Let me see, Bush is doing better than 4 years ago with women, double last time among blacks, better with Hispanics, better with Jews....yet this is a close race?
Something does not add up?
How about odds?
Why are the national polls so out of whack against the state ones?
NO COMPLACENCY..The polls are all over the place...Ignore the polls and get out the vote!..
I still wish he was polling in the 55% range.
This certainly puts the lie to what Ed Schultz keeps screaming about on his radio show. He keeps yelling about how, "Where is Bush going to come up with the votes that he didn't get last time??? Don't tell me that anyone who voted for Gore in the last election is going to vote for Bush now!"
Yeah, Ed. That's what we're telling you. Now shut up and..... Well, just shut up!
(Yes, I do listen to Ed Schultz on an almost daily basis during my drive home. Yes, he makes me totally angry. I can't wait until GWB wins so that he will understand loud and clear what a moron he is.)
Anyone know what the breakdowns by party are here?
I didn't see any indication in the Fox internals, though I may have missed it.
My own back of the envelope figuring looks like about 37D, 32R, 31I, or something like that.
NYSlimes/seeBS poll conducted Oct. 14-17, over a weekend.
Hmmm . . . .
While the president holds a lead, the race is far from over," comments Opinion Dynamics President John Gorman. "One odd factor is that much of the lead is concentrated in the so-called 'red states,' which were pretty much conceded to Bush at the beginning. Thus his national lead does not reflect a big lead in the battleground states that will decide the election. We may well be facing a situation, as we did in 2000, where the popular vote and the electoral vote produce different results."
Job approval numbers are misleading. There are a large number of voters, such as me, who think Bush has not been aggressive enough in the war on terror. Others are unhappy with his drift on immigration or the budget. Those voters are not going to vote for Kerry, and they are not going to stay home. Add that 5-8 percent to the totals, and Bush is much higher in support levels.
And throw Nader in and it's 51-33-4. I'm liking this.
How can that be since Fox claimed that after each debate Bush won in their polls?
Check this out http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6092749/ Bush is ahead 59 to 41
Bush by 7 to 10% on election day. It will be a 42 state sweep.
How exactly does W lose 1% from a 3-way race to a 2-way? Can you see a likely voter saying: "Wait a minute, if Nader is not an option, then ... I don't know if I can see myself voting for Bush anymore..."
It just doesn't compute!
Bush Bounce to the top!
BBTTT!
The internals are very interesting here -- looked more like a one-third, two-thirds split of voters with W getting the big piece of the pie.