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Poll: Bush Up 3 Pts. In Final Days
CBS ^ | 10.31.04

Posted on 10/31/2004 3:49:50 PM PST by CThomasFan

CBS) The race for the White House heads into its final two days very close in the nationwide popular vote, and nearly the same as it was two weeks ago. President George W. Bush holds a three-point lead over Senator John Kerry among likely voters, an edge within this poll's margin of error.

(Excerpt) Read more at cbsnews.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: cbsnews; cbsnewsnyt; gwb2004; kewl; polls
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"Nearly half of voters think the war on terrorism could be won even if bin Laden is not captured or killed. This is up 12 points since September."

I think that means that Kerry's argument about Ben Laden's tape being evidence of failed policy wont stick. Who cares if UBL is is a hole somewhere if all his generals are dead? I think W's strongest argument is the fact that UBL came with a vidoe instead of bombs...because we are killing his base. We could play "here we go round the mulberry bush" chasing UBL in Afghanistan forever, but if his people are still getting trained in Iraq, then we are just being an ostrich. We are winning the war and UBL knows it.

1 posted on 10/31/2004 3:49:50 PM PST by CThomasFan
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To: CThomasFan

Every Bush supporter will be a voter, there are no Likely voters in President George W. Bush's base...we are dedicated and we will be there to vote, come hell or high water, and we will know how to mark the ballot correctly.


2 posted on 10/31/2004 3:51:43 PM PST by AmericanMade1776 ( (( John Kerry is in full retreat)))
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To: CThomasFan
If Bush holds a 3 point lead on Sunday night, I'd expect another 2-3 points on Tuesday for a 52-46-1 final tally.

I'm expecting a 5 million popular vote lead for Bush.

3 posted on 10/31/2004 3:52:20 PM PST by CROSSHIGHWAYMAN (Anybody but Kerry!!)
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To: CROSSHIGHWAYMAN

That's nice


4 posted on 10/31/2004 3:53:25 PM PST by PeterOmaha
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To: AmericanMade1776

Absolutely 100% right.....I see and sense the win....and I think Kerry's team does too.....


5 posted on 10/31/2004 3:53:55 PM PST by IndianPrincessOK (Native American pleading for Truth!)
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To: CROSSHIGHWAYMAN

I have a gut feeling you are correct. I hope Gallup thinks so too.


6 posted on 10/31/2004 3:54:06 PM PST by nelibeli (you are who you are when you are alone........)
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To: CROSSHIGHWAYMAN

any guess on EVs ?


7 posted on 10/31/2004 3:54:48 PM PST by kingattax
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To: CROSSHIGHWAYMAN
If Bush holds a 3 point lead on Sunday night, I'd expect another 2-3 points on Tuesday for a 52-46-1 final tally.

That has been my prediction for about a month. It wouldn't suprise me if the margin of victory is even wider.

8 posted on 10/31/2004 3:55:07 PM PST by kesg
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To: CThomasFan

I will be SO GLAD when this is over. We just seem to spend all day buzzing around the myriad polls, like flies on dog-logs.

Go W!


9 posted on 10/31/2004 3:55:09 PM PST by EggsAckley (........my Birthday is on Election Day.......Should I post a Vanity??.........)
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To: AmericanMade1776
Every Bush supporter will be a voter, there are no Likely voters in President George W. Bush's base...we are dedicated and we will be there to vote, come hell or high water, and we will know how to mark the ballot correctly.

I agree. The polls have been all over the place. Take nothing for granted. As you've said, come hell or high water, we will be there to vote.

10 posted on 10/31/2004 3:56:22 PM PST by GreenHornet
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To: EggsAckley

Geez, that is apt description!


11 posted on 10/31/2004 3:57:05 PM PST by Paraclete
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To: CThomasFan

There are a number of Bush supporters who are going to hold their nose and vote Bush. But do it they will, because they know they must. Broken glass nose holders.


12 posted on 10/31/2004 3:57:07 PM PST by brewcrew
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To: CThomasFan
We are winning the war and UBL knows it.

All OBL's warrior buddies are dead and OBL is staring into the yawning gates of hell. He sounds subdued.

13 posted on 10/31/2004 3:57:43 PM PST by RightWhale (Destroy the dark; restore the light)
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To: CROSSHIGHWAYMAN
My only concern is that demoncRAT voter fraud will be greater than 3%. Massive voter fraud + Kerry trail lawyer scum = Kerry win.
14 posted on 10/31/2004 3:58:21 PM PST by 69ConvertibleFirebird (Never argue with an idiot. They drag you down to their level, then beat you with experience.)
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To: EggsAckley
Me too,tired of polls that switch from one day to the next.When voters get in the booth and at that moment have to decide between Bush security or a Kerry unknown plan a landslide is developing.
15 posted on 10/31/2004 3:58:46 PM PST by carlr
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To: EggsAckley
I will be SO GLAD when this is over. We just seem to spend all day buzzing around the myriad polls, like flies on dog-logs.

Go W!

Hey Eggs. Agreed. I've been tormented by the polls for weeks. Donating money is one thing, but today I had the privilege of walking a precinct and talking to voters. More of the same tomorrow. Feels good to be on the ground.

16 posted on 10/31/2004 3:59:03 PM PST by jimfree (Cleveland rocks! (My venue for 72 hours in Ohio))
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To: kesg

Not to be a downer...but I honestly think it will be closer to the registered voter totals. I think that you can't underestimate the "young" voters who have never voted before...I don't think they will show as a "likely" voter because of no voting history.

There is a lot of passion on each side this year. I do believe that voter totals will be very high...we just have to make sure that we do all we can to get our folks to the polls.


17 posted on 10/31/2004 3:59:15 PM PST by KsSunflower
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To: GreenHornet

"Every Bush supporter will be a voter"
Unfortunately that is not true. Lets be realistic here. We NEED to make sure that every Bush supporter votes. Especailly in swing states. I'm still very concerned about the republicans lack of a Get out the vote effort.


18 posted on 10/31/2004 3:59:28 PM PST by Betaille (Harry Potter is a Right-Winger)
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To: CThomasFan

I am concerned about the polls Fox is showing on their program. theya re showing, it appears, a slight edge to Kerry in the Fox poll and in the Rasmussen pool a statistical tie (Bush ahead by .6). This was on Rita Cosby's show about an hour ago.

What gives with this?

Also Buchanon on Scarborough - conceded a bunch of debate points to the Dem operatives - did anyone see this?


19 posted on 10/31/2004 3:59:48 PM PST by Danno (the Dems have poop in their pants...)
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To: AmericanMade1776

I've been doing 4 hours of walk-around GOTV every day for the past four days, and it's obvious to me that Bush voters will be there come Tuesday.


20 posted on 10/31/2004 4:00:13 PM PST by IonInsights
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