The Polls Are Always Right!
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Anybody know what the internals look like (i.e. the sample size, party affiliation percentages, etc.)?
I saw that as well. That is why i get nervous. Hopefully this poll will change by tonight or in the morning. Either way it won't matter by tomorrow!
Does it still show Kerry winning with Men? Then it crap.......
The problem is, voters like to go with the winner, and they will think Kerry has momentum. No one wants to vote for a perceived loser.
The MSM and DIM talking heads will seize upon this to trumpte "Kerry surge" over and over, and the American public could buy it because that's what they're hearing.
It's not a trend. Newsweek has Bush up by 8. Now how do you suppose that we go from 8 to minus 2. It's called bad polling. They just learned what questions they needed to ask to get the answer they wanted.
Ouch. Not what I was expecting. Bush must not have rebounded from the Friday bad poll day. I expected Bush to be ahead slightly in their tracking poll today. Well, not much we can do now except get out and vote, and take someone with you.
All the pols will show Kerry surging. Keep on trusting the liberal news media, FOX included.
Given a choice between wiping my a$$ with the polls and your used toilet paper, my first response would be to make sure you hadn't been eating jalapenos yesterday.
It's for ratings. I don't even think it is a new poll they just play with the numbers within the margin of error. :)
Not a good trend for Bush.
How reliable is a Fox Poll anyway? There are so many polls - which ones should we be concerned with? DUers are latching on to this poll like its written in stone when underneath they cannot stomach Fox News.
Four percent of the electorate do not change their mind in one day. Halloween weekend polling. Saturday and Sunday. It's tight, but Kerry is not leading.
The sample has been screwed at least for a few days, so now they're adding a Halloween night sample in on top of it. Polls from yesterday are going to be so skewed that anything coming out today will be jacked. The last day of the tracking polls that can be trusted is Saturday's update.
Single day overnights tomorrow may be useful.
The poll was Oct 30-31, but yet they ignored that and said 'if the vote was today ...'. They need to point out to the viewer that this is a weekend poll that traditionally always make Dem's look better, and they know that.
This is what I said 20 minutes before the poll came out:
Two day rolling average with both days being on the weekend and Sunday being a holiday. Place you bets, and bet heavily on a result that looks bad for Bush.
But keep in mind - just like you get with any other sampling - bad data equals bad data out.
The pool from which this sample will be skewed by the weekend and holiday effect.
Granted I would rather it come out showing us ahead. But if doesn't I don't think anybody should panic.
The Polls Are Always Right!
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FOX's poll shows Kerry leading among men. I find that hard to believe.
The sheeple are about to speak Spanish....
Keep in mind that most polls had Reagan and Carter in a "dead heat" in 1980 and had Reagan and Mondale "very close" in 1984. I think we all know how those came out.
