electronic systems and cause recovery to be measured in months.

Here is some of the damage that stands to occur immediately after an attack unless sensible "hardening" precautions are taken to protect data and systems. They are:

Electronic records in computers, such as your savings and checking accounts, would be inaccessible.

Your telephone line, even for a cellular, would go dead.

The systems that operate petroleum refineries would be stopped, forcing energy production to halt for some time.

Transportation would be disrupted. Car and truck engines, train engines would be disabled. Traffic signals would become inoperable. Our air traffic control system would cease to exist.

Calling 911 would be a thing of the past.

The EMP Commission report warned: "Many citizens would be without power, communications and other services for days - or perhaps substantially longer - before full recovery could occur. During that interval, it will be crucial to provide a reliable channel of information to those citizens to let them know what has happened, the current situation, when help of what types for them might be available, what their governments are doing, and the host of questions which, if not answered, are certain to create more instability and suffering for the affected individuals, communities, and the Nation as a whole."

The Boy Scout motto -- "Be prepared" -- is sound advice for our nation's policymakers in this era of global terrorism. They cannot afford to ignore this report or its warnings or other warnings that biological and chemical warfare agents, cyber attacks and surface-burst nuclear weaponry are other significant threats. Those types of attacks would be the more deadly when combined with an EMP attack.

There are steps we can take to increase our ability to quickly recover from an EMP attack. For example, the Department of Homeland Security should have a list that prioritizes emergency electricity delivery to hospitals, regional food warehouses, water supply and critical communications and transportation. Preparing and protecting spare transformers could quickly repair the power grid and permit the recovery of electric power, enabling other important infrastructures to be functional. The EMP Commission made the point that we need wise and effective planning; it needs to be done now.

The Wall Street Journal did not ignore the Commission's report on the perils of an EMP attack. It published an editorial warning that China and Russia have the capability to launch an EMP strike against us. Over the next 15 years our relations with these countries are likely to be volatile and unpredictable. Russian Duma members threatened us five years ago. Chinese publications have carried articles about EMP, including threats to use EMP to neutralize our aircraft carriers if we were to war with China over Taiwan. The Commission appeared most concerned about an EMP attack from terrorists or rogue states who believe they have absolutely nothing to lose.

Wall Street is indeed concerned about this problem. The EMP Commission delivered a briefing to the Securities Industry Automation Corporation, which handles the communications networks responsible for the New York Stock Exchange. EMP Commissioner Lowell L. Wood, Jr. estimated in an Aerospace Daily & Defense Report article published earlier this fall that, all told, an EMP attack that shuts down our critical infrastructure systems could carry a $10 trillion dollar price tag.

The nine members who served on the EMP Commission have strong credentials: Commission Chairman, Dr. William R. Graham, served as Director of the White Office of Science & Technology Policy and as Science Advisor to President Ronald Reagan; General Richard L. Lawson, USAF, Ret., is a former President and CEO of the National Mining Association; Dr. Lowell L. Wood is Senior Staff Scientist at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory.

Rep. Bartlett brings a unique skill set: With a master's degree in physiology, he worked at the John Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory, directing a unit in Space Life Sciences and at IBM on biomedical engineering projects. He speaks on this issue with a background in the sciences. At 78 years of age, he has the energy and drive that would shame many young people.

Bartlett is undeterred by the lack of response from the establishment news media, driven by his understanding of what may truly be at stake if our nation's policymakers and business leaders continue to ignore the EMP Commission's work. Some have called the 9/11 Commission report a look in the rear view mirror. By contrast, the EMP Commission report is a look down the road at the kind of attack that instantaneously could change our status as the world's superpower to that of a nation with an infrastructure so diminished that Third World nations might be envied.

Many important issues will be taken up by the next Congress, starting in January. This issue deserves strong consideration as does our ability to deal with other kind of attacks, such as biological warfare, that represent the deadly future of warfare and terrorism. If the worst case scenario were to occur, it also would be important that our public officials respond in a manner that seeks to preserve our liberties and heritage as much as possible.

Rep. Bartlett advises that sensible steps taken now can prepare us to deal with, even thwart, the mayhem caused by terrorists and rogue nations. I hope we have some lawmakers who share Mr. Bartlett's concern in preserving our American way of life for future generations. If we do, then I expect Congress will delve further into the work of the EMP Commission and its unsettling findings.

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Paul M. Weyrich is Chairman and CEO of the Free Congress Foundation.

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Note -- The opinions expressed in this column are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the opinions, views, and/or philosophy of GOPUSA.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; Government; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: china; electromagneticpulse; emp; miltech; roscoebartlett; russia; terrorism
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To: webheart

They are using a similar system, a joint venture between Israel and The USA to take out airborne ordinance...Mortars, missiles.

