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If Sweden was a U.S. state, how rich would it be? (HINT: Not Very)
The Claremont Institute ^ | December 7, 2004 | Joey Tartakovsky

Posted on 12/08/2004 4:18:33 AM PST by Stoat

 

If Sweden was a U.S. state, how rich would it be?

 

Two Swedish economists recently published a study that asks how European countries would fare if suddenly admitted into the American union. The results? If the UK, France, or Italy became U.S. states, they would rank as the fifth poorest of the fifty, ahead only of Arkansas, Montana, West Virginia, and Mississippi. The richest EU country—Ireland—would be the 13th poorest. Sweden would be the 6th poorest. In fact, the study found that 40% of all Swedish households would classify as low-income in the U.S.

 

This means that poorer U.S. states enjoy affluence comparable to that of richer European states—Denmark is equivalent to Kentucky—whether measured in terms of home ownership, or number of microwaves and cars possessed. “Material prosperity,” the authors write of the U.S., “is high and not associated with the material standard of living which many people in Europe probably associate with poverty. Good economic development, in other words, results in even poor people being relatively well off.”

 

By the 1880s, the U.S. had become the world’s richest nation (measured in per capita GDP). In the 1990s, U.S. growth was twice that of Europe’s, and three times that of Japan’s. The U.S. per capita income is now 55% higher than the EU-15 average, and 50% higher than Japan’s.

 

Here’s the not-so-secret recipe for achieving European-style stagnation and decline. First, combine high unemployment and aging populations to ensure that welfare costs far exceed worker contributions. Then, stuff with generous entitlements, massive tax burdens, rigid labor markets, and regulation-mad bureaucracies. For flavor, add dashes of socialism and right-wing paternalism. Bake. (For additional recipe ideas, consult Joy of Administrating by Ted Kennedy, or English departments everywhere.)

Joey Tartakovsky is assistant editor of the Claremont Review of Books.

(Here's the study's preface - the entire document is 49 pages)

PREFACE
IF THE EU WERE A PART of the United States of America, would it belong to the richest
or the poorest group of states?
At the beginning of the 1990s, there was no need to ask. Europe’s economic future was
a subject of growing optimism. Productivity growth had for some decades been higher
than in other countries of similar standing, and that growth was now going to be hugely
accelerated by the elimination of trade barriers and the closer economic integration resulting
from the Single Market. The EU as an institution was – and was undoubtedly seen as
– a vehicle for growth and economic liberalisation. In other words, the EU was able to do
what politicians in several member countries had wished for but had failed to achieve: to
increase economic openness, to strengthen the process of competition, and harness the
political process behind a liberal reform agenda.
Today, the perspectives on the EU, and the outlook on its future, are radically different.
Economic growth during the 1990s never became what many had wished for. Some
countries performed reasonably well, most notably Ireland, but on the whole the EU
was lagging far behind other countries during the whole decade. Productivity growth
decreased and by mid-decade the EU was running behind the US in this respect. The
process of convergence in productivity, a much talked-about process since the 1970s,
had once again become a process of divergence.
The role, and status, of the EU in the economic reform process has also changed. Instead
of a clear focus on economic reforms and growth, the EU (the Commission as well as the
Council) has concentrated its ambitions on other political objectives. Hence, the EU no
longer is – or is seen as – the great economic liberator of Europe. It is generally not
performing as a vehicle for reforms, nor as leverage for policies that are needed but
impossible to accomplish in the national political arenas.
Is it possible to break the spell of economic stagnation in Europe? Yes, undoubtedly.
But, alas, it seems highly improbable. The member countries have agreed on a relatively
far-reaching reform agenda in the Lisbon accord (yes, in the modern European context it
is far-reaching). But the agenda lacks impetus. Not to say a true awareness of the need
of reforms. Worse still, many European politicians and opinion-formers seem totally
unaware of the lagging performance of the EU economies and that a few percentage
units lower growth will affect their welfare in comparison with other economies.
Such is the background to this study on the differences in growth and welfare between
Europe and the US. Too many politicians, policy-makers, and voters are continuing their
long vacation from reality. On the one hand, they accept, or in some cases even prefer, a
substantially lower growth than in the US. On the other hand, they still want us to enjoy
the same luxuries and be able to afford the same welfare as Americans can. Needless to
say, that is not possible. But the real political problem is that lower welfare standards –
as with inequality in general – are a relative measure for most people. They are always
viewed by comparison with others, and rarely in absolute terms. People would rather
weep in the backseat of a new Mercedes than in the backseat of a second-hand
Volkswagen.
This study is based on a widely acclaimed and thought-provoking book – Sweden versus
the US – that was published earlier this year in Swedish by the same authors – Dr. Fredrik
Bergström, President of The Swedish Research Institute of Trade, and Mr. Robert
Gidehag, formerly the Chief Economist of the same institute, and now President of the
Swedish Taxpayers’ Association. The study presents important perspectives on European
growth and welfare. Its highlight is the benchmark of EU member states and regions to
US states. The disturbing result of that benchmark should put it at the top of the agenda
for Europe’s future.
Fredrik Erixon
Chief Economist, Timbro

