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Oil price drops below $49 mark ($48.82 down from $55.17 high on Tuesday)
Houston Chronicle ^ | November 5, 2004 | GEORGE JAHN, AP

Posted on 11/05/2004 12:57:49 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife

VIENNA, AUSTRIA - Oil futures prices plunged by more than $2 a barrel Thursday, continuing a sell-off that began last week amid rising U.S. supplies of crude and expectations of a surge in heating oil production before winter arrives.

Also helping to push prices below $49 a barrel was an Energy Department report showing a larger-than-expected increase last week in the amount of stored natural gas, which was already abundant.

"This is acting like a bear market," said Ed Silliere, vice president of risk management at Energy Merchant in New York.

Silliere said there was a large wave of selling among well-financed institutional investors, adding to the downward momentum.

Light, sweet crude for December delivery fell by $2.06 to settle at $48.82 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It was the first time prices settled below $49 a barrel since Sept. 24.

Oil prices have fallen $6.35, or 11.5 percent, since last Tuesday, when New York futures settled at $55.17 per barrel, matching the record settlement price first set Oct. 22.

"The market does have some downward momentum," said Steve Turner at Commerzbank in London, citing fears that the global economy is starting to slow, which could shrink demand. London Brent was down $1.55 at $46.01 on the International Petroleum Exchange.

The U.S. Energy Department reported Thursday that natural gas in storage rose by 44 billion cubic feet to 3.29 trillion cubic feet, or 7.8 percent above the five-year average for this time of year. December natural gas futures, which are up more than 75 percent from a year ago, fell 55.3 cents to $8.199 per thousand cubic feet.

December heating oil was down 5.17 cents at $1.3721 per gallon, and gasoline futures slid 5.03 cents to $1.2774 per gallon.

The decline in oil prices mainly reflected the market's reaction to the Energy Department's Wednesday report, which showed that commercially available stocks of crude oil in the United States rose by 6.3 million barrels to 289.7 million barrels last week. A week earlier, the agency reported a 4 million barrel rise.

Traders speculated over what President Bush's re-election would mean for energy policy, with analysts saying he is likely to maintain a fossil-fuel friendly policy and bolster U.S. strategic reserves, already at 670 million barrels.

• In Iraq, militants have threatened to strike oil installations and government buildings if the Americans launch an all-out assault on Fallujah. Exports from northern Iraq have already been suspended up to 10 days after saboteurs blew up a pipeline. • In Africa's largest producer Nigeria, thousands marched in support of a strike called Nov. 16 to protest domestic fuel prices.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Front Page News; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: economy; energy; energyprices; oil
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

Here in the Northeast where we use heating oil for our furnaces, $2+ per gallon may be a survival issue for many people. A drop of any kind is good, another $15 would be truly good news.


41 posted on 11/05/2004 4:01:17 AM PST by aardvark1 (Something was seared in my memory but I forgot what it was.)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
I suspect that George Soros has lost more than the reported $17 million that he put into his infamous get out the vote efforts.

It seems he may have lost a bundle on those oil futures as well. HeHeHe.

42 posted on 11/05/2004 4:03:37 AM PST by been_lurking
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
Traders speculated over what President Bush's re-election would mean for energy policy,

Case closed!

43 posted on 11/05/2004 4:03:56 AM PST by EGPWS
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

I paid $1.78 a gal. in Gilmer, Texas yesterday. In NE Texas it usually runs about $1.87 a gal. I think we will see prices get back in the $1.70's range by the end of the year.....Hopefully.


44 posted on 11/05/2004 4:18:21 AM PST by toomanygrasshoppers ("Hold on to your hats.....it's going to be a bumpy night")
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To: been_lurking

Soros was the first one to sell the oil futures. I'll bet he made a bundle, and the Euroweenies that he talked into helping him took the bath.


45 posted on 11/05/2004 4:21:41 AM PST by Richard Kimball (Four more years)
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To: dokmad

You're lucky, at least, that you have oil heat - I'll probably be paying 2.5 to 3 times as much per gallon to run our propane furnace, for half the heat content per gallon than heating oil.


46 posted on 11/05/2004 4:29:06 AM PST by mvpel (Michael Pelletier)
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To: Cincinatus' Wife
Kaboom. It'll be below $45 by the end of the year, $30 by the end of next summer (with victory clearly on the way in Iraq).
47 posted on 11/05/2004 5:17:07 AM PST by JasonC
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

This whole thing was ALL about who would win The Presidency!These oil prices have been ARTIFICIALLY inflated by a few traders!!First it was the trouble in Venezuela,then it was hurricane season,then it was the Russian oil co!!!!!You know what,it's all a great load of HORSESH*T to shake us down!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


48 posted on 11/05/2004 5:21:22 AM PST by bandleader
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To: GeronL

Because it NEVER belonged where it was!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


49 posted on 11/05/2004 5:22:23 AM PST by bandleader
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To: drangundsturm

That's Right!"W" Took The Gloves Off Yesterday!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


50 posted on 11/05/2004 5:23:22 AM PST by bandleader
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To: SoDak

PLENTY!!!They thought they could use RIDICULOUSLY high oil prices to defeat"W"!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


51 posted on 11/05/2004 5:24:46 AM PST by bandleader
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To: Cincinatus' Wife

I think he made that ABUNDANTLY clear yesterday!!!!!


52 posted on 11/05/2004 5:25:49 AM PST by bandleader
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To: dokmad

Mega Dittos to that!My oil contract for this season is almost 50% higher than last year's!!!!!!!!!!


53 posted on 11/05/2004 5:28:51 AM PST by bandleader
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To: bandleader

He was great!


54 posted on 11/05/2004 5:53:03 AM PST by Cincinatus' Wife
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To: Ff--150
Hehehe. And he lost his [bleep] on the Canadian, Aussie and New Zealand dollars. Hohoho...

I think he got wind that some Texas Freeper was going to clean his clock ... ;o)

55 posted on 11/05/2004 8:41:42 AM PST by 4CJ (Laissez les bon FReeps rouler)
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To: dokmad
sure hope this price drop starts showing up at the pumps

I'm with you. When can we expect to start seeing this at the pumps?

56 posted on 11/05/2004 8:49:37 AM PST by Terabitten (Live as a bastion of freedom and democracy in the midst of the heart of darkness.)
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To: toomanygrasshoppers
I think we will see prices get back in the $1.70's range by the end of the year.....Hopefully.

Yeah... but it was a buck twenty before we invaded Iraq (not trying to make any connection, just for timeline purposes.)

57 posted on 11/05/2004 8:51:55 AM PST by Terabitten (Live as a bastion of freedom and democracy in the midst of the heart of darkness.)
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To: 4ConservativeJustices
"I think he got wind that some Texas Freeper was going to clean his clock ... ;o)"

1. Lavish increase of incomes!
2. Multiple floods of cash flow!
3. Supernatural debt-cancellation!
4. Thousandfold return on seed sown.

58 posted on 11/05/2004 11:22:30 AM PST by Ff--150 (III John 2)
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