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To: MNJohnnie
I refer you to post# 107 on this thread:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1289227/posts?q=1&&page=101

Considering that retired people (who vote at much higher rates) would be most affected, I would venture that your tag line "Next up, US Senate. 60 in 06!" would a realistic goal for the Democrats if the collapse were to occur several months prior to the 2006 midterm elections.

Republican Representatives know that 100% of them face reelection in 2006, unlike Bush and 2/3rds of the Senate. That is why they must be more in tune with the electorate, witness the way they are standing up to their own leadership on the issue of drivers license's for illegal aliens. The Republican Congress does have a record of fiscal responsibility, unlike the Democratic Congress or President Bush.
314 posted on 11/28/2004 11:58:29 AM PST by fallujah-nuker (I like Ike.)
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To: fallujah-nuker
""Next up, US Senate. 60 in 06!" would a realistic goal for the Democrats if the collapse were to occur several months prior to the 2006 midterm elections."

No, that's not only wildly wrong, it's not even *mathematically* possible. Republicans only have 15 Senate seats up for re-election in 2006. Democrats only hold 44 Senate seats. 15 + 44 does NOT equal 60.

You people need to calm down. You are at least the second person on this thread to post the ridiculous notion that somehow Republicans could face catastrophic election losses in 2006 if your pet concepts aren't promptly supported by every Pubbie.

That's just not how our system works.

Shifts in power are very gradual in the U.S. From the Civil War until the early 1900's, Republicans ruled. But by the end of that era, Democratic voter registrations had finally caught up to Republican registrations. Then Democrats moved from parity up to 66% of all voter registrations in America.

But from that peak between 1930 and 1960, Democrats have steadily lost their voter registration edge, with Republicans and Democrats reaching parity this year with 37% each.

It will take another 20 to 40 years before either Party takes a commanding lead in voter registrations (say, 25% above the other).

That sort of glacial change does *not* indicate a national election skunking no matter how bad either Party behaves or how bad a national event impacts our collective pysche (e.g. Pearl Harbor, Vietnam, Watergate, 9/11).

Moreover, you've got to comprehend basic math. Democrats physically *can't* win 60 Senate seats in 2006. In contrast, Republicans could mathematically take all 18 non-Republican Senate seats in 2006 to theoretically yield up to 73 Senate seats under Pubbie control. Of course, that won't happen either. Americans simply aren't that radical. We're a centrist nation that re-elects the same crew, with rare exceptions as well as in line with established trends (say, voter registration shifts, red-state - blue state prejudices, etc.).

316 posted on 11/28/2004 1:21:32 PM PST by Southack (Media Bias means that Castro won't be punished for Cuban war crimes against Black Angolans in Africa)
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