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To: Torie
I will take your word on the numbers (although they surprise me), but if metro Charlotte stayed even, while Bush widened his margin by 3% nationally, that is hardly encouraging.

Encouraging enough to me, in light of the fact that Senator Edwards, born in SC and elected in NC, was on the ticket. Certainly the Dems were expecting a closer result.

Just look at the percentage of metro Charlotte Bush pere got in 1988.

The first President Bush took NC in 1988 by 58-42, as compared to his son's 56-44 margins in 2000 and 2004. But in the metro Charlotte area (including the same counties previously referred to), GHWB ran a bit behind his NC numbers, winning the metro area 57-43. What's more interesting is the growth of the total metro Charlotte vote between 1988 and 2004: the major-party total in 1988 was 464,000 votes (GHWB 264,000, Clinton 200,000); by 2004, it had surged by 41%, to 652,000 votes (W 393,000, Kerry 259,000).

But, well, in a generation we both might not be posting on FR for one of us to tell the other I told you so.

I plan to be here. Just because I'm a veteran of the Youth for McKinley movement, don't assume I won't be around a while longer.

I enjoy these discussions. My best wishes to you for a very Merry Christmas.

29 posted on 12/22/2004 9:56:53 PM PST by southernnorthcarolina (If you're not part of the solution, you're part of the precipitate. )
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To: southernnorthcarolina
Merry Christmas to you as well. It is always a pleasure chatting with you.

Here are the numbers for 1988 from the counties you mentioned, from the LEIPS site. Granted, in 1988 some may not have been in your metro list, but then if GOP rural counties disappear from the map as the metro area expands, one sort of ends up in the same place. It's spelled E-R-O-S-I-O-N. You heard it here first.


Gaston		14582	34775
Lijncoln	6444	11651
Catawba		12922	28872
Iredell		10530	21536
Rowan		12127	23192
Cabarrus	10686	22524
Union		8820	17015
Lancaster	6181	9152
York		11458	21657
Mecklenberg	71907	106236


		165657	296610

		36.11%	63.89%

		Margin	130953

30 posted on 12/22/2004 10:25:31 PM PST by Torie
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To: southernnorthcarolina

Oh, I think you maybe mixed up 1988 with 1992, since I see Clinton's name. LOL.


31 posted on 12/22/2004 10:26:53 PM PST by Torie
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