http://www.nationalreview.com/kerry/kerry200411031159.asp
I WANT A CONCESSION FROM ZOGBY, TOO [11/03 11:59 AM]
RightSideRedux has the scorecard:
http://www.rightsideredux.com/archives/2004_11_01_archive.html#109949099242072773
Here are the Zogby vs. real numbers. Done. De-mythed. 2000 was a fluke. He has no pulse on the nation.
Arizona
Zogby had it +6% for Bush
Final +11% for Bush
Arkansas
Zogby had it +3% for Bush
Final +9% for Bush
Colorado
Zogby had it too close to call
Final +7% for Bush
Florida
Zogby had it +.1% for Kerry and trending Kerry
Final +5% for Bush
Iowa
Zogby had it +5% for Kerry
Final still TBD
Michigan
Zogby had it +6% for Kerry
Final Result +3% for Kerry
Minnesota
Zogby had it +6% for Kerry
Final Result +3% for Kerry
Missouri
Zogby had it +3% for Bush
Final Result +8% for Bush
Nevada
Zogby had it too close to call
Final +3% for Bush
New Hampshire
Zogby had it +5% for Kerry
Final Result +1% for Kerry
New Mexico
Zogby had it +3% for Kerry
Final - still TBD
North Carolina
Zogby had it +3% for Bush
Final +13% for Bush
Oregon
Zogby had it +10% for Kerry
Final Result +5% for Kerry
Ohio
Zogby had it +2% for Bush but trending Kerry
Final TBD
Pennsylvania
Zogby had it trending Kerry
Final Result +3% for Kerry
Tennessee
Zogby had it +4% for Bush
Final +14% for Bush
Virginia
Zogby had it slight edge for Bush
Final +8% for Bush
Washington
Zogby had it +10% for Kerry
Final Result +7% for Kerry
West Virginia
Zogby had it +4% for Bush
Final +14% for Bush
Wisconsin
Zogby had it +6% for Kerry
Final Result +1% for Kerry
Remember this the next time Zogby appears on cable news talk show, talking up some candidacy.
http://www.nationalreview.com/thecorner/04_11_03_corner-archive.asp#045083
MASON-DIXON POLL [Jonah Goldberg]
According the Hotline they were the big winner, pollster-wise.
Zogby has completely blown it as a credible pollster. His income has just gone down the drain.
Save for later.
Quite a pattern of being wrong there. Overestimating Kerry's support across the board.
We always saw a close race, and a close race is what weve got."
Bush 51% 58,527,956
Kerry 48% 54,992,753 diff - 3,535,203
EV 286 - 252 diff - 34
and all the Senate pickups
it really was not so close, if it was reversed it would have been called at Midnight - w/ the chant of MANDATE in the air.