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Poll: Bush Back at 50 Percent Mark
http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/story?id=209187&page=1 ^

Posted on 10/30/2004 12:17:59 AM PDT by hawaiian

"Movables in today's results favor Bush by 52-33 percent, a change from 46-36 percent in Kerry's favor as of Sunday."

Every, EVERY poll is showing the undecideds flocking to Bush. So, O'Reilly etc., quit talking about that it's a "given" about the incumbents going to the challenger. It's B.S. Look what happened in 2000.

Oh, yeah -- please don't post the obligatory, "how could there be anyone undecided?!" post. There ARE still plenty of undecideds (about 1 in 11 voters).


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: abcnewswp; gwb2004; kewl; napalminthemorning; polls
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1 posted on 10/30/2004 12:17:59 AM PDT by hawaiian
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To: hawaiian

and your tribe/state is going Conservo for the first time since 84....I think.


2 posted on 10/30/2004 12:19:08 AM PDT by wardaddy (The only thing we share with collectivists and ragheads is death.)
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To: hawaiian
No incumbent in 2000. :-)

Patriot Paradox

3 posted on 10/30/2004 12:19:55 AM PDT by sonsofliberty2000 ("If there must be trouble let it be in my day, that my child may have peace." Thomas Paine)
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To: hawaiian

Sorry, but what is a moveable voter? Does that mean undecided? Sorry if that's a stupid question.


4 posted on 10/30/2004 12:20:04 AM PDT by cccellar
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To: hawaiian
moveables??

does that mean swing voters?

5 posted on 10/30/2004 12:20:20 AM PDT by GeronL (FREE KERRY'S SCARY bumper sticker .......... http://www.kerrysscary.com/bumper_sticker.php)
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To: sonsofliberty2000

Incumbent in 2000 = Gore (close to incumbent as you can be, and the undecideds definitely swarmed to him at the end instead of Bush)


6 posted on 10/30/2004 12:21:19 AM PDT by hawaiian
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To: hawaiian

I like what Bernard Goldberg said about undecideds on Fox&Friends earlier this week...they should just stay home.

And, this kind of shoots the poop out of everyone's assumption that undecideds break for the challenger. It's not true in presidential races - and this year, they'll break even more to Bush on security.


7 posted on 10/30/2004 12:21:26 AM PDT by Keith in Iowa (At CBS - "We don't just report news - we make it - up.")
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To: GeronL

Moveable = undecided = uncommitted voter.


8 posted on 10/30/2004 12:21:54 AM PDT by hawaiian
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To: hawaiian

What's neat is the fact that this is pre-bin Laden tape.

I think that will have a profound effect on undecided voters by putting everything into focus.


9 posted on 10/30/2004 12:23:06 AM PDT by PowerPro (REMEMBER: Every State's a Swing State Until the Votes are Counted ... Go VOTE!)
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To: hawaiian

The "undecideds" are breaking 2-1 for Bush. That's not good news for John F*ckin', who will best be remembered for his money quote: "America, wake up!" (laughing)


10 posted on 10/30/2004 12:23:15 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: hawaiian
Incumbent party then. I think there is a statistic that says Incumbents have a better chance then incumbent parties in returning, ie Clinton and Bush have better chance then Gore and Cheney. Not sure, but I am tired and stretching my brain to think of the stat!

Patriot Paradox

11 posted on 10/30/2004 12:23:17 AM PDT by sonsofliberty2000 ("If there must be trouble let it be in my day, that my child may have peace." Thomas Paine)
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To: hawaiian

Some actually decide in the polling booth. My aunt was like that in '96. She is a Democrat but said when she went to vote for Clinton her "hand refused to do it"...and she ended up with Perot. All the thoughts of Clinton's lies came to mind and it was about as last-minute as is possible. Strange but that may often be the case.


12 posted on 10/30/2004 12:23:50 AM PDT by BonnieJ
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To: Keith in Iowa

And, this kind of shoots the poop out of everyone's assumption that undecideds break for the challenger. It's not true in presidential races - and this year, they'll break even more to Bush on security.

I saw the stats that it is not true..........but the MSM keep reporting otherwise. They are really frustrating........their agenda is sooooooooooooo obvious.


13 posted on 10/30/2004 12:27:00 AM PDT by cccellar
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To: cccellar

moveable voters = persuadable voters = swing voters = "undecided voters" = voters who are "leaning", but aren't enthusiastic

Just different terminology for voters who aren't strongly supporting a candidate.

I think these are people who were leaning Kerry, but when the chips are down, they realize that self preservation takes precedence over politics, and will be voting for Bush.


14 posted on 10/30/2004 12:27:06 AM PDT by FairOpinion (GET OUT THE VOTE. ENSURE A BUSH/CHENEY WIN.)
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To: hawaiian

Mahalo


15 posted on 10/30/2004 12:28:02 AM PDT by Saundra Duffy (,)
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To: hawaiian
.
Some of those undecideds are Dems who are trying to figure out if they can stomach to vote for Kerry. There may be die-hard liberals but there aren't so many die-hard Kerry supporters. But jumping over and actually voting for a Republican is tough.

A suggestion, if you don't know who to vote for, STAY HOME.

Lots of facts and quotes about the president-wannabe at the John F. Kerry Timeline.
.

16 posted on 10/30/2004 12:30:06 AM PDT by christie (John F. Kerry Timeline - http://www.archive-news.net/Kerry/JK_timeline.html)
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To: hawaiian

"A better showing among movable voters has helped put George W. Bush back at the 50 percent mark, with 47 percent support for John Kerry among likely voters as the 2004 presidential campaign enters its closing days."


17 posted on 10/30/2004 12:30:51 AM PDT by MEG33 (John Kerry has been AWOL on issues of national security for two decades)
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To: hawaiian

From ABC?

Bad news for the girlie man and the breck girl.

Blessings, bobo


18 posted on 10/30/2004 12:31:17 AM PDT by bobo1
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To: hawaiian
There ARE still plenty of undecideds (about 1 in 11 voters).

Hm....that's odd....because normally I consider 10 out of 11 people morons.

19 posted on 10/30/2004 12:31:49 AM PDT by Psycho_Bunny (“I know a great deal about the Middle East because I’ve been raising Arabian horses" Patrick Swazey)
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To: hawaiian
Incumbent in 2000 = Gore (close to incumbent as you can be), and the undecideds definitely swarmed to him at the end instead of Bush.

They only went to Gore because of the DUI story about Bush on election eve
20 posted on 10/30/2004 12:34:34 AM PDT by Jackson Brown
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