 



TOPICS: Business/Economy; Foreign Affairs; Government; Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: claremont; economics; economy; eu; europe; geopolitics; globalism; govwatch; scandinavia; socialism; sweden; taxes; taxrate
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To: americanbychoice2

I am not from the EU countries, but get provoct when bullshit hits. I have neutral stance here.


101 posted on 01/15/2005 10:39:07 AM PST by tomjohn77
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To: DainBramage
What about Sweden's vast hot chocolate empire? They should be able to get a few bucks from that. Maybe they could team up with a country specializing in marshmallows.
102 posted on 01/15/2005 10:43:03 AM PST by exile (Exile - Helen Thomas tried to lure me into her Gingerbread House.)
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To: tomjohn77

as a frmer European director for my company in the financial world, I wouldn't exactly call myself unable to grasp the economic principles.
Your PPP example does not take into consideration the various taxes and social contributions that take gross pay to net pay.
There are also many variables you encouter in the real world as opposed to "PPP studies".

Purchasing Power Parity



What is Purchasing Power Parity?

Purchasing power parity (PPP) is a theory which states that exchange rates between currencies are in equilibrium when their purchasing power is the same in each of the two countries. This means that the exchange rate between two countries should equal the ratio of the two countries' price level of a fixed basket of goods and services. When a country's domestic price level is increasing (i.e., a country experiences inflation), that country's exchange rate must depreciated in order to return to PPP.
The basis for PPP is the "law of one price". In the absence of transportation and other transaction costs, competitive markets will equalize the price of an identical good in two countries when the prices are expressed in the same currency. For example, a particular TV set that sells for 750 Canadian Dollars [CAD] in Vancouver should cost 500 US Dollars [USD] in Seattle when the exchange rate between Canada and the US is 1.50 CAD/USD. If the price of the TV in Vancouver was only 700 CAD, consumers in Seattle would prefer buying the TV set in Vancouver. If this process (called "arbitrage") is carried out at a large scale, the US consumers buying Canadian goods will bid up the value of the Canadian Dollar, thus making Canadian goods more costly to them. This process continues until the goods have again the same price. There are three caveats with this law of one price. (1) As mentioned above, transportation costs, barriers to trade, and other transaction costs, can be significant. (2) There must be competitive markets for the goods and services in both countries. (3) The law of one price only applies to tradeable goods; immobile goods such as houses, and many services that are local, are of course not traded between countries.
Economists use two versions of Purchasing Power Parity: absolute PPP and relative PPP. Absolute PPP was described in the previous paragraph; it refers to the equalization of price levels across countries. Put formally, the exchange rate between Canada and the United States ECAD/USD is equal to the price level in Canada PCAN divided by the price level in the United States PUSA. Assume that the price level ratio PCAD/PUSD implies a PPP exchange rate of 1.3 CAD per 1 USD. If today's exchange rate ECAD/USD is 1.5 CAD per 1 USD, PPP theory implies that the CAD will appreciate (get stronger) against the USD, and the USD will in turn depreciate (get weaker) against the CAD.
Relative PPP refers to rates of changes of price levels, that is, inflation rates. This proposition states that the rate of appreciation of a currency is equal to the difference in inflation rates between the foreign and the home country. For example, if Canada has an inflation rate of 1% and the US has an inflation rate of 3%, the US Dollar will depreciate against the Canadian Dollar by 2% per year. This proposition holds well empirically especially when the inflation differences are large.