They've also mounted a similar device on a humvee, it is aimed at a crowd and makes your skin feel like it's being stuck with needles...

MD


101 posted on 01/04/2005 4:01:43 PM PST by MD_Willington_1976
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To: G.Mason
When it comes to disasters either manmade or natural, when all is said and done, the potential upside is quite something. While I share the sadness of the Tsunami victims and feel their undescribable agony over family losses, I bet world coffee prices are going to go thru the roof and I bet many of those ruined fishermen and their survivors may become coffee growers. Killer quakes give us building and infrastructure leaps in technology. Hurricanes are producing housing designs and materials which are astonishing in their durability. Giant waves which capsize boats are giving us self righting ocean going vessels in the event of a capsizing. Mine collapses gave us Haliburton designed drilling rigs to rescue people buried alive at a few hundred feet. Space vehicle disasters give us feedback for future designs which will take us farther and faster. The Tsunami will bring cranes, bulldozers, and heavy equipment along with construction firms teaching new skills to a people who may take a new direction on where they want to head as a society.

Humans are best when things are at their worst. Without Dickens-like hardships, we go nowhere.

102 posted on 01/04/2005 4:02:13 PM PST by blackdog (May Islam meet Tennyson's "Ninth Wave" in my lifetime.)
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To: Ditto

The US military began "hardening" electronic systems against EMP attacks in the 1970s. Critical systems are already protected.

They did the same thing with the backup for NORAD in Ontario Canada...you should see the pics of the rebar cages they built...

If NORAD goes down in the USA, it's still running in the GWN..

MD


103 posted on 01/04/2005 4:04:03 PM PST by MD_Willington_1976
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To: RobRoy

Please put me on your "We're all gonna die!!!" ping list...


104 posted on 01/04/2005 4:12:11 PM PST by null and void (I refuse to live my life as if someone, somewhere will be offended if I laugh...)
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To: nightdriver
"My old diesel car might be worth it's weight in gold in such an instance, if I could roll it downhill or somethng to get it started."

An air starter, powered by compressed air could be considered. However you would have to have a source for compressed air.

105 posted on 01/04/2005 4:17:14 PM PST by Inge_CAV
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To: Radioactive; _Jim
The problem is the GRID.

No it's not. Just ask underscoreJim...

106 posted on 01/04/2005 4:24:58 PM PST by null and void (I refuse to live my life as if someone, somewhere will be offended if I laugh...)
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To: Inge_CAV

I have a huffer here. I've sent it out twice on a flatbed to start military jets which landed at airports without one. Kind of like a $500 jump start. Never needed it here. Not a very big runway. I bought it at an auction for $300. Cool toy! I've got old ground power units too. They'll provide good steady DC current and take some pretty good demand surges too. They used to support 727's.


107 posted on 01/04/2005 4:32:21 PM PST by blackdog (May Islam meet Tennyson's "Ninth Wave" in my lifetime.)
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To: G.Mason

I'll agree to your point about not fretting. Death by vehicle accident is more likely.

But you'd need a lot more than a stick to relieve me and my family of any food stocks ;-).


108 posted on 01/04/2005 4:43:15 PM PST by Blueflag (Res ipsa loquitor)
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To: Hardastarboard

"God help anyone who actually does this to us. Even the liberals would be on board for retaliation (for about 24 hours) if someone took out their means of making lattes."

LOL!


109 posted on 01/04/2005 4:46:03 PM PST by Swede Girl
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To: blackdog
Not sure but I think some of the old ground power units had an engine similar to aircraft engines. You got a good deal on yours though.

All I have is a couple of old diesel tractors and trucks. They have the mechanical injection pumps. The key would be to get them started.

110 posted on 01/04/2005 4:53:11 PM PST by Inge_CAV
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To: Paridel

Actually, I meant electrons! :)


111 posted on 01/04/2005 4:55:18 PM PST by RaceBannon (((awaiting new tag line)))
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To: nightdriver
My old diesel car might be worth it's weight in gold in such an instance, if I could roll it downhill or somethng to get it started.

I think the metal in the car's body would act as a shield to protect any electronics in the engine. The radio, being connected to the antenna would be another matter though.
112 posted on 01/04/2005 5:01:44 PM PST by Nowhere Man (We have enough youth, how about a Fountain of Smart?)
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To: kphockey2
Split the cost by running power and fiber-optics along the same dig, but differe wires?
Our current power grid is in bad shape and has problems with dealing with a hot summer day. We need to replace or supplement it anyway.
113 posted on 01/04/2005 5:09:14 PM PST by rmlew (Copperheads and Peaceniks beware! Sedition is a crime.)
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To: Inge_CAV
I've got a Detroit Diesel GMC 2500 that has a nightmarish pump, injection distribution curcuitboard that is.......The weakest link!

