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Scientist: Asteroid May Hit Earth in 2029
Yahoo/AP ^
| 12/23/04
| JOHN ANTCZAK
Posted on 12/23/2004 8:24:16 PM PST by hole_n_one
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To: neverdem
201
posted on
01/17/2005 11:17:11 PM PST
by
SunkenCiv
(I last updated my profile on January 13, 2005)
To: hole_n_one
Odds of impact up again, to 1:15000...
202
posted on
01/22/2005 10:14:39 PM PST
by
SunkenCiv
(In the long run, there is only the short run.)
Odds up again:
1 in 14,000 chance (overall)
28 encounters, which is an increase.
Encounters beginning in 2044, ending 2104
1 in 29,000 chance on April 13 2053.
203
posted on
01/24/2005 9:58:51 PM PST
by
SunkenCiv
(In the long run, there is only the short run.)
back to 1 in 15,000 chance overall
still two encounters at Torino 1
1 in 28,000 chance on Apr 13 2053
1 in 91,000 chance on Apr 13 2044
204
posted on
01/29/2005 5:30:28 PM PST
by
SunkenCiv
(Ted "Kids, I Sunk the Honey" Kennedy is just a drunk who's never held a job (or had to).)
To: Bosco
And you thought you had seen enough of Lurch this year...Actually, I saw enough of that loser last year.
205
posted on
01/29/2005 5:43:13 PM PST
by
reg45
These results were computed on Jan 28, 2005
2004 VD17
1 in 7,690 chance overall
May 4 2091, 1 in 12,000 chance
These results were computed on May 29, 2002
1997 XR2
1 in 10,000 chance overall
Jun 6 2101, 1 in 19,000 chance
Jun 6 2101, 1 in 22,000 chance
206
posted on
01/29/2005 6:03:52 PM PST
by
SunkenCiv
(Ted "Kids, I Sunk the Honey" Kennedy is just a drunk who's never held a job (or had to).)
again, changes, still 1:14000 overall, but 1:28000 on April 13 2053, and 25 total encounters between 2044 and 2103.
207
posted on
01/31/2005 11:00:47 PM PST
by
SunkenCiv
(Ted "Kids, I Sunk the Honey" Kennedy is just a drunk who's never held a job (or had to).)
To: SunkenCiv
208
posted on
01/31/2005 11:09:04 PM PST
by
Pylon
(R)
To: Nowhere Man
I'm not sure if anyone has told you this yet or not, but that will NOT work, because ICBM's CANNOT escape the earth's orbital boundaries-- they are not meant to do so, after all. To use one, you would need to add a"superbooster", to get to the upper atmosphere, and THEN, maybe, you could use the original stages of the missile, to get out of the earth's orbital neighborhood.
Remember:: you must get to over 22,500 mph, to escape, the earth, and ,no matter what ,you would NOT want to nuke an asteroid inside of the earth's orbit. If you did, you would have Radioactive debris raining down , ALL OVER the planet.
209
posted on
01/31/2005 11:17:04 PM PST
by
Rca2000
(Helping to swing the swing state of Ohio to "W")
To: Pylon
210
posted on
01/31/2005 11:21:02 PM PST
by
SunkenCiv
(Ted "Kids, I Sunk the Honey" Kennedy is just a drunk who's never held a job (or had to).)
To: Rca2000
I'm not sure if anyone has told you this yet or not, but that will NOT work, because ICBM's CANNOT escape the earth's orbital boundaries-- they are not meant to do so, after all. To use one, you would need to add a"superbooster", to get to the upper atmosphere, and THEN, maybe, you could use the original stages of the missile, to get out of the earth's orbital neighborhood.
Remember:: you must get to over 22,500 mph, to escape, the earth, and ,no matter what ,you would NOT want to nuke an asteroid inside of the earth's orbit. If you did, you would have Radioactive debris raining down , ALL OVER the planet.
I don't think the radioactive debris would be a huge worry although the rocks from the explosion could be as well as the EMP. I know the Titan II was able to get the Gemini and Agena docking station into Earth orbit. I guess if you need a Titan II to escape the bounds of Earth, you would have to calculate the payload. I do believe there is a Titan III which was the Titan II that did use side boosters
211
posted on
02/01/2005 5:07:19 PM PST
by
Nowhere Man
(We have enough youth, how about a Fountain of Smart?)
To: ATCNavyRetiree; agitator; BIGLOOK; Bosco; baseballfanjm; beyond the sea; blam; bootless; ...
Wow! In just a few days, a big change:
Overall odds, 1 in 6,250 chance
1 in 15,000 chance on April 13 2036
Number of encounters from 2034 to 2055, reduced to eight
212
posted on
02/03/2005 11:56:38 PM PST
by
SunkenCiv
(Ted "Kids, I Sunk the Honey" Kennedy is just a drunk who's never held a job (or had to).)
To: SunkenCiv
Damn!! I had a hair appointment then!!!
213
posted on
02/03/2005 11:58:27 PM PST
by
paulat
To: paulat
I'm pretty sure these numbers are going to go up even more. The refinement of the orbit info via continued observation should have excluded impact by now, and it hasn't.
214
posted on
02/04/2005 12:02:59 AM PST
by
SunkenCiv
(Ted "Kids, I Sunk the Honey" Kennedy is just a drunk who's never held a job (or had to).)
To: SunkenCiv
To: hole_n_one
Well there we don't have to worry about Social Security for Baby Boomers now...
216
posted on
02/04/2005 6:30:16 AM PST
by
missyme
(imho)
To: mtg
Have the French surrendered yet?ROFL!!
217
posted on
02/04/2005 7:10:26 AM PST
by
PistolPaknMama
(Will work for cool tag line.)
To: Lonesome in Massachussets
Wow, should be a nice show, eh? :')
218
posted on
02/04/2005 10:17:50 PM PST
by
SunkenCiv
(Ted "Kids, I Sunk the Honey" Kennedy is just a drunk who's never held a job (or had to).)
To: Domestic Church
That would be one hell of a party!
219
posted on
02/04/2005 10:20:32 PM PST
by
RetroWarrior
("We count it death to falter, not to die")
Odds the same, but the number of encounters up to nine.
220
posted on
02/04/2005 10:24:23 PM PST
by
SunkenCiv
(Ted "Kids, I Sunk the Honey" Kennedy is just a drunk who's never held a job (or had to).)
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