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Electromagnetic Pulse: An Avoidable Disaster
GOPUSA ^ | January 4, 2005 | Paul M. Weyrich

Posted on 01/04/2005 12:43:49 PM PST by Tolerance Sucks Rocks

Although the risk of your house catching fire and burning to the ground is remote, are you willing to risk not having fire insurance?

That's a question that Rep. Roscoe Bartlett (R-MD) poses, and the answer that I think you and I would give without hesitation is "no."

Our country is unprepared to deal with a nuclear explosion at a high altitude. The danger would be more than merely life or limb. A nuclear explosion over Chicago, for example, could plunge a large portion of our country into darkness, with electricity lost for days, even months, perhaps in some places years. All computerized activity in the region would cease. The culprit: High Altitude Electromagnetic Pulse.

The very day the 9/11 Commission report was issued another report, that may one day prove itself to be even more important to our security, also was released. "The Report of the Commission to Assess the Threat to the United States from Electromagnetic Pulse Attack" stated that our country has the ability to prevent the worst-case scenarios from occurring in this age of international terrorism.

When NATO started to bomb the Serbs in the spring of 1999 to stop Slobodan Milosevic's expulsion campaign against ethnic Albanians, the Russians were very unhappy about our military aggressions against one of their longtime allies. Rep. Bartlett was part of a bi-partisan delegation assembled by Rep. Curt Weldon (R-PA) to examine the situation. They conferred with some counterparts from the Russian Duma. One Duma member, Vladimir Lukin (at the time chairing the Duma's International Affairs Committee and formerly a high-level member of the Soviet national security apparatus under Gorbachev), threatened that if Russia really wanted to hurt us without fear of retaliation, Russia would launch a missile against us from a submarine, explode it high over our skies and shut down our power grid and communications for six months.

Rep. Bartlett was very disturbed by what he had heard; he wanted to know if the Russians were bluffing and sought the opinions of our country's military experts. After he found that the Clinton Administration was ignoring the threat, Rep. Bartlett decided to establish the Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) Commission. The EMP Commission was established by unanimous consent of the House and Senate.

If a nuclear blast occurred in high altitudes over our country, people would not be killed by the fallout from the blast itself. The most serious and far-reaching damage would be done by the EMP emissions. The result? According to the report, "the 'electromagnetic shock' that disrupts or damages electronics-based control systems, sensors, communication systems, protective systems, computers, and similar devices. Its damage or functional disruption occurs essentially simultaneously over a very large area." One scenario outlined by the EMP Commission predicted that a blast over Chicago, where 70% of our country's total power generation occurs, would instantly impact cities as distant as New York and Washington, D.C.

Important economic and life-sustaining sectors that stand to be severely damaged or shut down are our electronic power infrastructure, telecommunications, banking and finance, transportation, fuel/energy, food and emergency services, water supply, space systems and government operations.

An EMP attack cannot be compared to an ordinary blackout, even a very large blackout, because it will occur over a greater area, damage major electronic systems and cause recovery to be measured in months.

Here is some of the damage that stands to occur immediately after an attack unless sensible "hardening" precautions are taken to protect data and systems. They are:

Electronic records in computers, such as your savings and checking accounts, would be inaccessible.

Your telephone line, even for a cellular, would go dead.

The systems that operate petroleum refineries would be stopped, forcing energy production to halt for some time.

Transportation would be disrupted. Car and truck engines, train engines would be disabled. Traffic signals would become inoperable. Our air traffic control system would cease to exist.

Calling 911 would be a thing of the past.

The EMP Commission report warned: "Many citizens would be without power, communications and other services for days - or perhaps substantially longer - before full recovery could occur. During that interval, it will be crucial to provide a reliable channel of information to those citizens to let them know what has happened, the current situation, when help of what types for them might be available, what their governments are doing, and the host of questions which, if not answered, are certain to create more instability and suffering for the affected individuals, communities, and the Nation as a whole."

The Boy Scout motto -- "Be prepared" -- is sound advice for our nation's policymakers in this era of global terrorism. They cannot afford to ignore this report or its warnings or other warnings that biological and chemical warfare agents, cyber attacks and surface-burst nuclear weaponry are other significant threats. Those types of attacks would be the more deadly when combined with an EMP attack.

