I'll take it.
Nice analysis from the RCP guys.
But as we've been loading all the various internal numbers from these polls into our averages I've gotten the sense there is another story, one which would seem on the surface to be much more in President Bush's favor.
Thanks for posting...music to my ears!!!
BTTT
The pollsters should just stop now with the "right track wrong track" stuff. I'd bet that 90% of all of us Bush voters here would answer "wrong track" (i.e "the U.S. going to hell in a handbasket!").
Doesn't mean we blame Bush for it, or that we'll vote for Kerry.
Everyone needs to keep an eye on the GOP/DEM generic vote, not as an indicator of who will win House seats, but as an indicator of likely turnout by party on election day. This obscure number may be the best sign yet that things will actually work out fine. Ditto for the Senate races. It just doesn't make sense that the Republicans stand to gain as many as five Senate seats, including especially one in Florida, yet be losing at the top of the ticket.
What I have found interesting in many polls is that while the "head to head" question seems to vascillate, the internals tend to mostly favor Bush. Let's face it, many people are sick of polls.
We may well find that the "internals" are giving a much better picture of where the vote will fall, than with the head to head question.