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To: Optimom
The poll of 1,216 likely voters was taken Thursday through Saturday and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points. The final day of polling came after the debate but showed little change in the race.

So only one third of the sample was taken after the debate. Any bounce will probably take a few days to develop anyway, and in a tracking poll it takes even longer, since they hold onto the older numbers for a few days.

3 posted on 10/10/2004 5:29:17 AM PDT by Brandon
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To: Brandon

=Bush up by 6


5 posted on 10/10/2004 5:31:28 AM PDT by cp124 (The Great Wall Mart)
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To: Brandon

Did I read correctly that Zogby selects his voters at random? This does not sound like it would create an accurate picture. I think the samples should be broken down by demographics. For example, how do we know he isnt calling far more women than men?

Speaking of the gender gap, the ABC poll that has Bush up by 4 is more encouraging. It shows Kerry ahead by only 5 among women, but losing by 14 with men! Taking that average, it would seem that Bush should be farther ahead. On ABC radio they said the 2 were evenly split with independents. That sounds like good news to me since other polls show Bush lagging a bit with that group.

Another poll yesterday has Kerry leading with Hispanics by only 10. This is a sizable loss for the Dems since '00. So all the news is not rosy, but Mr Bush seems to be doing OK for now.


10 posted on 10/10/2004 5:36:46 AM PDT by TNCMAXQ
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To: Brandon
What is wrong with Americans!Do they need the terrorists to stick a bomb up their ass before they wise up.Well if Kerry's elected it's a good chance.
16 posted on 10/10/2004 5:48:52 AM PDT by patriciamary
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To: Brandon

I thought a new swift boat ad was coming out,they better hurry there's not much time left!


17 posted on 10/10/2004 5:49:55 AM PDT by patriciamary
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