103 posted on 01/15/2005 10:46:21 AM PST by americanbychoice2
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To: americanbychoice2

A strange thing is that the worlds richest man is a Swede. Kamprad. The man who own IKEA


104 posted on 01/15/2005 10:47:29 AM PST by tomjohn77
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To: americanbychoice2

lets cut and paste.


105 posted on 01/15/2005 10:51:40 AM PST by tomjohn77
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To: tomjohn77

He had an excellent concept. I have bought IKEA stuff for my Daughter while living in Europe.
Good products.


106 posted on 01/15/2005 10:52:34 AM PST by americanbychoice2
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To: tomjohn77

LOL, it beats, typing with my thick finger(1)


107 posted on 01/15/2005 10:53:59 AM PST by americanbychoice2
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To: americanbychoice2

You have to do better than that. I tell you I know the top 3% of the incomers in the States are richer than the top 3% in any other country. Since they have so much of the wealth it makes GDP for average Americans not that high at all. ADD to that the hugh investment in military and it might happend that average people in Irland and Denmark are better off.


108 posted on 01/15/2005 10:56:40 AM PST by tomjohn77
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To: americanbychoice2

I love Luxembourg wish I was a citizen of that country. I tell you nothing can match the wealth of that small nation


109 posted on 01/15/2005 10:59:17 AM PST by tomjohn77
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To: tomjohn77

Are you getting ready to cry?


110 posted on 01/15/2005 11:01:08 AM PST by JeffersonRepublic.com (The 51st state is right around the corner.)
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To: americanbychoice2

Ikea is cheap and looks nice


111 posted on 01/15/2005 11:01:57 AM PST by tomjohn77
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To: tomjohn77

Military Budgets are paid through our existing taxes. While you are correct that we have enormeous expenses being the Worlds Policeman,(I don't like it, but nobody else applied for the job) that other countries do not encounter, or want the US to shoulder the burden, Those expenses come out of the existing budget, they are not added independently.
EU Governments are going broke because of their enormeous Social expenses that can't be met any more.
I.E. Germany:

Social security=19.5 % matched by Employer
Health Insurance: 15.9% matched
Unemployment: 1.5% matched
Long term care: 2% matched
East unification 8% matched
Eco taxes:

At Purchase: 16% VAT
5 times the price for such things as Gas, Oil, Electricity, etc

All those items are not considered in measuring PPP


112 posted on 01/15/2005 11:05:40 AM PST by americanbychoice2
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To: JeffersonRepublic.com

Almost if you have been there you would like it too. Almost like a fairy tale. Castles etc plus a lot of finance is going on there. But Norway will do for me. I could have been more unfortunate. Like born in Africa etc


113 posted on 01/15/2005 11:06:10 AM PST by tomjohn77
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To: tomjohn77

Make an apllication and immigrate?
They need people, they are running short.


114 posted on 01/15/2005 11:07:09 AM PST by americanbychoice2
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To: americanbychoice2

Well electricity is not that expensive. Just to make a small compareson in my country we pay 2700 dollar on average for medicare compare to your 4100 dollar. ineffective


115 posted on 01/15/2005 11:08:49 AM PST by tomjohn77
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To: americanbychoice2

you know that an average Luxembourg man earns almost twice as much as a man in US. PPP. And the US is a rich nation


116 posted on 01/15/2005 11:10:34 AM PST by tomjohn77
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To: tomjohn77

what is your country?


117 posted on 01/15/2005 11:12:49 AM PST by americanbychoice2
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To: americanbychoice2

vel jeg må ut a drikke litt nå. Skal på vorspiel, fest og nachspiel. Blir noen øl


118 posted on 01/15/2005 11:12:52 AM PST by tomjohn77
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To: AngloSaxon

IRELAND'S ECONOMIC MIRACLE
Address:http://www.iedm.org/library/art23_fr.html


119 posted on 01/15/2005 11:13:54 AM PST by jonestown ( Tolerance for intolerance is not tolerance at all. It's appeasement)
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To: tomjohn77

Sweden?


120 posted on 01/15/2005 11:13:56 AM PST by americanbychoice2
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