ABC Poll: What they don't tell you in the spin so you have to pull out of the data they post:
Kerry is viewed less favorably now than on July 25 (47%-49%)
Bush has about the same favorability as in July (53%-54%)
Kerry gained 1 POINT between this poll and pre-debate (LV 45% -> 46%)
Bush lost NO points between this poll and last (LV 51%)
Bush lost NO points with his job approval rating (53%)
Bush has same enthusiasm among his supporters as he had on August 1 (57% - down from 65%). Now Kerry has a 50% enthusiasm among supporters (up from 42%) but DOWN from 59% on August 1.
Bush still trusted 52% to 41% to lead on Iraq - unchanged from pre-debate. Bush still trusted 54% to 38% - unchanged from pre-debate - to lead on terrorism. Iraq and terrorism now beat the economy as top issues voters are worried about. 52% to 40% say Kerry does NOT have a clear plan on Iraq OR terrorism.
Bush
- stronger leader - 58% to 37% unchanged from pre-debate
- more honest - 50% to 39% unchanged from pre-debate
- make country more secure - 52% to 40% unchanged
- better qualified as CiC - 52% to 43%
- women for Bush -> TIE
- men for Bush -> 12 point lead
- independents for Bush -> TIE
Bottomline: internals for Kerry are really bad. There has been some slip for Bush and some gain for Kerry but these are not winning internals for Kerry!
Can anyone explain this? 1,807 adults sampled Including 1,470 registered voters 1,169 likely voters
Doesn't this make 2,639 voters sampled?
Good analysis... They also minimize the support number, saying that only the internals matter. I think the election is close enough that this is clearly false.