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Tsunami Warning Was Stopped
Wizbang ^ | December 28, 2004 | The Nation

Posted on 12/29/2004 6:47:34 AM PST by Melpomene

Just minutes after the earthquake in the Indian Ocean on Sunday morning, Thailand's foremost meteorological experts were sitting together in a crisis meeting. But they decided not to warn about the tsunami "out of courtesy to the tourist industry", writes the Thailand daily newspaper The Nation.

The experts got the news around 8:00 am on Sunday morning local time.

An hour later, the first massive wave struck. But the experts started to discuss the economic impacts when they were discussing if a tsunami warning should be made. The main argument against such a warning was that there have not been any floods in 300 years. Also, the experts believed the Indonesian island Sumatra would be a "cushion" for the southern coast of Thailand. The experts also had bad information; they thought the tremor was 8.1. A similar earthquake occurred in the same area in 2002 with no flooding at all.

...We finally decided not to do anything because the tourist season was in full swing. The hotels were 100% booked full. What if we issued a warning, which would have led to an evacuation, and nothing had happened. What would be the outcome? The tourist industry would be immediately hurt. Our department would not be able to endure a lawsuit...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: sumatraquake; thailand; tsunami
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To: SlowBoat407
Speaking of all the possibilities for movies of this awful event, I wrote this on another thread a few minutes ago.

******

Just THINK of all the tiny, little isolated islands of which we never heard out in that vast ocean, think how they have been effected by this. Just think how long it will be until (or IF) we find out about all the tiny islands' people. There are thousands of islands where people live(d) that probably haven't been contacted or seen yet. This is just so sad!

A few great movies could be made of some of the things that happened to some of these unfortunate and most likely terrified people!

It really is awful!

81 posted on 12/29/2004 7:39:28 AM PST by beyond the sea (A man who says he can see through women is missing a lot.)
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To: coloradan
If global warming turns out to be real, we wouldn't be having one of the coolest summers on record.

Try not to be an utter idiot. Predicting long-term climate trends is a cutting-edge business. Very, very tough to do.

82 posted on 12/29/2004 7:39:53 AM PST by liberallarry
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To: Melpomene; snopercod

Bump.


83 posted on 12/29/2004 7:40:36 AM PST by First_Salute (May God save our democratic-republican government, from a government by judiciary.)
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To: liberallarry
Very, very tough to do.

It certainly is very tough, given that people tend to place credence in data that supports their agenda, and disregard data that doesn't. Why, that practically makes it impossible to do correctly. Why don't satellite data show that the air is warming, only surface-based measurements located near urban areas? Here's another one, if Tuvalu is sinking because the ocean is rising (because of melting ice, global warming), why aren't the neighboring islands also sinking? Why only Tuvalu? Since I'm such an idiot, according to you, could you please explain that one to me?

84 posted on 12/29/2004 7:44:45 AM PST by coloradan (Hence, etc.)
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To: Melpomene
The experts also had bad information; they thought the tremor was 8.1. A similar earthquake occurred in the same area in 2002 with no flooding at all.

I think this was probably the deciding factor. If there had been flooding before, they probably wouldn't have thought twice about issuing a warning.

This looks to me like someone has to be blamed.

85 posted on 12/29/2004 7:46:27 AM PST by technochick99
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To: beyond the sea

I've found that movies about "victims" are not nearly as interesting to me as movies about people who struggle to overcome or even prevent disaster (Deep Impact vs Armageddon - the latter far surpassed, IMHO). Any heroism out there? Anybody stand up against the wave, in a metaphorical sense? Sorry if I seem too analytical about such a tragedy, but as a former newsperson and ongoing writer, it's what I do.

For the record, "The Day After Tomorrow" fell apart for me because it was about a guy trying to bond with his son and, oh, by the way, IMPOSSIBLE CATASTROPHE!


86 posted on 12/29/2004 7:46:56 AM PST by SlowBoat407 (Couldn't you have stopped shooting at us and watched your baby grow instead?)
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To: Melpomene

I doubt if it would have made any difference at all. One hour is an impossibly short time to convey the warning to everyone on every beach.


87 posted on 12/29/2004 7:50:43 AM PST by Dog Gone
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To: Rebelbase; expatguy
I don't know if the report itself is correct, but I believe the story did appear in a Thai newspaper. Also, the earthquake was reported here on FR, and speculation about tsunamis quickly followed. I find it hard to believe that if we can come up with the idea, professionals missed it. Read more at FR expatguy's blog here
88 posted on 12/29/2004 7:55:29 AM PST by Melpomene
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To: expatguy

Thanks for the link.


89 posted on 12/29/2004 7:56:14 AM PST by First_Salute (May God save our democratic-republican government, from a government by judiciary.)
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To: liberallarry
Predicting long-term climate trends is a cutting-edge business. Very, very tough to do

If it's so tough to do, how come every liberal on earth agrees that it is real? Are they all cutting edge climatologists, or just speaking out of their a**es?

90 posted on 12/29/2004 7:56:37 AM PST by Rodney King (No, we can't all just get along.)
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To: liberallarry
P.S. Regarding Tuvalu, whatever you do, don't read this article because it contains facts, and those are like garlic to the vampire of global warmists.
91 posted on 12/29/2004 7:57:14 AM PST by coloradan (Hence, etc.)
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To: HMFIC
Let me beat the DIMS out there....

BUSH owns 90% of the tourist industry in SE Asia. He did, it's all his fault! BAD BAD BAD BAD....

