Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Dems Won’t Permit Facts to Get In Way of ’00 Election Myth
john lott dot com ^ | 7-2004 | John Lott

Posted on 09/30/2004 7:30:22 AM PDT by doug from upland

Published Wednesday, July 28, 2004, in Investors Business Daily, p. A14

Dems Won’t Permit Facts to Get In Way of ’00 Election Myth 

By John R. Lott, Jr. and Brian Blase.

You know that the political debate has been poisoned when 85 percent of African-Americans feel President Bush stole the 2000 election. At least that is what a CBS poll released last Friday finds.  

Possibly this just reflects the same 85 percent of African-Americans who disapprove of the job that Bush is doing.  But if no body really believes the election was stolen and it is all window dressing, it is hard to explain why the Democrats keep raising the issue at almost every possible opportunity.   

Michael Moore is not alone in asserting the election was stolen. On   Monday night at the Democratic Convention, both former Vice President   Al Gore and former President Bill Clinton raised the election issue   that “this time every vote is counted” and “this year, we're going to  make sure they're all counted.”  

Before both the NAACP and the Urban League during July, Senator John Kerry said that in 2000 there were “a million disenfranchised African Americans” and that it was the “most tainted election in history.”  

Jesse Jackson recently claimed that “in the year 2000, the loser won and the winner lost” and that “our birthright was stolen.” 

The continued charges of Bush stealing the election from Gore are   remarkable considering that exhaustive studies by the U.S. Commission   on Civil Rights and newspaper organizations have found little, if any   evidence voter harassment, intimidation and disenfranchisement   occurred in Florida.   

Probes Come Up Empty 

The U.S. Commission on Civil Rights began an investigation in January   2001 following the public outcry after the election. Although Democrats   appointed 6 of the 8 commissioners and the hearings were often hostile   toward Republicans, the Commission could not find evidence that a   single person was intimidated, harassed, or prevented from voting by   Florida law enforcement.  

The Commission could not find evidence of systematic disenfranchisement of African-American voters, and concluded that state officials were not at fault for widespread voter disenfranchisement.   

A favorite charge is that Republicans threw African-Americans off the   voter rolls to take votes away from Democrats.  

Florida bans felons from voting, unless they had been granted clemency. Before the 2000 vote, the state hired Database Technologies to purge rolls of felons and dead people.

Unfortunately, some non-felons were erroneously removed from the rolls * but the errors didn’t target minorities.     

  The liberal-leaning Palm Beach Post found that “a review of state   records, internal e-mails of [Database Technologies] employees and   testimony before the Civil Rights Commission and an elections task   force showed no evidence that minorities were specifically targeted.”  

In fact, while more African-Americans were removed from the voter   roles simply because most felons in Florida are black, whites were   twice as likely to be erroneously placed on the list as African-Americans were.   

The evidence does not support the charges that there was a nefarious   plot to deny African-American voters their right to vote.  

In fact, the U.S. Commission on Civil Rights reports that in 24 of the 25 counties with the highest percentage of non-voted ballots for president, the county supervisor was a Democrat. In the remaining county, the   supervisor was an independent.   

Spoiled Ballots   

Additionally, the overall rate of spoiled ballots was 14% higher when the county election supervisor was a Democrat, and 31% higher when the   supervisor was an African American Democrat. The famed butterfly ballots of Palm Beach County were creations of Democrats.  

Thus, if these nonvoted ballots are viewed as disenfranchisement, not simply that some voters didn’t intend to vote in a particular race, then the ire of Democrats should be directed toward Democrats in Florida.   

Recent research published by one of the current authors in the Journal   of Legal Studies shows that if any African-Americans in Florida had an   unusually high rate of spoiled ballots it was African-American   Republicans, not African-American Democrats.  

By income, it was voters with family income over $500,000, hardly a group that one could attribute their nonvoted ballots to mistakes on their part.   

To start the Democratic convention, newspaper headlines blared:   “Democratic Convention aims to stay positive.”  

Of course, there were the obligatory charges from speakers such as Jimmy Carter that President Bush had lied about the Iraq war.  

But Bill Clinton is the master at simultaneously claiming that Democrats have sought to unite Americans, while Republicans “need a divided America,” and lacing his speech with issues that divide Americans: the supposedly stolen election or rich versus poor being just two.  Senator Kerry and the Democratic Party elites will undoubtedly continue to trumpet their message of the 2000 election as “stolen” and *tainted” because it resonates with their base. But at what costs are these short-term electoral gains achieved? How harmful is it to race relations that African-Americans believe that others are conspiring to keep their votes from being counted?   

*John Lott is a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute and   was the statistical expert for the Republican minority on the U.S.   Commission on Civil Rights report on Florida.  

*Brian Blase is a research assistant at the American Enterprise Institute.

Home

Johnlott.org (description of book, downloadable data sets, and discussions of previous controversies)

Academic papers:

Social Science Research Network

Book Reviews:

For a list of book reviews on The Bias Against Guns, click here.

---------------------------------
List of my Op-eds
---------------------------------

Posts by topic

Appalachian law school attack

Baghdad murder rate

Arming Pilots

Fraudulent website pretending to be run by me

The Merced Pitchfork Killings and Vin Suprynowicz's quote

Ayres and Donohue

Stanford Law Review

Mother Jones article

Links

Craig Newmark

Eric Rasmusen

William Sjostrom

Dr. T's EconLinks.com

Interview with National Review Online

Lyonette Louis-Jacques's page on Firearms Regulation Worldwide

The End of Myth: An Interview with Dr. John Lott

Cold Comfort, Economist John Lott discusses the benefits of guns--and the hazards of pointing them out.

