It's possible, but we would need to have good recruitment and several popular Dems like Lieberman retire.
Calling Rudi Giuliani!
Nelson of Nebraska may switch to Repub.
Just think, it's only 729 days until election day in 2006.
Win all those and GOP is at 61. Even w/o NJ's open seat GOP = 60. Very good shot the way this nation is trending.
I firmly believe that Bill Nelson of Florida is very beatable if Jeb Bush is willing to take him on.
Ahnold!!
6 Dems who got <52% of the vote. There's a chance.
Targets: (I think all of our seats are safe this time around)
Robert Byrd of West Virginia 78% (may retire)
Maria Cantwell of Washington 49% (Nethercutt again)
Hillary Rodham Clinton of New York 55% (Guiliani has a shot)
Kent Conrad of North Dakota 62% (Need a good candidate, get working ND!)
Mark Dayton of Minnesota 49% (Doable. Need a good candidate)
Dianne Feinstein of California 56% (Tough. Need much better than Bill Jones. Run McClintock or Michael Reagan)
Herb Kohl of Wisconsin 62% (Tommy Thompson, anyone?)
Bill Nelson of Florida 51% (Katherine Harris?)
Ben Nelson of Nebraska 51% (Need a good candidate, c'mon NE!)
I don't think we have a shot in MD or MI. The rest of the Dems are safe.
Some seats can be gotten, but when you look at the states that have Dem incumbents running in '06 you're talking about a lot of seriously hardline liberal places. Making it all the way to 60 would be a high hurdle to clear given who the incumbent Dems are. 57 or 58 looks very possible but 60 would be a real surprise.
Maria Cantwell of Washington 49% Beatable & should lose
Thomas Carper of Delaware 56% Perhaps beatable
Hillary Rodham Clinton of New York 55% Won't run
John Corzine of New Jersey 50% Won't run & winnable open seat
Mark Dayton of Minnesota 49% Beatable & should lose
Dianne Feinstein of California 56% Beatable (Arnie??)
Edward Kennedy of Massachusetts 73% Dies in office -- Massve CVA-Coronary or delayed drowning ...
Bill Nelson of Florida 51% Beatable & should lose
Ben Nelson of Nebraska 51% Beatable & should lose
Debbie Stabenow of Michigan 49% Beatable & should lose
Do-able, but tough.
even if we get to 60, it wont be enough with the rinos. i am so angry that specter won here in pa. the comments he made after he was elected were un called for. i would much rather have hoefll in there right now then this clown. i cant believe that bush and santorum campaigned for this jerk.
Lets go Byrd huntin'
Barring any retirements (Byrd I hope), the GOP looks good. The Dems might only try to go after Montana and PA. I don't think Rick Santorum in PA has to worry.
The Dems have three good vulnerable spots. Again, if Byrd retired it's a good chance to maybe pick up a seat. Go after both Nelson's in FL and NE. And they should really go after Cantwell in Washington. But probably not with Nethercutt.
Republican politicians need to use the list of weak Dems to convince a few that it isn't worth hanging there ass out in the wind to oppose the President on Supreme Court nominees.
And then find some decent opposition in 2006.
I don't know how to thank you for this list - I was on another thread a while ago and I asked anyone on that thread if they knew this information.
These are the ones we need to lean on-----
I'm not sure, but I heard that Hutchison may run for Governor of Texas in the future. Just speculation at this point. FYI
2006 will be tough. Those Democrat states are not a friendly lot for Republican Senate candidates. Best chances:
Best chances:
Maria Cantwell of Washington 49%
Hillary Rodham Clinton of New York 55%
Kent Conrad of North Dakota 62%
Mark Dayton of Minnesota 49%
Herb Kohl of Wisconsin 62%
Bill Nelson of Florida 51%
Ben Nelson of Nebraska 51%
Debbie Stabenow of Michigan 49%
Of these, Dayton and Nelson (FL) may be the most vulnerable. A good candidate could beat Conrad the hypocrite or Kohl (a do-nothing Millionaire). Ben Nelson might be persuadable for a switch in parties. It being an off-year election gives an opportunity in MI and WA.
Useless contests for us:
Thomas Carper of Delaware 56%
Paul Sarbanes of Maryland 63%
Joe Lieberman of Connecticut 63%
Dianne Feinstein of California 56%
Edward Kennedy of Massachusetts 73%
John Corzine of New Jersey 50%
If we make +2 in 2006, I'll be happy.
Mike Rogers in 06!!!!!