There are steps we can take to increase our ability to quickly recover from an EMP attack. For example, the Department of Homeland Security should have a list that prioritizes emergency electricity delivery to hospitals, regional food warehouses, water supply and critical communications and transportation. Preparing and protecting spare transformers could quickly repair the power grid and permit the recovery of electric power, enabling other important infrastructures to be functional. The EMP Commission made the point that we need wise and effective planning; it needs to be done now.

The Wall Street Journal did not ignore the Commission's report on the perils of an EMP attack. It published an editorial warning that China and Russia have the capability to launch an EMP strike against us. Over the next 15 years our relations with these countries are likely to be volatile and unpredictable. Russian Duma members threatened us five years ago. Chinese publications have carried articles about EMP, including threats to use EMP to neutralize our aircraft carriers if we were to war with China over Taiwan. The Commission appeared most concerned about an EMP attack from terrorists or rogue states who believe they have absolutely nothing to lose.

Wall Street is indeed concerned about this problem. The EMP Commission delivered a briefing to the Securities Industry Automation Corporation, which handles the communications networks responsible for the New York Stock Exchange. EMP Commissioner Lowell L. Wood, Jr. estimated in an Aerospace Daily & Defense Report article published earlier this fall that, all told, an EMP attack that shuts down our critical infrastructure systems could carry a $10 trillion dollar price tag.

The nine members who served on the EMP Commission have strong credentials: Commission Chairman, Dr. William R. Graham, served as Director of the White Office of Science & Technology Policy and as Science Advisor to President Ronald Reagan; General Richard L. Lawson, USAF, Ret., is a former President and CEO of the National Mining Association; Dr. Lowell L. Wood is Senior Staff Scientist at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory.

Rep. Bartlett brings a unique skill set: With a master's degree in physiology, he worked at the John Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory, directing a unit in Space Life Sciences and at IBM on biomedical engineering projects. He speaks on this issue with a background in the sciences. At 78 years of age, he has the energy and drive that would shame many young people.

Bartlett is undeterred by the lack of response from the establishment news media, driven by his understanding of what may truly be at stake if our nation's policymakers and business leaders continue to ignore the EMP Commission's work. Some have called the 9/11 Commission report a look in the rear view mirror. By contrast, the EMP Commission report is a look down the road at the kind of attack that instantaneously could change our status as the world's superpower to that of a nation with an infrastructure so diminished that Third World nations might be envied.

Many important issues will be taken up by the next Congress, starting in January. This issue deserves strong consideration as does our ability to deal with other kind of attacks, such as biological warfare, that represent the deadly future of warfare and terrorism. If the worst case scenario were to occur, it also would be important that our public officials respond in a manner that seeks to preserve our liberties and heritage as much as possible.

Rep. Bartlett advises that sensible steps taken now can prepare us to deal with, even thwart, the mayhem caused by terrorists and rogue nations. I hope we have some lawmakers who share Mr. Bartlett's concern in preserving our American way of life for future generations. If we do, then I expect Congress will delve further into the work of the EMP Commission and its unsettling findings.

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Paul M. Weyrich is Chairman and CEO of the Free Congress Foundation.

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Note -- The opinions expressed in this column are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the opinions, views, and/or philosophy of GOPUSA.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; Government; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: china; electromagneticpulse; emp; miltech; roscoebartlett; russia; terrorism
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To: blackdog

What is ""Magic Christian" script stuff." ?


81 posted on 01/04/2005 2:42:58 PM PST by PistolPaknMama (Will work for cool tag line.)
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To: Paridel

Keep your grounds as short as possible and as many as possible. Isolation from input current and the ability to discharge while disconnected from input current/mains is the key. Good design principles in all cases. We manufacture on the cheap. Payback's a bitch.


82 posted on 01/04/2005 2:44:24 PM PST by blackdog (May Islam meet Tennyson's "Ninth Wave" in my lifetime.)
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To: Kerfuffle
I have seen designs for EMP weapons that are not nuclear. They basically use an explosive to blast something (magnet?) through a coil at high speed, then channel the vast energy pulse to some sort of antenna pointed at the target.

Anyway, this sort of weapon would have much smaller, local effect than any kind of nuke. It would probably only affect equipment over a limited area right in front of the weapon, like if you wanted to disable a communication facility. A nuke would affect things far and wide in all directions.

83 posted on 01/04/2005 2:46:52 PM PST by Sender (Team Infidel USA)
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To: blackdog
You techie diehards out there may want to consider a second option........Change FCC, UL, EU, and CISPR standards to phase in all devices be manufactured to withstand EMP, including your VCR, coffee pot, and automobile so that economy of scale makes EMP affordable and implemented over the lifetime of a few cycles of consumer goods.

Unfortunately this is not really a feasible option. More and more electronic devices are being implemented as a single chip design. It is much more expensive to design a chip that can withstand any serious amount of EM radiation without malfuncioning that one that cannot. It took an amazing amount of money, work, and time to develop the radiation hardened Pentium, and that was simply modifying a working design. Basically radiation hardening really restricts what you can do in VLSI, and it is hard enough to squeeze that many transistors into that small of a space without any additional constraints.

There is a reason that radhard processors or so far behind conventional ones, and it isn't a lack of money or interest.

If you are talking about shielding for the devices themselves that means instead of slapping a simply plastic box on the device you would have to spend a lot more money on first designing the enclosure, on the raw materials (metal rather than plastic), and finally on the manufacturing. Plastic injection molding is a lot cheaper than metal fabrication.

Besides, more and more devices are becoming wireless. How exactly are going going to protect a laptop when it has two 12" antennas in its screen, or your cell phone, the receiver on top of your TV with the 12' FM dipole dangling off the back, etc. For that matter I expect that the 6' cord connecting your headphones to your ipod is a liability.

Not saying that certain devices can't be made impervious, but those should be the ones really necessary to preserve human life. You were right in saying that the extra expense isn't really worth it for consumer electronics.

-paridel
84 posted on 01/04/2005 2:53:17 PM PST by Paridel
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To: blackdog
Keep your grounds as short as possible and as many as possible

I don't work on PCB layout design (much) myself, but have many friends and coworkers who do, and actually your advice is very applicable just as a general design rule, any nuclear threat aside.

Especially as frequencies increase for our circuits proper grounding is very important.

-paridel
85 posted on 01/04/2005 2:56:41 PM PST by Paridel
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To: Stashiu
...isn't that what Al Qaida aims to do?

The application of an E-Bomb on the US by any Al Qaeda assets would require a suitable set of tools. A highly complex set of tools that they do not possess.

In order to properly deploy such a weapon for maximum effect would almost certainly require control of the airspace over the target.

86 posted on 01/04/2005 3:00:09 PM PST by Bloody Sam Roberts (All I ask from livin' is to have no chains on me. All I ask from dyin' is to go naturally.)
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To: Bloody Sam Roberts
A highly complex set of tools that they do not possess.

They do have their share of intelligent US college educated individuals. Not the average member sure, but still they are out there. I don't think we should underestimate them. Besides the US has other enemies with pretty darn good technology, and it isn't to much of a stretch of the imagination to think that they could team up. Or heck, those states could just attack us without Al Qaeda being involve at all.

-paridel
87 posted on 01/04/2005 3:03:32 PM PST by Paridel
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To: Paridel
Or heck, those states could just attack us without Al Qaeda being involve at all.

Those are the ones to worry about. Al Qaeda, no. They lack the delivery platform to accomplish the goal. They may have the ball but they lack a quarterback to deliver the Hail Mary.

88 posted on 01/04/2005 3:07:30 PM PST by Bloody Sam Roberts (All I ask from livin' is to have no chains on me. All I ask from dyin' is to go naturally.)
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To: Ancesthntr
"A good argument for having a pre-computer chip car hanging around..."

My old diesel car might be worth it's weight in gold in such an instance, if I could roll it downhill or somethng to get it started.

89 posted on 01/04/2005 3:09:56 PM PST by nightdriver
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To: Paridel

Conductive coatings sprayed on the insides of plastic housings, integrated to frame ground is cheap. You don't need metal enclosures. It's easy to apply, but a bit toxic to spray. Properly sprayed, a plastic monitor housing and a carbon coated sterling plated stainless screen mesh in the viewing area does nicely. Shielding a processor is also very easy. Unfortunately, the software programs which auto design circuit boards as well as circuit board engineers use abhorent thinking when it comes to what they do. It makes no sense from a shielding perspective. Almost certainly catastrophic by design. I once had a main processor about three inches from a DC to AC transformer driving a fluorescent operator display with about 2,500 Volts AC. It generated so much of an E-field and H-field that it caused the processor to crash several times per hour. The engineers couldn't understand why? I had to remove the transormer from the main board and box it inside a can, connecting it with shielded wire and then make it all fit back inside the same space. The funny thing is that the energy created then flowed theu the wiring into the display laminate glass and popped out there. I used mesh there and connected it to frame ground, where it got sent to never-never land.


