Posted on 11/06/2004 6:49:07 AM PST by An American!
33 Senators running for reelection in 2006. There will be 18 democrats, 14 republicans and 1 independent up for reelection:
Democrats in order of likelihood of being defeated
Byrd, Robert (D) West Virginia
Feinstein, Diane (D) California
Kennedy, Edward (D) Massachusetts
Bingaman, Jeff (D) New Mexico
Nelson, Bill (D)Florida
Vulnerable
Clinton, Hillary (D) New York
Dayton, Mark (D) Minnesota
Kohl, Herb (D) Wisconsin
Stabenow, Debbie (D) Michigan
Jeffords, Jim (I) Vermont
Somewhat Vulnerable
Cantwell, Maria (D) Washington
Corzine, Jon (D) New Jersey
Conrad, Kent (D) North Dakota
Nelson, Ben (D) Nebraska
Sarbanes, Paul (D) Maryland
Carper, Thomas (D) Delaware
Safe & Sound
Akaka, Daniel (D) Hawaii
Carper, Thomas (D) Delaware
Lieberman, Joe (D) Connecticut
Republicans in order of likelihood of being defeated
Hutchison, Kay Baily (R) Texas
Frist, William (R) Tennessee
Lugar, Richard (R) Indiana
Lott, Trent (R) Mississippi
Hatch, Orrin (R) Utah
Vulnerable
Allen, George (R) Virginia
DeWine, Mike (R) Ohio
Snowe, Olympia (R) Maine
Somewhat Vulnerable
Burns, Conrad (R) Montana
Chafee, Lincoln (R) Rhode Island
Santorum, Rick (R) Pennsylvania
Safe & Sound
Ensign, John (R) Nevada
Kyl, Jon (R) Arizona
Thomas, Craig (R) Wyoming
No he doesn't. Nelson has a lifetime ACU rating of 17%.
That's ball's to the wall -- left!
Just give us five to the good and we get rid of old Mr.Philly Buster.
Agreed. She's extremely safe here in Texas.
Frist isn't going to run for re-election.
You are so correct. He was the invisible man. If only he would use that golden microphone. His last press conference was terrific. He can joke, jab and hit them over the head with their own stupidity and bias.
No Frist will not to get ready for his WH run in 08. Maybe Jeb should go after Nelson down in FL and rumors is the Neb dem may switch to republican before the election (He may do the right thing and run in the republican primany.)
I read somewhere that he is considering changing parties after the start of the new year.
Likely to be defeated?...Kennedy,Feinstein,Byrd<? What have you been smoking. The Peoples Republick of Massassachusetts and California have spoken.
I am from Texas and Kay Bailey should be replaced with a concervative. She is a nice lady but not conservative.
Really?
That's what he said in 2000 after winning re-election, and he hasn't recanted it.
Tough to give up Senate Majority Leader.
He's making less money than if he'd remained a private practice physician. He might make a run at the Presidency in 2008, but it won't be as a sitting senator.
Rumors abound that Feinstein may retire in 2006 at age 73.
Frist is not running for re-election, he has a self-imposed term limit of 2.
No Senator is vulnerable in his or her own right. I.e., can be defeated by a lesser-known candidate.
Likely resignations: Clinton (D-NY), Corzine (D-NJ), Hutchinson (R-TX), Frist (R-TN), Chafee (R-RI)
Hillary has a simple calculus. If Rudy runs, she loses, if Rudy doesn't run, she wins. If she loses, she will never be president. If she does not run, the Democrats will retain this seat unless Pataki or Rudy go for it.Corzine will resign to run for the Governorship and will very likely win. This is an outside shot since the NJ Dems are in such disarray and disrepute.
Kay Bailey will probably run for governor but her replacement is very likely to be R.
Frist is running for President. The Dems want this seat. Harold Ford wants it. Not bloody likely.
Chafee will switch to whatever party will elect him. For partisan purposes, this might as well be a resignation.
Generally vulnerable to a celebrity candidate:
Bingaman (D-NM), Nelson (D-FL), Dayton (D-MN), Conrad (D-ND)
These are the weakest of the pack and if a well-known celebrity candidate, say a former popular pol or a sports figure, were to run against them, they might lose.
Vulnerable to a specific candidate:
Kohl (D-WI) to T. Thompson, Jeffords (I-VT) to Howard Dean (no kidding), Clinton (D-NY) to Rudy, Nelson (D-FL) to Jeb (rumor is that Katherine Harris has been promised a clear shot at this seat which would be great, she would draw all Democrat money to Florida).
Death watch:
If Kennedy cannot run, Mitt Romney or Bill Weld could win the seat. If Byrd cannot run, that is a better than even R pickup.
You'll like my new tagline, then.
"Kay Bailey should be replaced with a conservative".
Agree 100%.
Well, LBJ gave up the Senate majority leadership for the vice presidency 44 years ago.
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