I would not bet against you. This has been the sordid history. The only problem for the administration, (and it was very serious a few weeks before the election) is that a terrorist attack will undo the administration.
If he orders them, they will follow their oath. Which oath do you think is taken more seriously?
The following oath is taken by all personnel inducted into the armed forces of the United States, as found in the US Code, Section 502.
I, _________, do solemnly swear (or affirm) that I will support and defend the Constitution of the United States against all enemies, foreign and domestic; that I will bear true faith and allegiance to the same; and that I will obey the orders of the President of the United States and the orders of the officers appointed over me, according to regulations and the Uniform Code of Military Justice. So help me God.
President of the United States (Executive Branch)
"I do solemnly swear (or affirm) that I will faithfully execute the office of President of the United States, and will to the best of my ability, preserve, protect and defend the Constitution of the United States."