The guy didn't know what he was talking about. Quinnipiac University Poll with Bush leads Kerry 51-43 percent in Florida with MOE of 3 is statistically significant. Bush's lead of 8 points exceeds 2x MOE. So we can be sure with 95% probability that Bush has a real lead.
If this new analyst/professor couldn't even address this, he stinks.
Isn't "MOE" two Standard Deviations, which is approximately 95%?