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To: Cableguy
Bush's lead of 8 points exceeds 2x MOE. So we can be sure with 95% probability that Bush has a real lead.

Isn't "MOE" two Standard Deviations, which is approximately 95%?

70 posted on 11/01/2004 6:11:24 PM PST by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
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To: lepton

It's a bell curve, with 95% of the curve within MOE.


71 posted on 11/01/2004 6:20:22 PM PST by Cableguy (Bush wins 53/47)
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