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WHY KERRY WILL LOSE EARLY AND BADLY - (The states he should be winning but isn't)
WMCA, New York/THE KERRY SPOT ^ | 10.27.2004

Posted on 10/27/2004 6:26:06 PM PDT by KMC1

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Depending on the turnout (wink, wink), I am beginning to believe that Kerry will conclude one of the most miserable campaigns for President ever by losing in states he "shouldn't" be early on election night.

Today a new poll showed again that President Bush is dead even with Senator Kerry in New Jersey. This is unbelievable. Al Gore walked away with New Jersey early in the evening in 2000. But if Kerry loses it my prediction is for Bush to almost run the board.

The reasons why Kerry is doing badly in New Jersey is partly not his own doing but his party's. New Jersey has the most corrupt state government in the entire Union. The Democrats are in control of everything - and as could be expected - everything is a mess. Governor McGreevey named his gay lover to the position of "Homeland Security Advisor", the man wasn't even a U.S. Citizen, nor could he even get the clearance needed to attend Federal security briefings. And this is happening in the second most impacted state following 9/11.

BUT weren't those "boys nights out" fun...

The Democratic corruption has left a bad taste, but voters in New Jersey are also realizing that they don't have any state-wide elected officials that they really had a voice in putting there. McGreevey is stepping aside and an "appointed" Governor will run the state for 18 months. One of the Senators bought his way to the Senate. The other was a bait and switch for New Jersey voters.

Look for a voter's rebellion...sick of the corruption, New Jersey voters will choose President Bush as their choice, even some out of protest.

With the 16 electoral votes that go with it, New Jersey will significantly change the electoral college count. And if it goes BUSH early on Tuesday night - a state that BUSH spent almost no money in, Kerry can kiss the White House goodbye.

When you add to the New Jersey equation the fact that Kerry is trailing in Hawaii - which was an 18% win for Gore in 2000 - those combined 20 electoral votes are as big as Ohio. (Another state that President Bush is leading in...)


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bush2004; kerry; kerrylies; kerrysgoingdown; kerrysucks; predictions
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To: hoosiermama

Amen
I will second the emotion. just make sure there are lots of Press and pict's!!!


101 posted on 10/27/2004 10:13:06 PM PDT by CPT Clay (57 in '04)
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To: crabbie

Ehh....I'm not sure if Bush will win NJ and HI.

But the fact that he is so close or AHEAD in NJ, HI, IA, MN, NM, ME, OR, WI, MI, PA......does not bode well for the Lurchster and the Breckster at all.....and u can see it in his eyes....

Honestly, the only Bush states that Kerry is competing for are FL, (long shot.....) OH, and NH.....CO, maybe, doubtful though


102 posted on 10/27/2004 10:13:30 PM PDT by LeftyCrusher
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To: willgolfforfood

just tell me since you seem to be well-informed.....by 8 pm EST, what states does W have to have won in order to be elected?.......


103 posted on 10/27/2004 10:19:30 PM PDT by cherry
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To: KMC1
If you look at the big picture, sKerry had ticked off just about every segment in this country, from religious groups to entire states. He's going to lose by a landslide.
104 posted on 10/27/2004 10:24:59 PM PDT by Lady Jag
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To: bethtopaz

"Right -- you apologize if we received this message in error."

I signed on and posted the email from the Dims for freepers to monitor. One look at my posting history would confirm such. (BTW, I've been posting here for three years vs. your three months.)

Nice try yourself, newbie.


105 posted on 10/28/2004 12:00:06 AM PDT by maggief (... riots afterwards ... Liz Edwards, "...not if we win.")
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To: OldFriend

I grew up in Indiana - where there is a large Amish population. They are good, good people! Good news!!


106 posted on 10/28/2004 1:12:12 AM PDT by bethtopaz (A California Hoosier for Bush -- all the way!! GO W!!!)
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To: maggiefluffs

That's right, I'm new - and I wouldn't know about your history. Please be kind.


107 posted on 10/28/2004 1:19:29 AM PDT by bethtopaz (A California Hoosier for Bush -- all the way!! GO W!!!)
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To: bethtopaz

Evidently a formerly Amish person has been working with the Amish to encourage them to vote. Something, I gather they do not ordinarily do.


108 posted on 10/28/2004 4:04:18 AM PDT by OldFriend (It's the soldier, not the reporter who has given US freedom of the press)
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To: elizabetty

Heheh....nice take.


