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RCP: Hawaii Officially A Toss-Up (Bush +.9)
Real Clear Politics ^
| 11/2/04
Posted on 11/02/2004 5:42:51 AM PST by KidGlock
|
Hawaii 2004 Polls
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| Presidential Race |
| 2004 Electoral Votes: 4 | 2000 Results: Bush 37.5, Gore 55.8, Nader 5.9 (Gore +18.3) |
|
Poll | Date
|
Sample
|
MoE
|
Bush
|
Kerry
|
Nader
|
Spread
|
|
RCP Average | 10/13 - 10/20
|
-
|
-
|
44.7
|
43.8
|
-
|
Bush +0.9
|
|
|
612 LV
|
4.0
|
46
|
45
|
-
|
Bush +1
|
|
|
600 LV
|
4.0
|
43.3
|
42.6
|
-
|
Bush +0.7
|
|
|
600 LV
|
4.0
|
41
|
51
|
4
|
Kerry +10
|
|
|
681 RV
|
3.7
|
41
|
48
|
1
|
Kerry +7
|
Key: RV = Registered Voters, LV = Likely Voters, A = Adults |
|
|
TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS:
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1
posted on
11/02/2004 5:42:51 AM PST
by
KidGlock
To: KidGlock
I hope to God that we aren't waiting for Hawaii to put us over the top. Winning will be nice, but I hope it's not to get us past 270.
2
posted on
11/02/2004 5:43:45 AM PST
by
Koblenz
(Secular Saddam wasn't aligned with Al Qaeda, just like the Nazis would have never allied with Asians)
To: KidGlock
Hope we don't need but it would be real kick in the macadamia to Kerry if is.
To: Koblenz
It would be very funny if it put Bush over 270 but I hope it is not thta close and Bush wins easy.
4
posted on
11/02/2004 5:44:44 AM PST
by
Bungarian
To: Koblenz
We'll take it. We'll take anything. I hope John F'n Kerry gets no electoral votes at all. I want Osama to have to choose from 50 Red States, a united front.
Hawaii sez... "I AM SPARTACUS!"
5
posted on
11/02/2004 5:45:35 AM PST
by
gridlock
(BARKEEP: Why the long face? HORSE: Ha ha, old joke. BARKEEP: Not you, I was talking to JF'n Kerry!)
To: KidGlock
These 4 EV will be a very sweet cherry on a HUGE Electoral Sundae.
6
posted on
11/02/2004 5:45:40 AM PST
by
TexasNative2000
(When it's all said and done, someone starts another conversation.......)
To: Koblenz
10%, I want to see a 10% win over the Libs in Hawaii!!! I'll be casting my vote in a couple of hours!!!
7
posted on
11/02/2004 5:45:49 AM PST
by
coconutt2000
(NO MORE PEACE FOR OIL!!! DOWN WITH TYRANTS, TERRORISTS, AND TIMIDCRATS!!!! (3-T's For World Peace))
To: KidGlock
8
posted on
11/02/2004 5:46:17 AM PST
by
TFine80
(Patton's Son: "There's no soap ever been invented that can wash that blood off his hands.")
To: KidGlock
Gotta be the military presence.
9
posted on
11/02/2004 5:46:38 AM PST
by
randita
To: Koblenz
The more states that trend towards Bush the better.
10
posted on
11/02/2004 5:47:35 AM PST
by
KidGlock
(I already voted for Bush/Cheney 2004. Did you?)
To: randita
I agree -- it's gotta be the military there. GOD BLESS THEM!
11
posted on
11/02/2004 5:48:20 AM PST
by
IPWGOP
(I'm Linda Eddy, and I approved this message... 'tooning the truth!)
To: KidGlock
Hawaii maybe the Key to the election for Bush.
Bush needs to win Florida, Iowa, Ohio, Hawaii, NM, Co.
That gives him 270 and the election.
12
posted on
11/02/2004 5:51:30 AM PST
by
t-1000
To: t-1000
Bush needs to win Florida, Iowa, Ohio, Hawaii, NM, Co. That gives him 270 and the election.What states do you have him losing from last time?
13
posted on
11/02/2004 5:53:45 AM PST
by
KJacob
(I seem to have lost my tagline.)
To: randita
When you talk about Hawaii's economy you are talking about tourism.
They really got hurt after 9-11.
They no the security issue directly affects their day to day lives.
14
posted on
11/02/2004 5:54:16 AM PST
by
t-1000
To: t-1000
Poll averages at RCP has Bush at 227.
If he gets just FL and OH, that's 47.
Bush wins with 274, even without HA, WI, NM, IA.
15
posted on
11/02/2004 5:56:15 AM PST
by
KidGlock
(I already voted for Bush/Cheney 2004. Did you?)
To: KidGlock
Don't put a lot of credence in the RCP results with the latest poll date. October 20.
16
posted on
11/02/2004 6:01:58 AM PST
by
Real Cynic No More
( Kerry is the Hanoi candidate - now proven!)
To: Koblenz
Yes, it'll be a nice slap in the face to sKerry.
17
posted on
11/02/2004 6:16:34 AM PST
by
RightthinkinAmerican
(Is the Republican attack machine an assault weapon?)
To: KidGlock
Why don't we have anything more current on HI polling...these numbers are sooo old.
To: KidGlock
I've been saying that Hawaii is conservative for two years. I've been over there twice in four years and their conservative station is more conservative than some mainland stations.
19
posted on
11/02/2004 6:35:27 AM PST
by
jetson
(throne)
To: t-1000
That is not true...the economy in Hawaii is booming....tourism has been good since 9-11. That is why the state is leaning for Bush.
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