Go Dubya!
That's the report I wanted to hear. Late deciders include the "undecided".
Like I've been sayin': Bush, 320 EVs. It won't be all that close.
The beat goes on....
(I wish Sonny was still here!)
Good find. Thanks!
Herman,
Check this post. Rasmussen says the following about undecided voters:
"However, those who decided in the past month favor President Bush by a 57% to 38% margin."
That's pretty darn close to the 2 to 1 break you predicted based on past elections.
Law
OH SH*T!!! Don't tell the DUmmies this!
The undecided voters are supposed to break for the challenger 2 to 1 according to them!
No suprise here. Once again history repeats itself.
"Our sample included 136 Likely Voters who made up their mind over the last week. These voters also appear to be breaking in the President's direction but the small sample size prevents any definitive assessment."
Translation: Almost all of them broke for Bush, but we are not going to report that due to statistical error. We would only report something like that if potential voters were breaking hard for Kerry.
I was channel surfing this morning only to hear Timmy Russert telling Katie that of all those who just registered to vote 50% favored Kerry to 19% who said they would vote for Bush. He went on to say that this was not good news for the President.
Makes sense. I've read a number of people theorize that many watched the debates not so much to gauge John Kerry but to reassess George Bush.
His ability to, overall, do well in the debates *and* talk about a forward-looking agenda served him well, mainly by allowing undecideds to feel "comfortable" with re-electing him.
Works for me.
I tend to believe Dick Morris, who says this could be an extremely high turnout year, and pollsters are just guessing about who will vote and who won't.
Pray for W and Our Troops
lastnight on Greta, Jerry Falwell said that for the last six months, he's been involved in voter registration at over 1,000 (or did he say 2,000) churches... this is not something that has been talked about in the news... it's only the Dem voter registration that they are talking about... wasn't Dr. Dobson doing the same? Jerry Falwell believes the Christian vote is going to turn out even stronger than in 1994... it was not strong in 2000... i believe this is what the media is missing...
BTW, do you think Illinois is any better on the ground than the 8% deficit in the last poll?