To: Momaw Nadon
First question: are the non-winner-take-all states weighted as such, or are they considered here in a winner-take-all way?
Second: is there any analysis of the SENATE? That is almost as important as the Presidential election.
9 posted on
10/04/2004 4:43:20 AM PDT by
LibertarianInExile
(The Fourth Estate is the Fifth Column.)
To: LibertarianInExile
The only current non-wta states are Nebraska and Maine. Nebraska is more likely to vote for me as a write in than it is to give even one EV to Kerry. Maine could split its votes, but if it did, it would most likely just cost Kerry one EV. The bottom line is that it's trivial.
As for the Colorado initiative, I don't believe it will pass, and I believe it will be struck down by the courts if it does.
11 posted on
10/04/2004 4:50:32 AM PDT by
Brandon
To: LibertarianInExile
The non-winner-take-all states such as Maine and Nebraska are considered here in a winner-take-all way because
TradeSports.com does not have separate futures contracts for Congressional Districts in these states.
There are futures contracts for the Senate races on TradeSports.com. The current price for Republicans maintaining control of the US Senate in the 2004 Election is 79.5.
13 posted on
10/04/2004 4:56:43 AM PDT by
Momaw Nadon
(Goals for 2004: Re-elect President Bush, over 60 Republicans in the Senate, and a Republican House.)
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