There's a pattern here: MI,HI,CT. They are all Kerry "safe states" all showing sudden slippage for Kerry. You can extrapolate that the safe Kerry states are going leaning Kerry, leaning Kerry ones to tossup, and tossups to leaning Bush.
It looks like there's a Kerry bleed going on, and it might be starting to be pronounced. Zogby is now inferring the independents are leaning Bush. This might be causing this slide away from Kerry. Have to keep watching these state polls.
Excellent observation. As you indicated we're seeing real slippage from Blue states, but not Red. I think Kerry's polling last week saw the same thing and that's why we're getting ridiculous moments from his campaign.
Bush is AHEAD in all those "safe Kerry" states you list. Detroit News has Bush up 47-42 now in Michigan. Up 46-45 in Hawaii. Up 49-48 in Connecticut by this poll.
Leaning Kerry states like MN, IA, NM, and WI are now leaning Bush. Tossups, like OH, FL, NH are now probably safe Bush.
Kerry is not dripping blood from a slight cut. He's gushing at this point.
Extrapolate that!