Posted on 10/29/2004 10:36:16 AM PDT by West Coast Conservative
THE WORD FROM A HIGHLY-PLACED SOURCE
I heard, once again, from an individual “familiar with internal discussions within the Bush campaign.” A lot of folks want to know who this source is and are suspicious of campaign leaks. Let’s say this information is what big cheeses in GOP circles are saying to middle cheeses in GOP circles.
Why is info given to me (and Kathryn)? I suspect that in some GOP circles, Kerry Spot and NRO are seen as a good way to reach the Bush base voters who are plugged into the Internet, keeping up with the news, etc. I think the info gets thrown my way to make sure the base isn't being panicked by the Kerry spin from some corners the mainstream media...
So here’s the news for today.
Among early and absentee votes cast already, Bush has huge lead in FL, bigger than his advantage in Florida in 2000.
There’s a great contrast in the respective get-out-the-vote operations for Bush and Kerry. Around 25 percent of registered voters report being contacted by a Bush-Cheney volunteer, most often members of their church or community organization or neighbor. About 19 percent of registered voters have been contacted on behalf of the Kerry-Edwards campaign, but the vast majority of these contacts are by paid temps of the campaign, the DNC, or a related 527. Will the personal touch have an effect?
In Hawaii, the Bush campaign has quietly had its eye on this state for a while, and been building a surprisingly strong statewide organization with more than 2,000 volunteers. Kerry put up ad about how bad the economy was, while Hawaii has one of the lowest unemployment rates in country.
In New Mexico, Bush is only few thousand behind in early/absentee ballots in Bernalillo county, a heavy Democrat county.
In Florida, the campaign expects Bush to end up with an estimated 100,000 vote advantage among early and absentee voters.
In Nevada, there is little expectation that this state will be all that competitive. Bush is competitive in Clark County (which includes Las Vegas). Right now Kerry leads 44 percent Bush 41 percent. Kerry needed over 50 percent out of Clark county to win NV. But Bush within a few thousands votes of heavy Dem county.
Finally, a big point of enthusiasm for the GOP is their deep bench of Bush surrogates who can garner big crowds and lots of media attention. The President is in New Hampshire and Ohio today, vith Ah-nuld. Cheney is going to Hawaii. Tommy Franks is in Florida, as is John McCain and former President Bush. Rudy Giuliani is in Iowa, Mitt Romney is in Michigan, and former President Bush will also be in Pennsylvania later.
[Posted 10/29 01:24 PM]
No one would be happier to be WRONG than me. However, I am not wrong.
The 'Missing Munitions' story, even though a lie perpetrated by Mothership of Liebralism - NYT, has turned out to be the final nail in the coffin.
They succeeded in putting out 'bad' news, and even if the response from our side is that 'nobody knows what happenned', it is still making people think that 'something wrong' hapenned and to them the level of incompetence is getting to be un-acceptable.
Dush Bone.
I am sorry.
You: "What concerns me is if WI, MI, PA, and NJ all go for Kerry. That is a distinct possiblity."
Sure it is. It's getting to be a remoter possibility, but it's still possible.
Let not your heart be troubled. All those states went for Gore. So long as Bush wins the states he's expected to win, including Florida and Ohio, he wins.
The Newest GWB ad is wonderful. (Showing him speak at the convention). So genuine.
Each of needs to get everyone we know to the polls. That simply cannot be overstated enough. (no matter how many times you hear it).
It is time that good mean and women stand up and be counted!
Let us not forget the Bob Smith Factor in Kerry's court now. He could pull in another 25-26 votes for Kerry!
I guess the friend I mentioned in my post from the other night is a "middle cheese" to use the phrase from the article you put up. At least the "middle cheeses" are being told the same thing abou Florida. Here is what I reported:
"I used to live in Orlando, and stay in touch with an ex-partner of mine who has been working full time on GOP ops since Labor Day. He is not at the top of the heap, but he does hear more or less the straight skinny from folks who know what the internal polling says. He is a level headed guy. Monday was the first time he has been anything other than cautiously optimistic. Basically, the real swing area of Florida, the I-4 corridor between Tampa and daytona Beach, which runs right through Orlando, has moved big time behind Bush. Movement started to show up in weekend polling, which normally favors Dems.
