South Carolina Ping List
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Posted on 10/11/2004 6:07:50 PM PDT by Kuksool
October 11, 2004--Republican Jim DeMint is leading in the race to become the next United States Senator from South Carolina. However, the race is closer than most analysts had expected it to be. The latest Rasmussen Reports survey shows DeMint holding a 6-point lead, 49% to 43%, over Democrat Inez Tenenbaum.
The survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted Monday, October 6, 2004. Margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
Fifty-two percent (52%) of South Carolina voters have a favorable opinion of DeMint. Forty-seven percent (47%) say the same about Tenenbaum.
When the year began, South Carolina was expected to yield a fairly easy victory for the GOP. Early surveys found DeMint with a double digit lead in his effort to replace retiring Senator Fritz Hollings. However, Tenenbaum has made gains by attacking DeMint's support for replacing the income tax with a national sales tax.
South Carolina remains in the Leans Republican column for our Senate Overview. While either party could gain control of the Senate this November, Democrats will need to win the overwhelming majority of the Toss-Up states.
Senate control will be decided in a handful of close races including seven Toss-Ups--South Dakota, Colorado, Oklahoma, Alaska, North Carolina, Louisiana, and Florida, Democrats are likely to pick up a Republican seat in Illinois. Republicans are likely to pick up a Democratic seat in Georgia.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Ras has a smaller lead for DeMint than other polls are showing. I think Ras polls only count hard core support in their totals. I suspect leaners are put into the undecided column.
6 points is ok but I would like to see this higher. Also does any one have any info. on Rasmussen polling from 2002 for Senate and Gov. Races? Would like to compare to Zogby who blew many races in 2002.
The ads on his 23% sales tax proposal has been pretty effective. Mostly because he hasn't really bothered to address the attack. Jim has made a couple of missteps. He even had to publicly apologize for some comments he made about gay teachers during their debate. He'll win, but only because his opponent is a Kennedy liberal.
The lead should be bigger but the folks here - as a whole - aren't the brightest bulbs in the chandelier - and Inez is running wall to wall commercials on TV and radio scaring people to death about the 23% National sales tax and I think they are working to some degree. It is typical misleading by the DIMS that is met with lackluster explanatory rebuttle by the Repubs.
Republicans assume that people are smart enough to figure it out and DIMS count on the fact that they are not. Old people and poor people are freaked out by having every purchase zapped with a 23% tax bill on top of the 5% state sales tax. After they hear that, they stop listening. It is really sad that people can't read and figure this stuff out...but then we're about 50th in education, so you just go figure....
DeMint has also made some "foot in the mouth" public comments of late and that isn't helping him either.
I think DeMint will win, but it won't be by the double digits that were predicted earlier in the race - unless W's coattails pull him up.
Ah, Kylie, I'm stuck here in CALI HELL and I LOVE your state - you wanna trade!!?? Seriously!
On the whole, the same could be said of the entire electorate (except someone from here would say something more like, "not the sharpest tool in the shed").
So yes, the public's stupidity and the Democrat Ad Machine has them afraid of "DeMint's Big Idea."
However, this dim bulb confidently predicts a double-digit win for DeMint. Inez's attack is peaking a bit too soon. Most everyone who will vote will figure out that the sales tax is in lieu of income tax rather than in addition to.
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The Dems have been pouring on the negative/misleading ads.
This is becoming a problem. It looks like Tennenbaum's negative ads are having an effect. But I don't expect the race to narrow any more. DeMint will have to settle for 52-54% instead of 56-58% on election day. Oh, well.
Inez will be destroyed here,,,,,,,,,,,, complete failure as education secretary,,,,,,,,,,
On the whole, the same could be said of the entire electorate (except someone from here would say something more like, "not the sharpest tool in the shed").
You will not get an argument from me on that!! And I hope you are right on the double digits....I can't imagine having Inez as our senator...just hearing her speak is like fingernails on a chalkboard...
And for the record...any South Carolinian with the good sense to be a FReeper, is necessarily EXCLUDED from my earlier generalization! ;)
Sure didn't work for me this morning ...
HECK NO! I catch a lot of grief around here because I am not a native and I like to razz the locals...but I have been here long enough to know there are worse places...much worse...like Cali Hell for example...LOL! Maybe you can escape soon!!
Heck, Lindsay Graham only got 54.4%
Oh NO, anything but that....LMAO!
GIT'ER DONE!
These polls are bogus -- only loser SC Dems are home to be polled. SC Republicans spend all our time working all week to pay for the mega-boats we sail all weekend.
Republicans will rule the day in SC -- my unscientific poll is the huge number of voter registration ads on conservative Christian radio plus all our active and retired military who hate Kerry.
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