Did I read correctly that Zogby selects his voters at random? This does not sound like it would create an accurate picture. I think the samples should be broken down by demographics. For example, how do we know he isnt calling far more women than men?
Speaking of the gender gap, the ABC poll that has Bush up by 4 is more encouraging. It shows Kerry ahead by only 5 among women, but losing by 14 with men! Taking that average, it would seem that Bush should be farther ahead. On ABC radio they said the 2 were evenly split with independents. That sounds like good news to me since other polls show Bush lagging a bit with that group.
Another poll yesterday has Kerry leading with Hispanics by only 10. This is a sizable loss for the Dems since '00. So all the news is not rosy, but Mr Bush seems to be doing OK for now.
W up six is about right. And that Ipsos poll is French.