Let's wait to see if it's really recent; Newpaper headlines, if he mentions very recent events, if it's his voice, etc.
Highly skeptical here -- I'll see it before I'll believe it.
You are right---much caution needed before forming an opinion.
Did you watch Brett Bair? He said the CIA already confirmed everything you wrote about 30 minutes ago.
"Let's wait to see if it's really recent; Newpaper headlines, if he mentions very recent events, if it's his voice, etc."
The speaker in the video mentions Bush reading to the kids after the planes hit. That information didn't come out until the Michael Moore film, so the video has to be recent. The guy sure looks like Osama. Maybe it's just a good costume/makeup job, but the CIA doesn't think so.
Given the evidence, I think it's Osama, and recent.