An interview with John R. Lott, Jr. author of More Guns, Less Crime: Understanding Crime and Gun Control Laws

Some data not found at www.johnlott.org:

Updated Media Analysis of Appalachian Law School Attack

Since the first news search was done additional news stories have been added to Nexis:

There are thus now 218 unique stories, and a total of 294 stories counting duplicates (the stories in yellow were duplicates): Excel file for general overview and specific stories. Explicit mentions of defensive gun use increase from 2 to 3 now.

Journal of Legal Studies paper on spoiled ballots during the 2000 Presidential Election

Data set from USA Today, STATA 7.0 data set

"Do" File for some of the basic regressions from the paper



TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: lott; novoteforfelons; ratliars

1 posted on 09/30/2004 7:30:22 AM PDT by doug from upland
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: doug from upland

The voter fraud thing mystifies me because IF the Clintonistas are in charge of the Dems and IF the Clintonistas don't want Comrade Kerry to win, then, I would think the Clintonistas would want to "save" the voter fraud explosion for Hillary's election. It would seem if too much emphasis is placed on it now,,there may actually be changes made prior to 2008 that would make it even MORE DIFFICULT for the dems to pull it off.

Does that make sense?


2 posted on 09/30/2004 7:33:53 AM PDT by austinaero
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: doug from upland

The black community has been co-opted by corrupt leadership and now exhibits a third world voting pattern (>90% Democratic). This constituency will remain powerless until it permits open and honest debate within on the most controversial subjects, including education, affirmative action and family responsibility.


3 posted on 09/30/2004 7:34:06 AM PDT by Zebra
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: austinaero

Voter fraud is not controlled by the Clintons. It is simply part of the RAT party establishment.


4 posted on 09/30/2004 7:36:56 AM PDT by doug from upland (Dan Rather is a journalist like Michael Moore is a pole vaulter.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: doug from upland

HOW GEORGE BUSH STOLE THE ELECTION

"Al, this is David Boies. I apologize for calling so late, but this won't wait."

"Look, I know you've already conceded, but I've been talking to some folks in Florida and they think they can find enough extra votes down there to give you the state in a recount."

"Just a recount in Volusia, Palm Beach, Broward, and Miami-Dade counties, though."

"If it goes statewide our people will be spread too thin to keep things under control."

"Do you want to give it a try? At this point you've got nothing to lose."

"That's great, Al. I'll give 'em a call and we'll get this show on the road."

"Call Bush right away to let him know you've changed your mind."

"On second thought, call a press conference first."

"Talk to you later, Mr. President."


5 posted on 09/30/2004 7:38:41 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Drug prohibition laws help fund terrorism.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: austinaero
It is in the interest of the Dems to invalidate every Republican win. This gives them the ammo to put doubt in the voters' minds that they: 1. have any integrity, 2. deserve to hold the office they won, and 3. could have accomplished anything in office with so much opposition to their validly holding office.

In short, it makes snide, cutting remarks like Kerry's, "This is the most lying, most corrupt group of..." appear to be based in reality.

As far as the Clintons are concerned, after Bush wins, they will do everything in their power to continue the stream of venomous hatred the Left has kept alight these past four years, and to add fuel to the fire in 2008.
6 posted on 09/30/2004 7:40:59 AM PDT by Ghost of Philip Marlowe (I'm fresh out of tags. I'll pick some up tomorrow.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: austinaero
The voter fraud thing mystifies me because IF the Clintonistas are in charge of the Dems and IF the Clintonistas don't want Comrade Kerry to win, then, I would think the Clintonistas would want to "save" the voter fraud explosion for Hillary's election.

I think that IF the Clintonistas are in charge of the Dems they don't want Kerry to lose too badly, because that would hurt the credibility (ha!) of the party in the 2008 election. They could, therefore, use voter fraud to engineer a 2-3% loss instead of an 11% wipeout, helping Hillary in 2008 when she wouldn't have to contend with an opponent wrapped in the legacy of an invincible, Reagan-like, George W. Bush.

7 posted on 09/30/2004 7:42:32 AM PDT by Mr. Jeeves
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: All

You guys make good points. I was thinking it could be a "warm up" for more of the same in 2008 as well.

I agree with the post that says the Dems are worried about Comarde Kerry losing by too big a margin.

I think that is ENTIRELY possible. I hope we can make it so, despite the fraud.


8 posted on 09/30/2004 7:45:08 AM PDT by austinaero
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: doug from upland

The voter intimidation/supression myths are being put out there to get blacks angry enough to vote, and to vote against Bush. Simple as that.


9 posted on 09/30/2004 8:00:33 AM PDT by JohnnyZ ("Oh, who cares? You know, one state is not a whole state." --Teresa Heinz Kerry)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: JohnnyZ

"The voter intimidation/supression myths are being put out there to get blacks angry enough to vote, and to vote against Bush. Simple as that."

Or to get the 'rat voters of all races to be able to justify voting multiple times. A percentage of them will try fraud for "the party".


10 posted on 09/30/2004 8:21:30 AM PDT by JSteff
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson