[scottinoc]

Fred and Mort predict 286 Electoral College votes for GWB, which strangely does not include Ohio. Upper midwest states make up for Ohio in their mind. Their pop vote prediction is 51-49 for W. For what it's worth...

[zr2hammer]

How good are their predictions? (Either way I tend to think they're pretty close to what I think)

[Tuxedo]

Ohio goes to Bush. That gives Bush 306.

[Dont Mention the War]

Works for me. I don't care if Bush wins by 537 votes again, as long as he wins.

[Torie]

286 if Bush loses Ohio, means that Bush carries Iowa, NM, Minn and Wisconsin, and of course Florida.

[Semper Paratus]

Very conservative prediction. They also said that the 'resourceful' Dasshole will find a way to pull it out in SD.

I bet he will!

[Theodore R.]

Did they have OH for Kerry or too close to call?

What has happened with WV? I cannot believe that Robert C. Byrd does not have some trick in mind for Tuesday.

[BobFromNJ]

Bump!! Good news!

[tirednvirginia]

They predicted Dashle will win over Thune. I thought the latest polls were showing the opposite.

[TomGuy]

Last week and this week were the first time they showed GWB winning over Kerry. Previously they had Kerry winning--by a significant margin.

The one notable commentary was about Daschle. They seem to think he will pull out a win over Thune.

[TripsN1]

I watched the Boys, and I agree with most of their predictrions. I think Bush will win Ohio, despite all of the dirty tricks this week. It will either be a narrow Bush victory, or a landslide.

I voted on Tuesday. Vote early and bring a friend.

[PokeyJoe]

They didn't include the Democrat Fraud Factor in their prognastication.

[pissant]

Kerry will win Mass, Vermont, NY, California, Maryland, Delaware, Wash. state (if he's lucky). The rest my friends is Bush Country.

[Darkwolf377]

The problem with comparing predictions from 2000 with ones from 2004 is that methods were adjusted since then in many cases. So to say someone was right or wrong with their 2000 predictions proves they are right or wrong this time isnt very helpful.

I used to be skeptical about how W backers attacked Zogby for his methods because they didn't show our guy leading, until I saw his 2002 bellyflops. And this week he changed his weighting because he didn't believe his Thune numbers--changing your methods AFTER you've come up with an answer is amateur hour.

I don't know what to think about this prediction, but if they learned from 2000, it's legit.

[buffyt]

GEE I HOPE SO! [ 286 Electoral College votes for GWB ]
I have had a bad bad year. First a fire at our house Oc.t 2003. Then we got robbed in San Antonio $32K worth. Then OSU lost to Texas A&M. Yes that is serious to ME. OSU lost to OU today. We went to Cotton Bowl and OSU lost. We went to the Final Four and OSU lost. Like my luck is just rotten for 13 months now. It just seems like everything keeps going wrong. I won't list all the little problems or the rest of the big ones. But it seems like every time I wake up determined to keep my chin up, I get kicked back into the dirt face down. That is why I have been so worried about the presidential election. I have been so jinxed lately. Maybe Tuesday will mark the start of my GOOD LUCK YEAR!!!!!!

[Gunder]

Mort and Fred have been saying OH won't go to Bush for a while now. I'm not sure why they're so pessimistic there.

They also stand by their prediction that Daschle will win.

[kellynla]

Man, I hope it's a landslide...just to shut up the friggin' talking heads and the liberal MSM!!!!
and what I'd give for 59 Senate seats

[Perdogg]

Fred has flipped-flopped he said 306 on the Weekly Standard.

[festus]

The November surprise will be Fred and Mort finally admit they are lovers. I swear I never feel quite at ease watching that pair.

[Dan from Michigan]

I have 306-232, but several 3 pt or less races.