Posted on 10/24/2004 9:15:52 PM PDT by watsonfellow
I just read this on polipundit. 49% to 48%
We see, through a glass, darkly.
Or something profound about polls.
btw....I'm sorry NYC "left" you.
I know the place has been dear to your heart.
CT is bucolic and has lots more folks who will share your values.
Bush 41 won CT in 1988 as did Reagan in 1984 and 1980. Clinton won in 1992, but he won 42% to 36% for Bush and 21.5% for Perot, i.e., more than half the people voted against Clinton.
I don't remember it how Steven W. does.
On the weekend before Election Day, the Mondale crowd ran a TV ad that predicated nuclear holocaust if Reagan were reelected. I remember the WSJ editorial page commented on how incredibly desperate an act the ad was. In defense of Steve W., the MSM may have still been pretending the race was close, but I recall "knowing" that a Reagan re-elect was a foregone conclusion.
Also, on Election Night, I vividly remember Dan Rather coming on and RIGHT AWAY saying that the only drama of the night would be whether Reagan would take all 50 states, or "just" 47-49. Old Dan was trying to set the bar so high that Reagan would "fail," which I guess he did in Dan's eyes when Mondale squeaked by in his home state of MN.
Geez, it's a relief in 2004 to not be limited to the MSM evening news for TV news info.
In my home state of Connecticut, John Kerry leads by a similarly slim seven points in another case of a reliably blue state in danger of going code red.
It is easy enough to attribute these numbers to a post-9/11 mentality, seeing as the great majority of those murdered at the World Trade Center lived in these states--indeed, one of the saddest sights in the nights immediately following that awful day was that of abandoned cars dotting commuter parking lots, never to be reclaimed by their owners.
But it is more than security and revenge factors that may lead to the defection of these new Democrats. Here in the Northeast, we have a strange phenomenon where most of our elected officials represent the Democratic majority, but our governors (even in liberal bastion Massachusetts) are almost all Republicans, reflecting a quirky combination of fiscal conservativism and social liberalism.
Local elections aside, it seems that the many of my fellow Yankees--at least those of the Connecticut variety--are eschewing switch-hitting and considering planting their feet firmly in the right side of the batters box...
...Come November, these new Democrats may not carry the day for President Bush, but as the polls show, they will make many in their party sit up and take notice. But if they flip even one of these states into the red column, it will be a Noreaster that will fell many in its wake.
Excellent- good foresight!
The Hartford Courant, the Torrington Register-Citizen, New Haven and Bridgeport all came out with an endorsement for W on Sunday. I almost passed out in my cheerio's when I read the paper Sunday morning.
Wouldn't it be a hoot if W won Connecticut? it would turn those smug dems on their ear. They haven't even cammpaigned here because they are so confident that they've got us in the bag. It's going to be interesting, to say the least. In my corner of CT, you hardly see a Kerry sign at all, in Litchfield, people are paying 5 bucks a piece for them (that should keep them loyal). Everybody I know is voting for Bush (except for one guy, but there's still a week left).
Really, there's conservatives in Fairfield County? they sure don't have that reputation...
Interesting.
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