The huffer is a beast. It weighs like 6000 pounds. The tug ground power units are just little four cylinder industrial engines, like in forklifts. The item to make sure of isn't the engine, but the generator/governor link.

Airstart systems for military jets ain't light duty. Those monsters push some air. I've loaned it out to dairy farmers when their barn ventilation fans go down. The cows look like they're behind prop wash from C-130's. Tails straight out from the velocity and volume. It's got a series of compressor fans/blades that are all housed inside a shroud for safety, but I wouldn't want to get ten feet from the intake once the gate is opened feeding the tube.

Not a common use item with much value except in very few situations. Much like me I guess.

114 posted on 01/04/2005 5:09:31 PM PST by blackdog (May Islam meet Tennyson's "Ninth Wave" in my lifetime.)
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Comment #115 Removed by Moderator

To: Nowhere Man
Uhm........not so. The metal chasis on the frame is poorly grounded. Sure there is some carbon in the synthetic rubber tires to do some good, but from a technical standpoint to techno-geeks, your car is just a giant capacitor during an EMP and it will go "POP" when the pulse charges it up. It cannot discharge that fast.

I've been hit by lightning while flying and can tell you that energy will really do some interesting things. It made pinholes where it hit, but then inside it made what I can only describe as ball lightning which would seek corners where it would sort of oscillate and then dim. It lasted about five full seconds before the skin managed to discharge in the air.

116 posted on 01/04/2005 5:17:01 PM PST by blackdog (May Islam meet Tennyson's "Ninth Wave" in my lifetime.)
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To: fso301
"The military always radion hardened it's electronics although I think that mil-spec policy changed under klinton."

Bingo. I suspect that this is also why the military switched over to diesel powered everything. Trucks, hummers, pumps, you name it. No ignition system to get toasted. They might not have lights, but they can still RUN the bloody things.
117 posted on 01/04/2005 5:20:26 PM PST by Nik Naym
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To: kphockey2

Other than the fact that PLC's handle all the distribution work and that there are very few competent operators who know much in the event of any emergency, we're fine. Technology thru proramable controllers has a down side. That being that the idiots that work for you can perform their job because clever minds wrote programs to do the job day in and day out. That is until someone redefines a really bad day...............Like with an EMP or catastrophe. Then they are clueless and we're all going to suffer.


118 posted on 01/04/2005 5:23:24 PM PST by blackdog (May Islam meet Tennyson's "Ninth Wave" in my lifetime.)
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To: Nowhere Man
I think the metal in the car's body would act as a shield to protect any electronics in the engine. The radio, being connected to the antenna would be another matter though.

The body metal MIGHT help if the body were grounded, but the bodies of most cars are probably too thin and radio porous (windows, under the engine compartment, modern plastic door panels) to effectively shield against anything.

By the way, if anyone happens to remember the old Fox show Dark Angel, it was built around this exact scenario. In that show, much of the US was EMP'd by terrorists and it basically threw the country back into third world status. When the power and transportation grids had been restored it was discovered that the pulse had not only wiped out the memories of every computer in the country, but also the backups. This may be bad for home users, but is an unimaginably damaging situation for a major corporation...imagine a company like Walmart, IBM, Merrril Lynch, or even Ford losing all of their payroll records, their inventory records, their AP records, their customer records...everything.

Nobody gets a paycheck, the companies can't collect on their debts and go bankrupt, and the whole economy collapses as a result. According to that story, it took years for the American companies that managed to survive the pulse to get back up to speed, and most of them discovered that foreign competition had filled their vacuum during that time and that they no longer had viable markets. It may have been fiction, but there was NOTHING implausible about the scenario.
119 posted on 01/04/2005 5:23:38 PM PST by Arthalion
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To: Nik Naym

Clintoon scrapped MIL-461 in favor of COTS(commercial, off the shelf). Navy ships are a city of wiring, comparable to a population in a town of 10,000 people. When deck apes rig some stuff and a hot and neutral get reversed, life gets interesting. A good hint is to never grab any table or door/chair/handle with a tight grip. It'll light you up real good considering you're standing on a metal plate floating in salt water.


120 posted on 01/04/2005 5:27:55 PM PST by blackdog (May Islam meet Tennyson's "Ninth Wave" in my lifetime.)
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