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Kristol: The Iraq Promise
The Weekly Standard ^ | December 13, 2004 | William Kristol

Posted on 12/05/2004 3:50:50 PM PST by RWR8189

The sounds emanating from the Middle East are the sounds, faint but unmistakable, of the ice cracking.

THE SOUNDS one hears emanating from the Arab Middle East are the sounds, faint but unmistakable, of the ice cracking. Though long suppressed and successfully repressed, demands for liberal reform and claims of the right to self-government seem to be on the verge of breaking through in that difficult region.

The key to turning these random sounds of discontent into the beginnings of a symphony of self-government is, of course, success in Iraq. Here, the last month's news--the mainstream media to the contrary notwithstanding--is promising. Bush's reelection victory; the successful offensive in Falluja and the failure of the "Sunni street" to rise up in outrage; the inability of both the terrorists and antidemocratic political forces to deter the Iraqi and American governments from moving ahead with the January 30 elections; the president's willingness to increase U.S. troop levels, and his commitment to victory--all of this enables one to be cautiously optimistic about the prospects in Iraq.

And if Iraq goes well, the allegedly "utopian" and "Wilsonian" dreams of fundamental change in the broader Middle East won't look so far-fetched. Failure in Iraq, it's widely recognized, would be an utter disaster. What's less widely recognized is that the rewards of victory could be considerable. The most obvious and tangible benefits would of course be for the Iraqi people, and secondarily for American geopolitical credibility. But the indirect effects in the Middle East should not be underestimated.

Consider just the following comments made in the last couple of weeks in the Arab media, brought to our attention and translated by the invaluable Middle East Media Research Institute:

 

It is outrageous, and amazing, that the first free and general elections in the history of the Arab nation are to take place in January: in Iraq, under the auspices of American occupation, and in Palestine, under the auspices of the Israeli occupation. . . .

 

It is well and good for the Arabs to demand the right of political representation for [Iraq's] Sunni Arabs out of concern for them in the face of the tyranny of the other Iraqi groups and out of concern for national unity and the ideal relative representation. But we do not understand why this concern does not apply to the many Arab countries that do not permit their minorities to announce their existence, let alone their right to [political] representation. . . .

It is sad and pathetic that the eyes of the entire world are upon the Palestinian and Iraqi elections that will be held under the lances of foreign occupation, while the peoples of the "independent, free, and sovereign" Arab countries have no way of expressing their will.

Salameh Nematt
Washington bureau chief for the London-based daily Al Hayat
November 25

 

Some of the [Arab League] members . . .maintain that the Baghdad government is not legitimate. Why? They argue that it is not elected and was appointed by the American occupation. This widespread view has some basis. . . . However, the talk of the illegitimacy of the [Iraqi] government. . . . allows us to raise questions regarding most of the regimes in the region . . . some of which emerged as a result of coups or internal conspiracies, when no one asked the people what it thought.

Abdel Rahman al-Rashed
director-general of Al Arabia TV, writing in the London-based daily Al Sharq Al Awsat
November 24

 

We are not being fair to the current Iraqi government. Not me, nor you, nor the other guest on this program, not even the viewers, but history will do justice to them. These people are establishing the first democracy in the Middle East. This country will be a platform for liberties in the whole region. In Iraq, the days of a leader who remains on his throne until he dies are gone. This is over. For the first time the Iraqi leader will be elected by Iraqi ballots.

Egyptian journalist Nabil Sharaf al-Din, speaking on Al Jazeera TV about the future of Iraq
November 23

 

No one can be confident how widely these sentiments are shared, or how quickly these views can penetrate so as to have real political effect. And obviously the road to democracy will be a rocky one, with twists and turns along the way, and outcomes that will not be entirely to our liking. But suddenly, with the election in Afghanistan, with the forthcoming elections in the Palestinian Authority and Iraq, with voices of change being heard in the Arab world, Bush's "idealistic" project looks surprisingly realistic. This puts a greater burden on the Bush administration to be more serious about improving the execution of its Middle East strategy, both in Iraq and elsewhere. But it does suggest that with thoughtful and energetic execution, the strategy can begin to show important and far-reaching results.

--William Kristol


TOPICS: Editorial; Foreign Affairs; Government; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: elections; iraq; iraqelections; kristol; weeklystandard; weekylstandard

1 posted on 12/05/2004 3:50:50 PM PST by RWR8189
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To: RWR8189
The Iraqi election must, and will, take place on January 30th.

God bless George W. Bush.

2 posted on 12/05/2004 3:55:31 PM PST by E. Pluribus Unum (Drug prohibition laws help fund terrorism.)
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To: RWR8189

Wow....it is amazing to see some of these comments - particularly those that expose what we have always seen as irony - the complaints of "unfair or coerced elections" arising from dictatorial monarchists in neighboring Arab states.


3 posted on 12/05/2004 3:56:41 PM PST by anniegetyourgun
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To: RWR8189

I expect Castro to be gone by the end of Bush's term as well.


4 posted on 12/05/2004 4:05:02 PM PST by what's up
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

That shining Arab city on a hill? IMHO, the only way to avoid WWIII.


5 posted on 12/05/2004 4:14:34 PM PST by Tail Gunner John
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To: RWR8189

This dreadful oratory! Cloaking our determined overthrow of murderous regimes who have collectively attacked us and replacing them with examples of civilized and acceptable new governments designed and directed by us in flowery airy language is an atrocity. What we are doing is deliberate and purposeful reshaping of power structures throughout the Middle East and beyond. The enemy knows this and we have told them. Kristol and his "poets" can retire to write sonnets or ad copy or whatever. The sissies can come in after we clean up the place,


6 posted on 12/05/2004 4:15:12 PM PST by CBart95
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To: RWR8189

Great things can happen. And you can bet we have some neighbors scared . Like all of them...


7 posted on 12/05/2004 4:21:39 PM PST by Deetes
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To: Deetes

"Great things can happen. And you can bet we have some neighbors scared . Like all of them..."


Which is a very good thing.


8 posted on 12/05/2004 4:45:38 PM PST by MNJohnnie (Next up, US Senate. 60 in 06!)
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To: RWR8189
Posted earlier: The Iraq Promise.

Please search before posting.

9 posted on 12/05/2004 5:07:40 PM PST by ThePythonicCow (Welcome home, Vietnam Vets.)
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To: ThePythonicCow

The only problem with this is that they are taking to us. We have sat there like doves for 1 1/2 years. Why are we not liquidating these trouble pockets?

If they pull off one spectacular killing either before or on election day we lose in the court of public opinion. We should have thinned them back and gotten out of there. I care what kind of fake islamic government gets temporary control?? We cant control our own inner cities let alone societies that havent contributed to mankind for 1400 years.


10 posted on 12/05/2004 6:11:10 PM PST by samadams2000
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To: RWR8189
Bush's "idealistic" project looks surprisingly realistic.

I never found the mission idealistic, nor was I surprised at its realism.

Kristol needs to stop drinking from whatever source Sen. McCain uses. I have seldom liked McCain's military assessments, although I do think he is a legitimate supporter of our troops.

11 posted on 12/05/2004 6:15:05 PM PST by xzins (Retired Army and Proud of It!)
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