I've found cross-overs to be about even, slightly leaning Bush, but almost deadheat. (More Gore voters voting for Bush than Bush voters voting for Gore), About 54-46 in Bush's favor, but it varied from state to state (higher in New York, New Jersey, California[arnie effect]).
There are also a decent number of "dormant" voters. People who've voted in the past, but neither in 1996 or 2000, that will be voting for Bush. There is a clear lean towards Bush in this category, around 60-40.
New registers are breaking about even.. varying from state to state.
Thank you. I've been very curious about the number of cross-over for Bush.
Yep. It goes without saying you and PAMom will have to watch out for Fast Eddie's steals. Keep the champagne on ice until you know for sure the Keystone State turns Red.
I like your numbers. i'll want to look at this on wed.