U.S. SENATE ELECTION CYCLE 2006: Can the GOP get to 60?

Almanac of American Politics/National Journal ^ | 11/03/04 | National Journal

[tellw]

2006 ELECTION CYCLE

Republicans (15) Previous %

George Allen of Virginia 52%
Conrad Burns of Montana 51%
Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island 57%
Mike DeWine of Ohio 60%
John Ensign of Nevada 55%
Bill Frist of Tennessee 65%
Orrin Hatch of Utah 66%
Kay Bailey Hutchison of Texas 68%
John Kyl of Arizona 79%
Trent Lott of Mississippi 66%
Richard Lugar of Indiana 67%
Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania 52%
Olympia Snowe of Maine 69%
Jim Talent of Missouri 50%
Craig Thomas of Wyoming 65%

Democrats (17) Previous %

Daniel Akaka of Hawaii 73%
Jeff Bingaman of New Mexico 62%
Robert Byrd of West Virginia 78%
Maria Cantwell of Washington 49%
Thomas Carper of Delaware 56%
Hillary Rodham Clinton of New York 55%
Kent Conrad of North Dakota 62%
John Corzine of New Jersey 50%
Mark Dayton of Minnesota 49%
Dianne Feinstein of California 56%
Edward Kennedy of Massachusetts 73%
Herb Kohl of Wisconsin 62%
Joe Lieberman of Connecticut 63%
Bill Nelson of Florida 51%
Ben Nelson of Nebraska 51%
Paul Sarbanes of Maryland 63%
Debbie Stabenow of Michigan 49%

Independent (1) Previous %

Jim Jeffords of Vermont 66%

[tellw]

Maybe Lincoln fears he will lose in '06 to a Dem. He could pull a Jeffords and be independent too.

[philsfan24]

even if we get to 60, it wont be enough with the rinos. i am so angry that specter won here in pa. the comments he made after he was elected were un called for. i would much rather have hoefll in there right now then this clown. i cant believe that bush and santorum campaigned for this jerk.

[MrChips]

Who's running against Jeffords and where do I send money?!

[Gunder]

Let him jump. Good riddance. I'm sick of his whining.

[ClintonBeGone]

Bill Nelson of Florida 51% (Katherine Harris?)

Yes!! And I'm almost tempted to post her picture :)

[Ahriman]

Why do you think Shrillary won't run again?

[demkicker]

Lincoln Chafee was public today that he did not vote for W, and that he is thinkling about changing parties. His Dad must be rolling over in his grave
I wish Carl Rove had his FBI file like Hillary does. I'd love to see the spineless jellyfish swim into oblivion.

[tellw]

Specter is an oddball. He definitely saved Clarence Thomas's nomination in 1991. But I'm sure Specter knew Thomas would be a vote against Roe v. Wade.

[VRWC For Truth]

Lets go Byrd huntin'

[Fledermaus]

Barring any retirements (Byrd I hope), the GOP looks good. The Dems might only try to go after Montana and PA. I don't think Rick Santorum in PA has to worry.

The Dems have three good vulnerable spots. Again, if Byrd retired it's a good chance to maybe pick up a seat. Go after both Nelson's in FL and NE. And they should really go after Cantwell in Washington. But probably not with Nethercutt.

[Tuxedo]

Dick Chafee wasn't much better than his son, sadly.

[Growler]

Republican politicians need to use the list of weak Dems to convince a few that it isn't worth hanging there ass out in the wind to oppose the President on Supreme Court nominees.

And then find some decent opposition in 2006.

[Txsleuth]

I don't know how to thank you for this list - I was on another thread a while ago and I asked anyone on that thread if they knew this information.

These are the ones we need to lean on-----

I'm not sure, but I heard that Hutchison may run for Governor of Texas in the future. Just speculation at this point. FYI

[dodger]

She aims to run for Pressy in 2008 & will not chance a lose (such as to Guiliani)

[Tuxedo]

Yeah, I forgot about Dunn... she's a much better candidate than Nethercutt. If Rossi comes up short, there another possibility.

[Tuxedo]

good point.

[Hermann the Cherusker]

2006 will be tough. Those Democrat states are not a friendly lot for Republican Senate candidates. Best chances:

Best chances:
Maria Cantwell of Washington 49%
Hillary Rodham Clinton of New York 55%
Kent Conrad of North Dakota 62%
Mark Dayton of Minnesota 49%
Herb Kohl of Wisconsin 62%
Bill Nelson of Florida 51%
Ben Nelson of Nebraska 51%
Debbie Stabenow of Michigan 49%

Of these, Dayton and Nelson (FL) may be the most vulnerable. A good candidate could beat Conrad the hypocrite or Kohl (a do-nothing Millionaire). Ben Nelson might be persuadable for a switch in parties. It being an off-year election gives an opportunity in MI and WA.

Useless contests for us:
Thomas Carper of Delaware 56%
Paul Sarbanes of Maryland 63%
Joe Lieberman of Connecticut 63%
Dianne Feinstein of California 56%
Edward Kennedy of Massachusetts 73%
John Corzine of New Jersey 50%

If we make +2 in 2006, I'll be happy.

[Growler]

Re: Edward Kennedy of Massachusetts 73% Dies in office -- Massve CVA-Coronary or delayed drowning ...

I'm betting on the coronary - in a DC hotel room with an underage prostitute.

[Ahriman]

She aims to run for Pressy in 2008 & will not chance a lose (such as to Guiliani) Naaahhh, she'll run. It's in her blood. Plus, it's a Dem stronghold state. If Giuliani was so interested in getting to the Senate he would've run this year. Plain fact is Giuliani is just not legislative waffler material. He's a leader. I'm betting that he wants to take back the New York mayor's spot from Bloomberg. Then he'll shoot for Prez in '08.

[Txsleuth]

I thought I heard the Jon Corzine would run for Governor of New Jersey. He would probably win that easily, but likely another democrat would come out of New Jersey. I am disappointed in NJ> I thought maybe Bush could take it yesterday.