90 posted on 01/04/2005 3:10:48 PM PST by blackdog (May Islam meet Tennyson's "Ninth Wave" in my lifetime.)
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To: Blueflag
"I think you miss the impact of a total loss of electricity on our version of civilization in a metro area."

And I think you miss my point.

We can run around, fretting over the absurdity of this topic [EMP attack], or comet strikes, or eastern and western tsunami's in the USA, or hurricanes, or ... ????

I, for one do not sit around worrying about these possible events beyond my control.

Should anyone of these disasters strike, I will do my best to survive, and if you have some food I can use (as the supermarket is closed) I will relieve you of it, at the point of a stick, if necessary. ;)

91 posted on 01/04/2005 3:12:46 PM PST by G.Mason (A war mongering, UN hating, military industrial complex loving, Al Qaeda incinerating American.)
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To: Paridel

I should have also said to keep the grounds as short and equidisant as possible. Unequal grounds have a cummulative effect.


92 posted on 01/04/2005 3:15:44 PM PST by blackdog (May Islam meet Tennyson's "Ninth Wave" in my lifetime.)
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To: nightdriver

I knew I liked tinkering around with old cars for a reason.


93 posted on 01/04/2005 3:16:00 PM PST by Betis70 (I'm only Left Wing when I play hockey)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

bump for later


94 posted on 01/04/2005 3:19:20 PM PST by GOPJ
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To: Paridel
The problem is the GRID.

We need to rethink our power generation system.

I would like to see a decentralized power grid....having many small power stations....and by the way....the NAVY has a great system of power generation. All those nuclear submarines and nuclear ships have a great system...we should have baby nukes all oever the country...that way any attack on any one area would not make a big impact.

95 posted on 01/04/2005 3:21:07 PM PST by Radioactive
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To: PistolPaknMama
Ever watch the movie? I put it right up there with Dr.Strangelove. Sort of like when the president tells his top general and the Soviet Diplomat that they can't fight with each other..........Because this is the war room!

The Magic Christian takes a real stab at the British old money power and how stupid they can be, arguing about things which are easy to argue, but really are silly or serve no purpose but to make one look foolish. The free money in the pool of pig urine was funny, as well as the part played by Ringo Starr as the adopted rich son of Peter Sellers. He liked to sleep in the park, but the constable reminded them it was not allowed, every day, for $100. When Peter Sellers asks the parking cop how much it would cost to see him eat the ticket he just wrote was priceless too.

96 posted on 01/04/2005 3:23:23 PM PST by blackdog (May Islam meet Tennyson's "Ninth Wave" in my lifetime.)
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To: G.Mason
Sometimes our "Entire Modern Civilization" you place such value on sure ain't much.

The real question here is............What will the recount on the electronic voting machines read in Ohio at the time of the nuclear blast, and will it throw the election as Haliburton desired when they launched a missile from Pakistan to prevent Hillary from winning, on November 8th 2008, handing it to the evil republicans once again?

97 posted on 01/04/2005 3:28:23 PM PST by blackdog (May Islam meet Tennyson's "Ninth Wave" in my lifetime.)
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To: MD_Willington_1976
HPM, High powered microwave, focussed beam EMP weapon.

Now, here is something that has a real-world application. I'm thinking of times when I go to the store, and someone, usually a younger person, has the stereo with the ear-splitting bass speakers turned all the way up. This is very annoying, especially when the person gets out of his car and leaves the door open, so as to treat the world to his particular taste in music. An EMP device would be most welcome in such a case. Instant shut up.

98 posted on 01/04/2005 3:48:03 PM PST by webheart (Pajamarazzi Rules!)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks
Chinese publications have carried articles about EMP, including threats to use EMP to neutralize our aircraft carriers...

Modern military electronics are generally shielded from EMP effects, but few civilian applicatiions are. I wonder, what kind of cost would be involved in "hardening" civilian electronics?

99 posted on 01/04/2005 3:48:39 PM PST by JimRed (Investigate, overturn and prosecute vote fraud in the State of Washington !)
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To: Radioactive

The Grid is the Key....and no one is going to do anything about it.....hopefully the Defense Department has war gamed this and has a series of solutions....but it will all be after the horse is outta the barn....

All we can do is pray that this is never used on us...if it is...the US ceases to be a world power.


100 posted on 01/04/2005 3:51:56 PM PST by Halgr (Once a Marine, always a Marine - Semper Fi)
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