Posted on 10/02/2004 1:45:56 PM PDT by tsmith130
Edited on 10/02/2004 2:53:28 PM PDT by Admin Moderator. [history]
NEWSWEEK POLL: BUSH LEAD GONE
Sat Oct 02 2004 16:42:32 ET
New York-Sixty-one percent of Americans who watched the first presidential debate on September 30 say Sen. John Kerry won; 19 percent say President George W. Bush won and 16 percent say they tied, according to the latest Newsweek Poll which was conducted after the debate ended. Fifty-six percent say Kerry did better than they expected; 11 percent say so for Bush. Thirty-eight percent say Bush did worse than expected; 3 percent say so for Kerry, the poll shows.
The debate erased the lead the Bush/Cheney ticket has held over Kerry/Edwards in the Newsweek Poll since the Republican convention. In a three-way trial heat including Ralph Nader/Peter Camejo, among registered voters Kerry/Edwards leads Bush/Cheney 47 percent v. 45 percent with 2 percent for Nader/Camejo. In a two-way heat, Kerry/Edwards leads 49 percent v. 46 percent for Bush/Cheney, the poll shows.
A 62-percent majority of viewers says Kerry seemed more confident and self-assured (26% say so for Bush) and 51 percent say Kerry had better command of issues and facts (37% for Bush). Forty-seven percent say Kerry seemed more personally likeable (41 % for Bush) and 49 percent say Kerry came closer to reflecting their own views on most foreign policy issues (43% for Bush). The two were nearly even on several other points, including who came across as a strong leader (47% Kerry, 44% Bush) and who had a better plan for dealing with the situation in Iraq (45% for both). Forty percent of viewers thought Kerry was too wordy and 57 percent thought Bush was too repetitive.
Fifty-seven percent of all poll respondents say they are dissatisfied with the way things are going in the United States at this time. Bush's job approval rating dropped two points from the Sept. 9-10 Newsweek Poll to 46 percent-a 6-point drop since the poll taken during and after the Republican convention. Forty-eight percent of registered voters polled say they would not like to see Bush re-elected but almost as many (46%) say they would.
Excerpt, the rest of the article is here: NEWSWEEK POLL: BUSH LEAD GONE
Don't worry...
The Clintons will not let him win.
Bank on it.
Looks like its time to get to work Freepers.
As insurance in case Bush doesn't make it, you may want to donate to www.NRSC.org and increase our numbers in the Senate!
Nice you have opinions. Too bad the average voter doesn't seem to agree with you.
And Kerry "WON" the debate? Gallup Poll Debate Scorecard
Best of the Web Today - October 1, 2004 ^ | 10/01/04 | By JAMES TARANTO
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1233390/posts
CNN/Gallup poll Debate scorecard
Kerry/Bush
Expressed himself more clearly 60%/32%
Had a good understanding of the issues 41%/41%
Agreed with you more on the issues you care about 46%/49% Was more believable 45%/50%
Was more likable 41%/48%
Demonstrated he is tough enough for the job 37%/54%
Gallup Poll post 1st 2004 Election Debate
(Excerpt) Read more at opinionjournal.com ...
I saw somewhere on here that mondale got a 6 point bump after his first debate win. Doesnt matter much when youre down by 20. Reagan destroyed Mondale in debate #2. When he made the remarks about his opponents youth and inexperience everyone should have just gone home.
Good call!
Kerry, that is.
No...but when I get there I'm sure you'll be there to greet me
I also noticed the polled more women then men...and what about so called "independent" voters....nearly 300 something? The numbers don't wash some-how?
Well maybe he could've used a bit more rest. However, he had just got off from work; and hurricanes don't wait for presidential debates!
Nice you have opinions. Too bad the average voter doesn't seem to agree with you.
And Kerry "WON" the debate? Gallup Poll Debate Scorecard
Best of the Web Today - October 1, 2004 ^ | 10/01/04 | By JAMES TARANTO
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1233390/posts
CNN/Gallup poll Debate scorecard
Kerry/Bush
Expressed himself more clearly 60%/32%
Had a good understanding of the issues 41%/41%
Agreed with you more on the issues you care about 46%/49% Was more believable 45%/50%
Was more likable 41%/48%
Demonstrated he is tough enough for the job 37%/54%
Gallup Poll post 1st 2004 Election Debate
(Excerpt) Read more at opinionjournal.com ...
Don't panic. Look at this website:
http://synapse.princeton.edu/~sam/pollcalc.html
I think Kerry is in big trouble. Nothing seismic has happened, even though W looked pretty weird.
If you go to the above website, you'll see something that we all know. W is in very very good shape for Electoral Votes.
If Kerry is essentially tied in NJ and MN, this is amazingly great news for W.
Great point. Bush won on substance because he is right on the issues, but he missed so many opportunities to stomp on Kerry and subsequently dispirit Kerry's base. No matter how good Bush does from now on, Kerry's voters are energized.
BUT...we have to remember, this election isn't going to be just GIVEN to us. I don't think we are complacent, and maybe I'm trying to look for the silver lining, but maybe we needed this wake-up call, too.
But in the end, nothing substantively has changed. In all cases--debates, conventions--the talking heads say someoen has done a good job, and polls (some or all) show that yeah, others can agree with that. But it levels out to where people are SUBSTANTIVELY.
They are. Unfortunately.
I just don't see how Bush could lose that debate so badly and not have it erode his lead in the polls.
My boss is a huge Bush fan, he lent me his copy of "Unfit for Command" and has been convinced that Kerry is unelectable. But after the debate he said he thinks Bush really blew it, and that the fraud Kerry might actually be able to BS his way into the White House.
I couldn't disagree with him.
I hope Bush can turn this around but right now I am trying to prepare myself for the real possibility that Kerry will win. Ugh!
http://www.prnewswire.com/cgi-bin/stories.pl?ACCT=104&STORY=/www/story/10-02-2004/0002263797&EDATE=
You wrote:
Oh ye of little faith! ;-)
Exactly!!!
No, I'm the one with common sense and my wits about me.
The debates are just a BAD venue; Bush should not participate when there are so many better ways to get the message out.
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