It is too soon to say that Florida is in the bag. But a lot of money, time and volunteer efforts have been put into building a GOTV operation that should match what the Dems have been able to do for years, and where it counts, the I-4 corridor, plans that have been years in the making and refining, have had all the resources needed for implementation. My friend has been in Republican politics for years, and he has told me from day one that we have never done anything like this before, that people are tired but still enthusiastic, and working hard. Also, Martinez is helping with non-Cuban Hispanics.
I have no insight into other states, but if similar efforts are being put into the ground game in states like PA, OH and MI, forget the polls, we are going to win. I'm not the world's leading expert, but I know enough to know that it takes more than money and hate to build a good GOTV operation.
43 posted on 10/28/2004 7:35:14 AM PDT by gypsylea"
It comes from Feudal Manor and Lord times...
Taxes were sometimes paid in goods, and LARGE Rounds of CHEESE were used to pay the taxes due to the Lord of the Manor.
The association has stuck over the years, that people at the top were the "BIG CHEESE"...
GRRRRR's "Believe it or Not"
G
It's a good thing that so many states are critical to the dems, but we have several scenarios to work with.
"we were to get Ohio, the route is on."
You mean rout.
i think this shows the intensity of bush voters...meaning we will vote.
good post.
"She looks a little Bleu today - if she'd only Cheddar inhibitions, she could really Roquefort!"
"Hey, I'm a little short - could you Provolone?"
"How are things in Monterey Jack?"
"It's Gouda for me if it's Gouda for you..."
Yeah, what you said ;)
It's called a political campaign. And its called fighting for every vote.
You guys on the left lie for every vote.
I'll take my guy anyday, even if he was 20 pts down.
Consider this a pre-emptive strike. Yeah, I know it's supposed to be intently.
BIG CHEESE
[Q] From Edward Teague: “What is the origin of the term big cheese as in ‘He’s a big cheese in the rugby world’?”
[A] There’s no shortage of expressions invoking cheese: one may be cheesed off (miserable, annoyed, fed up), or something may be cheesy (cheap, unpleasant or blatantly inauthentic). These refer to the unhappy habit of ripe cheese making its presence known to anyone within sniffing distance.
But big cheese has a quite different origin, based in the only positive slang sense of cheese that seems ever to have existed. This was first recorded in London in the early part of the nineteenth century, with the sense of “good, first-rate in quality, genuine, pleasant or advantageous”.
Originally it had nothing to do with cheese—the source is the Persian or Hindi word chiz, meaning a thing. Sir Henry Yule wrote it up in Hobson-Jobson, his famous Anglo-Indian Dictionary of 1886. He said that the expression “used to be common among Anglo-Indians” and cites expressions such as “My new Arab is the real chiz” and “These cheroots are the real chiz”. Another expression with the same meaning that predated the real chiz was the real thing, so it’s highly probable that Anglo-Indians changed thing to chiz as a bilingual joke. Once returnees from India started to use it in Britain, hearers naturally enough converted the unfamiliar foreign word into something more recognisable, and it became cheese.
The phrase big cheese developed from it in early twentieth-century America, as a term to describe the most influential or important person in a group. The first written example we know about is in Ring Lardner’s Haircut of 1914. It followed on several other American phrases containing big to describe a person of this kind, most with animal or vegetable associations—big bug, big potato, big fish and big toad, of which the oldest is probably the British English bigwig of the eighteenth century (more recent examples are big shot, big enchilada and big banana). Like the others, big cheese was by no means always complimentary and often had derisive undertones, no doubt helped along by the influence of other slang meanings of cheese.
http://www.worldwidewords.org/qa/qa-big1.htm
A "new born" pessimist... :-D
begone TROLL....
Bush will likely win OH.
But even if he did not, he will still win the EC.
No way Bush has made up the margins in states like NJ, WI, MN, HI and not win.
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