[ambrose]

Zogby will show Kerry “surging” in his polls this weekend. Last ditch effort to manipulate things. Then if he sees Kerry is going to lose, he’ll show a “dramatic last minute surge” for Bush. The guy is an assclown.

[Merry]

Zogby wants Kerry to win so badly that he will make his polls show that he is. I believe Gallup, Fox Opinion Poll but not Zogby ever.

[flashbunny]

Yep. Time to pull out the 'zogby special sauce' graphic.

[faithincowboys]

When did he settle on his numbers in 2000. When was his last poll -- the one that everyone says was so prescient?

[Names Ash Housewares]

Zogster had Gore winning pre DUI announcement. I always add at least two points to any of his numbers.

[Torie]

Zogby has this model that keeps the partisan affiliations constant, and then twists it a bit based on mysterious factors. But his last poll will be his best effort. It's Zogby's bread and butter, and that won't be deflected by his deep desire to get Kerry elected. Zogby needs to be able to afford to send his kids to the Ivy League, comfortably, and to get them the hell out of Oneida County.
And he has not reached a sufficient critical mass yet to do that.

[Moconservative]

Zogby is going to lose any reputation he had after this election. Next election I hope we just ignore Zogby and his manipulated polls.

[bushisdamanin04]

I'm starting to look at Zogby the same way I look at toilet paper.

[snarkytart]

Wait until Monday after the Laden tape sinks in.
Kerry is not winning Tuesday.

[Porterville]

I did believe Zogby's polls but he has injected opinion far too much to be trusted so I'll stick to Gallup and a variety of secondary tier polls.

[Judith Anne]

I agree with your assessment in post 1, and I'm sick of polls. I can state with confidence that 99% of Americans are also disgusted with polls, and that 97% don't believe them.

[kingattax]

ambrose......great analysis....^5

now please stop insulting assclowns :)

[West Coast Conservative]

"No one with any [political] knowledge would believe the assumptions made by Zogby."
-Dan Pfeiffer, Campaign Spokesman for Tom Daschle

[hobson]

I actually experienced the making of Zogby's special sauce when I was polled last week. Here's how it works. For each question in the survey there are a set of valid answers. In my case, the interviewer did not offer to name the valid answers. Many of the questions I could answer excellent or good but some questions were less clear and I prompted the guy to tell me the choices. At one point I provided an answer and then, testing his interpretation of my answer, asked him which valid he chose, he got it WRONG.

So there you have it. Poll interviewers "interpret" answers and Zogby "interprets" the results.

[smonk]

Look, until the election, I take ALL poll seriously, because that's all we've got.

so these numbers are disappointing. not the end of the world, but disappointing nonetheless.

[sydbas]

Zogby gets credit for being right on for the 2000 presidential election. People forget that Fox News had the 2000 election tied as well. Right now Fox News has our great president up by five. As far as I'm concerned, Fox News' poll is just as accurate as Zogby, just without the fanfare.

[BonnieJ]

He had a day or two of honesty then decided to do his best for Kerry again.

[Route66]

I knew it was about time for him to start adding some more of his special sauce to the results. The demoralized left must have some hope or they won't go to the polls.

[MJY1288]

Bush will win in a landslide. Zogby knows it and so does the Kerry Campaign

[jporcus]

This is what Kerry's millions is buying from Zogby. Ain't gonna work.

[Old Professer]

Pretty soon I expect to see the "Shroud of Humpty Dumpty" appear.