Rasmussen's 7 day rolling averages for 5 key battleground states (Bush surging in OH)

Rasmussen | 10/21

[ambrose]

Rasmussen's 7 day rolling averages for 5 key battleground states are:

Florida, Bush 49%-47% (This is a 2 point Bush gain from yesterday, and his first one day gain in nearly 12 days)

Michigan, Kerry 49%-46% (This is a 1 point Bush gain from yesterday)

Ohio, Bush 49%-46% (This is a 2 point Bush gain from yesterday)

Minnesota, Tie 47% (This in unchanged from yesterday)

Pennsylvania, Kerry 50%-46% (This is unchanged from yesterday)

[ambrose]

..

[Gunder]

Despite what the talking heads say, Minnesota is shaping up to be THE surprise of election night. (Well, not around FR maybe. We can all see it coming.)

[cdbull23]

but but...i thought we were DOWN 6 points in ohio?!

[RWR8189]

Past days:

Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/20

Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/17

Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/16

Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/14

Rasmussen Battleground Polls Update (10/13)

Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/12

Rasmussen Battleground polls - updated 10/9

Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/8

 

And archived under keyword thanksDUmmies.

[IndianPrincessOK]

this is great! Thanks for sharing..

[counterpunch]

Kerry's best battleground state stand seems to be Pennsylvania, and he's obviously not too comfortable with his standing even there, since he's pulling back most of his resources to campaign there, even flying in Bill Clinton to rally his waning support.

It looks like Kerry knows he's going down and hoe he can at least hold Pennsylvania.

[KJacob]

but but...i thought we were DOWN 6 points in ohio?!

Which one do we believe? Remember Fox has Bush by 5.

[LS]

Cue Randy Quaid from "Independence Day": "I been sayin' it and I been sayin' it. Ain't I been sayin' it?"

Bush will win OH by more than his margin of victory in 2000. Put it in the bank.

[TBBT]

Ohio and Florida - It's better to be ahead... I hope this is an indicator of where these states are breaking...

[demlosers]

look'n good...until the weekend.

[VRWCTexan]

"....going down and hoe....:?

Is that a veiled reference to Bill Klinton??

[jmstein7]

Wow! Good news!

[counterpunch]

I meant "hope"...
But your interpritation is also valid.

[5by5]

I'd like to know how much of a bump each candidate gets when they visit a state. It's starting to look like there's nothing Kerry can do anymore to move his numbers. Hence the need for Clinton and Gore.

I bet the same thing is happening with ad efficiency or how much of an impact each ad has. If this is the case, virtually no amount of money spent on ads will move the numbers. It's a case of diminishing returns.

Internals are just a snapshot of where each candidate is at one moment. The issues of appearance bumps and ad efficiency speak to the candidate's ability to change who people are going to vote in the future. Ultimately this is more telling than the internals.

[VRWCTexan]

Sorry - could not resist!

[Blessed]

By tomorrow Mama T's quote will be showing up in the polls.

[My2Cents]

This is a good report for all the nervous nellies who wondered why Bush hadn't campaigned in Ohio for awhile. I think his campaign knows something the polls aren't showing.

[Gustafm1000]

look'n good...until the weekend

No kidding... I am always so depressed Monday mornings and Tuesdays... But by Thursday and Friday I am buying tickets to the DC for Jan. 20th... Only to repeat the cycle...

This week, Kerry never got it to tied in the WaPo/ABC tracking poll, which means even the weekend effect did not bring him all the way back... I'm hoping for another point out of Zogby and Rasmussen tomorrow and/or Saturday to validate Bush's lead... Then hold on for dear life for the gaggle of weekend polls that'll come out Monday...

[RoseofTexas]

So you mean to tell me BUBBA, aka the RAPIST, aka the GREAT BENT ONE, happens to be the rats October Surprise we've been waiting for??.....BAWHAHAHHAHAHHAHHA!!