Might not be too far off - they were thinking like capitalists and everyone knows that Bush is the epitome of a capitalist. If not for his influence, they would have definitley decided in favor of public safety instead of money. After all, these 3rd-world countries are famous for their humanitarian proclivities...<

92 posted on 12/29/2004 8:02:19 AM PST by trebb ("I am the way... no one comes to the Father, but by me..." - Jesus in John 14:6 (RSV))
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To: coloradan
You're an idiot for deliberately confusing short and long term trends. You cite a record cool summer as proof that global warming doesn't exist while ignoring the three or four hottest years on record - which occured during the last ten years.

The rest of your stuff is the same. Tuvalu is sinking but neighboring islands aren't. There's a conflict between surface based and satellite data, etc. Do you really think that scientists who specialize in this stuff are unaware of such arguments? That they're caught be surprise when they read about it on Free Republic or in the Daily Fish Wrap?

This stuff is being hashed out daily, even hourly, by first-rate professionals...and the consensus in their community is that global warming is real, species extinction is real.

A scientific consensus can be wrong but it's the best human beings can do at any given moment. The objections to it are strictly economic; the costs of moderating human influence are too great to bear...and the proposed interventions would be ineffective.

93 posted on 12/29/2004 8:06:12 AM PST by liberallarry
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To: liberallarry

Answer me this: If sea levels are rising, how does one island sink and its neighbors not?


94 posted on 12/29/2004 8:08:42 AM PST by coloradan (Hence, etc.)
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To: Almab
"Can they now nbe sued for not warning? They should!"

Probably!!!

But Government Tsunami Forecasters are not going to have enough assets to make it worthwhile for all the claimants and lawyers involved.

But if you could sue:

Now there's a lawsuit!!

Also add the following to the list of defendants:


95 posted on 12/29/2004 8:09:30 AM PST by DannyTN
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To: Damifino

It wasn't "Haliburton" making the decision.

It was the liberals/UN's/media/pundits/democrat's favorite party: The Thai politicians were making the decision NOT to issue a warning!


96 posted on 12/29/2004 8:12:21 AM PST by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but Kerry's ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!)
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To: liberallarry
Why is it that global warming is bad today, but it wasn't bad the other thousands of times the climate vacillated in the earth's history?

Why do liberals ignore the fact that the climate isn't constant and never has been?

97 posted on 12/29/2004 8:17:29 AM PST by Dog Gone
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To: EBH
"I didn't want to believe a government could be so stupid... "

lol.... never underestimate the stupidity of government bureaucrats. They are universally brain dead the whole world over. All they ever worry about is covering their own butts.
98 posted on 12/29/2004 8:19:45 AM PST by monday
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To: Melpomene

Don't you guys have ANY imagination? Here's what really caused the tsunami:

Recognizing the fact that BUSH's War for Oil in Iraq is going badly, Halliburton decides that it must look elsewhere. Using its geophysical technology, Halliburton intentionally set off the tsunami. "Why?", you ask. It's simple: recognizing that its Iraq work was winding down, Halliburton wants reconstruction projects in SE and South Asia. The corporation-controlled media does not report accidents; everything happens for a reason. And the reason usually involves profits for Bush's cronies. Need proof:

- Halliburton executives and technical personnel have "vacationed" in Phuket and other resorts in S. Thailand almost continuously for the past several years. Obviously, these executives and other Halliburton operatives were engaged in the project, which was codenamed "SURFSUP"
- Halliburton companies have operations in Indonesia that would serve as cover for SURFSUP. Its presence in the region would enable it to get "emergency" sole-source contracts from the Bush Administration.
- Halliburton has extensive geophysical technology and expertise that they employ for SURFSUP. Halliburton subsidiaries have actually operated in this region and have extensive seismic data.
- The Bush Administration has, of course, another reason for SURFSUP. Bush wants to divert attention from its failures in Iraq and elsewhere.
- Everything else you can read about in Michael Crighton's "State of Fear", which was released in late December to shift the blame from the evil Halliburton to the righteous environmental movement. Is it a coincidence that this heavily promoted best-seller would be released just days before this massive tsunami? Just change the name from NERF to Halliburton, and you have all you need to know about how THIS IS ALL BUSH'S FAULT!!!!!!

Fill in some irrelevant details related to:
- Halliburton employees who actually did visit Phuket in the past years (I'm sure hundreds of visits have been made by Middle East project engineers and managers on R&R. Documentary evidence of their visits certainly exists.)
- Halliburton subsidiaries and joint-ventures in South and SE Asia.
- Halliburton's geophysical expertise.
- Halliburton's contracts in the region.
- Halliburtons's funding (no matter how insignificant or indirect) of one of the sponsors of one or more of the studies cited by Crighton. This will establish a conspiracy with media to condition the public in a manner that subtly shifts blame to environmental NGOs.
- Why we can expect more tsunamis caused by global warming. (This doesn't really support the conspiracy theory, but it never hurts to repeat the looming catastrophes from global warming.)

Ridiculous? OF COURSE, it's a CONSPIRACY THEORY. The more ridiculous, the better. Non sequitors actually make the theory more believable to gullible liberals since their worldview is already based on garbled logic.

Just in case it's not transparently obvious, this post is farce. Halliburton is, in fact, a fine company that has been unscrupulously slandered and libeled by Democrats and their minions in the mainstream media.


99 posted on 12/29/2004 8:19:56 AM PST by RBroadfoot
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To: Damifino

What did Rumsfeld know and when did he know it?


100 posted on 12/29/2004 8:23:40 AM PST by verity (The Liberal Media is America's Enemy)
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