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Is There a National/State Polling Disconnect?
Daly Thoughts (for data) ^ | 10/27/04 | Me

Posted on 10/28/2004 7:52:48 PM PDT by Hermann the Cherusker

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Good news!

Must read for the nattering nellies and phuddy duddies here.

1 posted on 10/28/2004 7:52:54 PM PDT by Hermann the Cherusker
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To: Hermann the Cherusker

I can't wait for this to be over.

No more polls
No more annoying ads
And hopefully after novermber 2nd, no more kerry on to watch, hear, or read about.


2 posted on 10/28/2004 7:55:31 PM PDT by flashbunny
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To: Hermann the Cherusker

This will be very interesting to reference after the election.


3 posted on 10/28/2004 7:57:00 PM PDT by Naspino (Not creative enough to have a tagline.)
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To: flashbunny
I can't wait for this to be over.

You and me both. I'm just about polled and "electioned" down to nothing.

4 posted on 10/28/2004 7:57:33 PM PDT by COEXERJ145 (The price of freedom is eternal vigilance)
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To: Hermann the Cherusker

How many EV for Bush??


5 posted on 10/28/2004 7:57:37 PM PDT by Perdogg (Dubya - Right Man, Right Job, at the Right Time!)
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To: Perdogg

His article, above the chart, said 331 EV to Bush,
giving the tie in NJ to Kerry.


6 posted on 10/28/2004 8:01:02 PM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: COEXERJ145

And if I see another tradesports or Iowa electronic markets vanity posts when their boards hiccup, I'm going to lose it.


7 posted on 10/28/2004 8:01:16 PM PDT by flashbunny (Currently suffering election fatigue. Let's just win this thing and get it over.)
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To: flashbunny
Well, only if it's a LANDSLIDE. Oh, but don't worry, it will be.
8 posted on 10/28/2004 8:01:54 PM PDT by zahal724 (I own a lumber company? Want some wood?)
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To: flashbunny

Even if we lose, I will be relieved this is all over. Then our battle to bring down President Kerry begins. :(

In any case, I will have some kind of withdrawal. This campaign has lasted like a year and a half and for several months it really has consumed me. I've been spending hours on FR every day. I will miss it when it's over! ;-)


9 posted on 10/28/2004 8:01:56 PM PDT by TNCMAXQ
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To: Hermann the Cherusker; Perdogg

Suggestion, if I may. If you haven't seen it, on MSNBC's website..under electgion central..that have an interactive EC map..you can click ont he states to allocate the EV's to either Bush or Kerry..as YOU feel..lets you easily model all the possible scenarios..IT looks very good for Bush..he can easily win even if he loses BOTH Ohio and PA..


10 posted on 10/28/2004 8:02:26 PM PDT by ken5050
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To: Perdogg
Bush currently has 331 Electoral Votes, giving the tie in New Jersey to Kerry

per the article

11 posted on 10/28/2004 8:03:16 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (Who would the terrorists vote for?)
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To: Hermann the Cherusker
The only poll that counts will be held next Tuesday. It will reveal what the disconnetcs are...and I believe the MSM has manufactured several of them
12 posted on 10/28/2004 8:03:22 PM PDT by Jeff Head (www.dragonsfuryseries.com)
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To: Jeff Head

I feel that Daly is right. The polls are reflecting the way the pollsters want to make you think the election is going. They aren't showing internals so they could be interviewing all the Kerry staffers for all we know. I have never trusted the poll by I trust Daly.


13 posted on 10/28/2004 8:06:14 PM PDT by Merry
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To: flashbunny

On November 3 John F. Kerry can return to the back bench of the U.S. Senate and we won't have to listen to his constant droning any longer.


14 posted on 10/28/2004 8:06:24 PM PDT by Thickman (Regis to Kerry: "Is that your final answer?")
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To: Hermann the Cherusker
According to these numbers...

From New York state north to Maine, the whole northeast is solid Kerry territory...

California, Oregon & Washington are solid Kerry territory...at least those part of those states closest to the great Pacific Ocean, which must cause tremendous brain damage to those who live near it...

and (sadly) Illinois is solid for Kerry...at least those parts closest to Lake Michigan and the Mississippi River...(something about being close to water must make people vote Democratic...someone needs to do a study...)

I bet if we were to see a county-by-county poll, it would look alot like the final results for Bush-Gore in 2000.

15 posted on 10/28/2004 8:07:37 PM PDT by Ronzo (GOD alone is enough.)
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To: flashbunny
And if I see another tradesports or Iowa electronic markets vanity posts when their boards hiccup, I'm going to lose it.

Amen to that. At least twice a day someone has to start a thread that "Bush is crashing" and/or "Kerry is surging" in one or both of the markets. Or any thread with news that is either pro-Kerry or anti-Bush someone has to tell us that This is the Story that is crashing Bush in the markets.

16 posted on 10/28/2004 8:08:57 PM PDT by COEXERJ145 (The price of freedom is eternal vigilance)
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To: COEXERJ145

And we're the political junkies!

We were encountering this when surveying the base in September. By October, identified solid Republicans were not answering or were hanging up. This is one part of the ground game that needs refining. We were only speaking to a fraction of identified Republicans, as it was, due to cells and call screening/answering machines.

My volunteers' favorite word was "cranky".


17 posted on 10/28/2004 8:10:00 PM PDT by reformedliberal
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To: TNCMAXQ

I can't wait for all this to be over. I too am spending hours on FR digesting all the information and trying to figure out what the outcome will be. I did early voting today...what a great feeling to vote for W!

Keep praying, keep the faith and keep GOTV.


18 posted on 10/28/2004 8:10:09 PM PDT by PadreL
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To: TNCMAXQ
There is a problem with bringing Kerry down. The economy is doing good now, I am sure Kerry will try to mess it up, but it should be doing great in 4 years. Iraq will be seeing elections in a few months and in 4 years, after all of the hard work by GWB and the military, Iraq might be in good shape. Kerry will claim he caused all these good things, will have accomplished a lot in office, most importantly appointing 2 or 3 Ruth Bader Ginsburgs to SCOTUS. The MSM will agree with the "Kerry wonders" and he will be re-elected. That is why we MUST stop him now!
19 posted on 10/28/2004 8:13:18 PM PDT by Teslas Pigeon
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To: ken5050

Love it: http://msnbc.msn.com/id/6028629/?ta=y

Bush has a lot more options to win.


20 posted on 10/28/2004 8:19:29 PM PDT by rwfromkansas (BYPASS FORCED WEB REGISTRATION! **** http://www.bugmenot.com ****)
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