Posted on 10/28/2004 12:28:51 AM PDT by West Coast Conservative
The top official of President Bush's re-election bid on Tuesday termed Wisconsin a "classic example" of a so-called blue state that voted Democratic in 2000 "becoming purple and becoming redder."
"I feel great about Wisconsin," campaign manager Ken Mehlman told reporters on a day when both Bush and Sen. John Kerry wooed voters in Wisconsin. "We have a fantastic organization, and we're doing well. We're ahead, and if the election were today, we would win in Wisconsin."
Mehlman highlighted recent public polls in the state showing Bush up by 6 or 7 percentage points but described an ambitious travel schedule suggesting his side cannot declare victory. Others polls show a closer race, if not a dead heat.
Tuesday, Bush courted voters in the west end of the state while Kerry worked the east end. The president will return to the Badger State "probably more than once" between now and Tuesday, Mehlman said.
He said, meanwhile, that 34 surrogates, including California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, have 138 events in 15 states in the final week. The stand-ins also include former President George H.W. Bush and former first lady Barbara Bush, former New York Mayor Rudolph Giuliani, Sen. John McCain of Arizona, retiring Democratic Sen. Zell Miller of Georgia, Senate Majority Leader Bill Frist of Tennessee, New York Gov. George Pataki and retired Gen. Tommy Franks, the former commander of U.S. Central Command who led the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq.
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I bet the kerry camp says the same thing.
If not for vote fraud, Wisconsin would have gone to bush in 2000.
This year, the fraud will likely be much worse. Lots of soros backed groups signing up hundreds of thousands of 'voters'.
There is no ID requirement for voting, so it's like a screen door on a battleship. And absentee voting is worse.
However, the 'reagan democrats' may either turn out for bush or stay home and not vote for kerry, giving GWB enough of an edge to beat the fraud vote.
They may, but their actions speak otherwise.
Kerry recently did an emergency appearance in madison. Madison is basically berkeley of the midwest. He should not have to be campaigning there at this time of the year.
Bush, OTOH, has been appearing in 'reagan democrat' areas of the state and getting huge crowds.
Vote fraud is the only way kerry will win wisconsin.
Using 2000 state results as a starting point, it comes down this way now:
Bush is more likely to win several of Gore's 2000 states.
And it is less likely for Kerry to offset by taking Bush's 2000 states.
Watching where both candidates visit from here on, indicates Kerry is struggling to hold Gore's 2000 states, and Bush is going after democrats.
How's that, without naming states?
Cheney predicted (about) 52% to 47% I recall. My guess is that he sees the highest "quality" polling breakdowns, sans sauce.
Zogby and Dick Morris now predict Bush wins, for whatever one thinks of them, or their predictions.
Among Kerry's lineup-
Clinton, Gore and Jesse Jackson.
Ben Affleck, Matt Damon, Ashley Judd, Kirsten Dundst, Rosie O'donnell and Cher.
Somehow, I just don't think his lineup has the same wattage.
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