109 posted on 10/28/2004 4:07:32 AM PDT by Liz (The man who establishes the reputation of rising at dawn, can sleep til noon.)
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To: KMC1

The polling---and a Bush win---reflects voters' smackdown of the gay governor and the corrupt politics he has brought to that state.

Moreso, the close race reflects the antics of Golan (gag) Cipel, and gay NJ Gov McGreevey's most notorious act ---employing his sex partner in a $110,000 state job to head state security. Cipel, (an Israeli national) was forced out when it was revealed his qualifications had been exaggerated, and later said McGreevey harrassed him for sex.

Cipel went to NJ and pretended he was a naive rustic who didn't know the gov was gay and was expecting sex on demand in return for the $110,000 state job. Cipel was a major screw-up, and participated with the corrupt McG
admin in depraved schemes to deceive NJ voters.


Cipel screwed up his HomeSec job, his Mossad mission and his sex duties as the gay gov's playmate.

Now, after his lawyer explained it to him, leech, and professional parasite Cipel is prepared to get US justice by looting the NJ treasury.

OTOH, McGay fellated Cipel, his voter base, and his big buck donor list, all at the same time.


110 posted on 10/28/2004 4:11:41 AM PDT by Liz (The man who establishes the reputation of rising at dawn, can sleep til noon.)
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To: bethtopaz

I am kind ... you are the one on the attack. To check a poster's history click their screen name, and "in forum."


111 posted on 10/28/2004 4:16:41 AM PDT by maggief (... riots afterwards ... Liz Edwards, "...not if we win.")
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To: Malsua

Is Nader on the ballot in NJ? If so, he's a viable alternative to Ketchup Boy for your wife. ;^)


112 posted on 10/28/2004 4:21:35 AM PDT by ABG(anybody but Gore) (Dan Rather plans to spend the winter in Valley Forgery.-hflynn)
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To: bethtopaz

My son's first job out of the Army was for Hillenbrand. He still has good friends living in Indiana.


113 posted on 10/28/2004 4:37:24 AM PDT by OldFriend (It's the soldier, not the reporter who has given US freedom of the press)
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To: KMC1

I remember 4 years ago staying up until 2 or 3am watching the cliffhanger unfold. This year I have taken a vacation day so I can have the night off and plan on a superbowl type party at home in front of the big screen tv. Looking for a celebration and relatively early to bed.


114 posted on 10/28/2004 4:50:26 AM PDT by MomwithHope
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To: elizabetty
exactly...

the crooks haven't made any provisions for generating fake votes in these blue states so will be blindsided and unprepared (unlike Cuyahoga in Ohio, or Broward in Florida where the cheat is already evident)

115 posted on 10/28/2004 4:55:38 AM PDT by chilepepper (The map is not the territory -- Alfred Korzybski)
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To: Twinkie

I'm 34, but have bad eyesight maybe?? ;-)


116 posted on 10/28/2004 8:04:38 AM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: ontos-on
I think New Jersey closes the polls at something like 8pm est.

You are correct; New Jersey polls are open from 6 AM to 8 PM. I have to be at my district polling place to open it up by 5:15 AM Tuesday. When the polls close it generally takes 20 minutes or so to read, record and confirm (re-read and check) the totals. Party representatives are generally there and call in the results to their supervisors.

I physically deliver the results to the borough clerk's office; I believe that they phone them in from there to the county board of elections. So anything sooner than 9 PM is probably based on exit polls.

Some people like to screw around with exit pollsters.

117 posted on 10/28/2004 8:20:14 AM PDT by JimRed (VOTE LIKE YOUR LIFE DEPENDED UPON IT...because it may!)
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To: OldFriend

Indiana - good strong conservative area -- and great place for basketball! When this election is over I'm going to enjoy watching NBA! (With Bush as our CIC!!)


118 posted on 10/28/2004 12:30:01 PM PDT by bethtopaz (A California Hoosier for Bush -- all the way!! GO W!!!)
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To: maggiefluffs

Not attacking, maggiefluffs, just a little taken back.


119 posted on 10/28/2004 12:30:40 PM PDT by bethtopaz (A California Hoosier for Bush -- all the way!! GO W!!!)
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To: OldFriend

Evidently, they are. They live in this country and want us to be safe, too.


120 posted on 10/28/2004 12:31:22 PM PDT by bethtopaz (A California Hoosier for Bush -- all the way!! GO W!!!)
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