He showed an eroding W lead in the last week but as of yesterday and now today, that erosion is gone.
The only thing I really pay attention to on Ras is his JA number. That has been over 51% since July, as high as 55%. No president has ever lost with that kind of JA rating. Ever.
Voter fraud will account for at least two points for Kerry and turnout for Kerry will be really high, so Bush has to be up by at least 4 or 5.
Tonight's his last chance to put away this twit. If he fails, it will be a 2000 repeat.
Rasmussen also has Bush electoral count at 240 which is the highest it's been.
After tonight's debate (which Bush will win, count on it) I suspect the numbers will be in the range of Bush 54%, Kerry 45%.
Guys, we just have to keep on an even emotional equilibrium. When Freepers & Dittoheads start panicking, its reverberations are felt throughout the country. We must keep our positive, cocky, devil-may-care swagger. That is the attitude that generates the Big Mo.
Glad Bush's bleeding has stopped. Tonight's the night for him to draw some blood of his own and let Kerry hemorrhage for a little while.
Agreed: this is a very positive sign. Now we need W to go out there tonight and open up a Texas-sized can o' Whuppass on the sad sack socialist Senator. Momentum starts with Offense.
In other words, even on his worst day Bush cannot be beaten by Kerry.
Rasmussen's horse race numbers are understated. His polls show Bush is preferred on the economy over Kerry by 4 points. If this were really true, Bush would be *way* ahead. Dems historically have not been competative unless they lead in this category by 7 points.