Overnight S&P 500 stock index breaks after Kerry named winner by several media instant polls

Bloomberg TV

[ElRushbo]

If there is any doubt what a Kerry win would mean to the investor class, you only have to look at the immediate 3 point break in the Overnight S&P 500 trade. The market broke 3 full points as soon as the media instant polls were reported showing a win for Kerry

[SierraWasp]

"I no longer listen unless Larry Kudlow is filling for Brinker."

You, OldFriend, are a smart man!!! (I'll give you my birthday if you want an extra one)(grin)

[Joe Republc]

I thought it was to Scalia's remark that sex orgies would relieve social tension!

-- Joe

[gdc61]

whatever

[gdc61]

I honestly wouldn't know any better. I don't do stock. thats why all my posts were in the form of questions. so much for thread titles ;)

[Future Useless Eater]

Per the cBS polling:

PRESIDENTIAL PREFERENCE AMONG UNCOMMITTED

KERRY Pre-Debate 31%
KERRY Post-Debate 38%

BUSH Pre-Debate 19%
BUSH Post-Debate 31%

Ok, so they included some leaners in the Pre-debate just in case one of
the debaters actually LOST ground after the debate, which neither did.

So lets say the pre-debate percentages represented the views of 1000 people…
we toss out the 310 pre-debate Kerry leaners and
we toss out the 190 pre-debate Bush leaners.

THAT leaves exactly 500 actual undecided persons PRE-DEBATE

Bush picked up 120 out of the 500 undecideds (or 24%)
Kerry picked up 70 out of the 500 undecideds (or 14%)

So, applying those pickup's to the R.C.P pre-debate averages yields...

	RCP Average 9/20 - 9/28	Undecided Adjustment Post-Debate
Bush	49.50%	50.72%
Kerry	43.50%	44.21%
Nader	1.90%	1.90%
	Bush +6.0	Bush +6.5

I'd say a full HALF-POINT GAIN for Dubya was a successful Debate!

(and that's even relying on the slanted polls from cBS)

[Moonman62]

Judging from a quality of life standpoint, I'd say your chart indicates that higher debt levels are better. In the mid to late thirties the debt ratio went down dramitically as did the quality of life. In the late sixties and most of the seventies, the debt ratio was flat. Were you alive during that time? Yuck.

[jaydubya2]

I didn't get the same message from Brinker about the debt, but when you put Bush and Kerry's economic policies side by side it seems like Brinker perfers bush's.

I do agree with you on Kudlow, I like his ideas and I don't find myself nodding off as much!