Some excerpts from FrontPageMagazine.com's War Blog

FrontPageMagazine.com ^ | October 22, 2004 | FrontPageMagazine

[Jacob Kell]

GALLUP HAS BUSH UP BY SIX IN WISCONSIN

Gallup has George Bush leading John Kerry in the key blue state of Wisconsin by six points, 51-45, when matched head-to-head. When Nader is added into the mix, Bush extends his lead to eight points, 51-43. This polling took place between Oct 16-19, somewhat closer in than the Mason-Dixon polling and less of a weekend poll as well.

The demographics demonstrate a strong Bush surge with our neighbors to the East (head-to-head):

* Bush leads among men by 13 points and even edges Kerry among women, 48-47

* Bush leads in the 18-34 age bracket by seven, 52-45 (in the three-way, he leads by 10, 51-41) and 35-54 by 14. Kerry holds a five-point edge among seniors.

* Kerry leads substantially in Milwaukee (62-36), and edges Bush in the south by a single point (49-48), but everywhere else Bush leads by a wide margin, including the Milwaukee suburbs/exurbs (63-32).

* Bush leads all educational categories except post-graduate by margins outside the error range.

I think we can put Wisconsin in the Bush column along with Iowa, giving Bush an additional 17 electoral votes for November 2nd.

UPDATE: Gallup also has recent polling for Colorado that puts Bush ahead among likely voters by five points, 51-46, in a two-way race.

[madison46]

If Bush can win WI, IA and NM, he could survive a OH loss, but not a Florida loss. Perhaps why kerry is in NM twice..today and Tuesday.

If Bush can cause kerry to fly around while he takes bush trips, so much the better

[q_an_a]

hwat is really interesting to me is that all the polling data is 2-3 days old. in an election that seems like a week. I doubt many people can tell you the day or date of the last debate. 2-3 days is a lifetime.