Posted on 10/27/2004 6:26:06 PM PDT by KMC1
Depending on the turnout (wink, wink), I am beginning to believe that Kerry will conclude one of the most miserable campaigns for President ever by losing in states he "shouldn't" be early on election night.
Today a new poll showed again that President Bush is dead even with Senator Kerry in New Jersey. This is unbelievable. Al Gore walked away with New Jersey early in the evening in 2000. But if Kerry loses it my prediction is for Bush to almost run the board.
The reasons why Kerry is doing badly in New Jersey is partly not his own doing but his party's. New Jersey has the most corrupt state government in the entire Union. The Democrats are in control of everything - and as could be expected - everything is a mess. Governor McGreevey named his gay lover to the position of "Homeland Security Advisor", the man wasn't even a U.S. Citizen, nor could he even get the clearance needed to attend Federal security briefings. And this is happening in the second most impacted state following 9/11.
BUT weren't those "boys nights out" fun...
The Democratic corruption has left a bad taste, but voters in New Jersey are also realizing that they don't have any state-wide elected officials that they really had a voice in putting there. McGreevey is stepping aside and an "appointed" Governor will run the state for 18 months. One of the Senators bought his way to the Senate. The other was a bait and switch for New Jersey voters.
Look for a voter's rebellion...sick of the corruption, New Jersey voters will choose President Bush as their choice, even some out of protest.
With the 16 electoral votes that go with it, New Jersey will significantly change the electoral college count. And if it goes BUSH early on Tuesday night - a state that BUSH spent almost no money in, Kerry can kiss the White House goodbye.
When you add to the New Jersey equation the fact that Kerry is trailing in Hawaii - which was an 18% win for Gore in 2000 - those combined 20 electoral votes are as big as Ohio. (Another state that President Bush is leading in...)
Nader is on the ballot in NJ
Go Jersey!!! Go W!!
He can save any leftovers to use against (in no particular order) Iran, Syria, North Korean, and possibly Saudi Arabia.
We lived in NJ in 2000 also and of course knew the state would go for Gore but it was satisfying enough that our county (Summit) went for Bush and we re-elected our rep Mike Furgeson.
We moved to OH last spring and after living in Dem country for over a decade (all over the NYC tri-state area) I was delighted by the notion of living somewhere that could actually go Republican nationally and that candidates actually visited, and wouldn't it be ironic if NJ went Bush this time and OH didn't! :)
I have been predicting an upset in Connecticut for awhile. It is another state that 9/11 effected greatly. It is not as liberal as it once was (RINO's notwithstanding) and has been off the radar.
Also, don't write off Maine yet. The Second District is loaded with Bush signs (on lawns - not public ways) so it will go for Bush - 1EV anyway - but if the turn out is large enough it could carry the state. Hopeful - yes - likely - probably not, but it is possible.
EVERYONE IN THE SECOND DISTRICT NEEDS TO GET OUT AND VOTE FOR PRESIDENT BUSH. I KNOW WE CAN DO IT.
nuf said, maggiefluffs. we are not the enemy. chill.
You've got a lot of nerve newbie. Do not post to me again.
hehe! John Kerry isn't fit to even WALK on the sacred ground of the Alamo!
***would have loved for Bush to campaign deep in the heart of Kerry bases in cities ***
remember the charming parade in NYC the day before the GOP convention opened? And that was with the city full of GOP conventioneers ... he doesn't need to be subjected to that. He's doing well going to the smaller cities in states the D's consider theirs.
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