Posted on 10/28/2004 11:14:27 AM PDT by ambrose
FROM A SOURCE CLOSE TO THE CAMPAIGN [10/28 02:07 PM]
Just heard from a source close to the campaign, tuned in to the conversations at the highest levels.
According to the Bushies, the last few days have seen a huge burst of momentum in their numbers.
They think Bush is ahead by a few points nationally. They expect the next round of tracking polls to show a bit of a bump.
The internal polls show a significant lead in Florida (outside margin of error) and Arkansas is out of play, with a Bill Clinton visit or without. As for most of the other big ones - Michigan, Wisconsin, Iowa, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, internal polls show all too close to call.
Michigan is seriously looking like a pickup - Bush and Cheney could be there four times in the last four days.
An exit poll of those who have already voted show Bush ahead by 15 points!
Undecided voters appear to be breaking Bush’s way - some days he has a slight lead, other days it’s right around 50-50. (Note this would be considerably better than the 1/3 calculated that Bush needs here.
Finally, the ammo dump story appears to have left the Kerry campaign deep in al-Qaqaa.
Tommy Franks is going to enter this story and rip Kerry and the New York Times a new one. The Kerry folks are acting like they realized they have botched this story, and want to shift back to domestic topics. Lockhart, Bill Richardson on Imus — when asked about al-QaQaa, they dodge the question and quickly try to bring up other issues.
The campaign is going to avoid the Russian angle and go with the straightforward, “As the facts mount in this story, American people have a choice between believing Kerry-NYTimes-CBS or believing Bush and the Troops.”
This source close to the campaign didn’t say it, but I wonder if the Bush administration wants to deal with Russia in its own manner, and not have whatever diplomatic confrontations are going on behind the scenes complicated by a furious American electorate blaming Russia for hiding Iraq’s weapons and explosives.
I suppose you would expect a campaign source to spin good news, but National Review has published bad news from campaign sources in the past as well..
i thought that we already put Wisconsin away and again i ask
what is up with OH??!!
I assume this is just Michigan.
A satellite picture is worth a thousand words. And JFng has a big bowlfull in front of him and a spoon with which to eat them. Anyone have a bib?
hehehe. Tommy Franks on the stump. Sure looks better than that idiot clark.
The wheels are coming off of kedwards
yeah i think it is just michigan
i heard bush was down in Florida with early voting but up in Nevada
dick morris said the decision by kerry to make this story
the main thrust of his campaign in the final week would prove
to be fatal. its blatantly political and anti-troops..what a
jerk kerry is. homer simpson is more presidential.
NR is doing a great job.
Everyone here should subscribe to their publication
https://www.kable.com/pub/ntrv/subUpdate.asp?where=2
Well, guys, look at the facts at how almost every single poll released has shown the Prez up in the Sunshine State!
He's up 51%-43% in both Gallup and LA Times, up 3 in Q and is even ahead in Zogby.
I notice that the President is bothering to campaign in PA and MI, too, which are not to be written off.
My heart just leapt out of my chest! Can you imagine an ad by Franks basically calling Kerry a liar and opportunist? I am dying to see the next steps on this one. Popcorn, anyone?
NR also has an online only version for $19.95. A great value and I have yet to find anything not in the print version which is a bit more expensive.
An exit poll of those who have already voted show Bush ahead by 15 points!
I have predicted and will continue to predict that Bush will top Kerry by AT LEAST 10 points.
This is a reflection of Kerry's utter vilness as a human much less a candidate. It also (possibly)reflects the last bit of optimisim left in me.
An assessment that a state is too close to call does not necessarily mean it is in trouble. It's just within the MOE. Hence, Bush could be ahead in many of these states by around 4 points.
A pressman, I forget his name, said last night on Batchelor's Show that Kerry had dropped all referrences to Al QaQaa in his evening appearances in Iowa.
Please don't post that again. We don't allow solicitations.
Thanks.
That's not too reassuring, coming from Morris.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.