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Bush up BIG in CO, AZ, and VA!
Survey USA ^

Posted on 09/24/2004 6:07:24 PM PDT by Clump

For those of you having a panick attack over Bush dropping to a 6 point lead in the Times poll, please be encouraged by the continuing trend of success in state polling. Bush is solid, and so are we. By the grace of God We will see this thing through.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Arizona; US: Colorado; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: bushsurge; kewl; polls; susa
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1 posted on 09/24/2004 6:07:25 PM PDT by Clump
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To: Clump

Panicking?, You must be joking, I wouldn't trust a Times poll to tell me what day it is...


2 posted on 09/24/2004 6:09:09 PM PDT by karmichit
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To: Clump

The bad news is it's a vanity. The good news is that it's an upbeat vanity by a newbie.


3 posted on 09/24/2004 6:09:14 PM PDT by Stentor
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To: karmichit
I'm sorry, I should have emphasized the sarcasm. I guess the FR community isn't used to me yet. That's OK.
4 posted on 09/24/2004 6:11:12 PM PDT by Clump
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To: Clump

NICE. CO 52-44, AZ 54-43, VA 53-42 - all Bush . The Colorado poll is especially sweet. Arizona was supposed to be a battleground too.


5 posted on 09/24/2004 6:13:38 PM PDT by plushaye (President Bush - Four more years! Thanks Swifties.)
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To: plushaye

Arizona, who cares it's only it's only Arizona! at least this is what Terry Kerry thinks.


6 posted on 09/24/2004 6:16:58 PM PDT by mk2000
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To: Clump

Welcome to FR. I like having sarcastic optimists around.


7 posted on 09/24/2004 6:18:56 PM PDT by EllaMinnow (Dan would RATHER lie.)
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To: Clump

If that electoral college change passes in Colorado, will it affect this election?


8 posted on 09/24/2004 6:25:17 PM PDT by BonnieJ
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To: Clump

Nice post! I love good news. CO has finally broken out of the neck-and-neck state. This is the second poll confirming a good lead by W in CO.


9 posted on 09/24/2004 6:25:40 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds, a pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: Clump
The popular vote is irrelevant.

The electoral vote is all that matters.

Slowly, state by state we are winning the hearts and minds of true patriots.

10 posted on 09/24/2004 6:28:26 PM PDT by OldFriend (It's the soldier, not the reporter who has given US freedom of the press)
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To: BonnieJ

If the pubbies win CO, there will be no change in the electoral vote distribution.


11 posted on 09/24/2004 6:29:22 PM PDT by OldFriend (It's the soldier, not the reporter who has given US freedom of the press)
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To: Clump

Good to see Colorado coming around. I must say I'm a bit concerned over that referendum they have going over there.

Could you imagine the holy hell that will be raised if that goes to court, and the decision ultimately determines the winner?


12 posted on 09/24/2004 6:30:36 PM PDT by Dragonspirit (A RINO is someone not voting for President Bush in 2004 while claiming to be a conservative.)
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To: OldFriend

Latest poll also shows though that a majority of Coloradoans will (foolishly) vote in favor of the electoral vote change. Bad news. Bush may get only 5 of the 9 votes there then, if I am not mistaken. Makes it all the more vital that he take IA, NM, OR, or ME.


13 posted on 09/24/2004 6:31:26 PM PDT by TNCMAXQ
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To: Clump
I'm sorry, I should have emphasized the sarcasm. I guess the FR community isn't used to me yet. That's OK.

Oh yes, we are used to to you.

In fact, I had quite the exchange last night with another new poster.

Please, understand this - I'm not raggin' on you. I am not the Grand Poobah of this forum, by any means - don't claim to be.

I just want you to understand that this forum has been here for a long time. There are rules to this forum. There is/are tons of information to be gleened from this forum.

Such as polling information...what polls are valid, which ones suck, etc.

I do not intend this to dampen your "enthusiasm" for posting........

I do mean to point out to you that if you "lurk" for awhile - get the flavor of what is going on - things will be much easier.

Polls are a favorite topic as of late - do a search and you will find more info on which polls are worth looking at and which ones are not - than you can stand. That is what is the kicker about this site - you can learn a lot. Quite educational, actually. Doing my best to not be an a$$, just trying to point you in the right direction.

LVM

14 posted on 09/24/2004 6:31:37 PM PDT by LasVegasMac (John Kerry says he has changed his mind about all those NO votes in the Senate.)
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To: TNCMAXQ

ME is not a winner take all state for electoral votes. He will definitely pick up some electoral votes there.


15 posted on 09/24/2004 6:36:00 PM PDT by OldFriend (It's the soldier, not the reporter who has given US freedom of the press)
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To: Clump

Welcome to FR.! Im new here also! Just wanted to let you know your post made my day! GO BUSH!


16 posted on 09/24/2004 6:36:57 PM PDT by Bush gal in LA
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To: BonnieJ
I have been trying to find the actual wordage of the referendum on the ballot with no real luck. All I have been able to find out is that the referendum directs the state legislature to institute some type of pro-rata electoral votes based upon the popular vote. I have not been able to find any formula to handle such a distribution. Since I am doing some research into the effect of distributing electoral votes based upon the popular vote I find it is not a simple matter of just taking the ratio between the candidates and applying that to the number of electoral votes allocated to the state. How do you distribute 60% and 40% among six electoral votes? Does that mean 3.6 and 2.4 votes. I don't think they will cut somebody into .6 and .4 parts. Probably in this case it would be 4 and 2 votes. The effect of a third party is significant and can lead to such things as .50, .25, .25. How do you handle that? Is it 3, 1.5, 1.5 or 3, 2, 1 or 4, 1, 1, or? The bottom line is I doubt if the legislature would be able to implement a distribution formula in time to effect the December Electoral College voting, especially with all the law suits which will stop the process.
17 posted on 09/24/2004 6:40:19 PM PDT by ProudFossil
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To: Clump

Oh forgot to add, now find me some good news about CALIFORNIA and Ill do my victory dance for you!


18 posted on 09/24/2004 6:42:58 PM PDT by Bush gal in LA
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To: Clump

It's customary to post numbers:


CO: B52-44
AZ: B54-43
VA: B53-42


19 posted on 09/24/2004 6:45:45 PM PDT by Petronski (What did Terri McAuliffe know and when did she know it?)
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To: Clump; All

Welcome to FR -- thanks for sharing the GREAT polling news for AZ, CO, and VA.

FYI: I posted the following analysis/comments on another thread:

POLLING UPDATE

TIME POLL
9/21-23/04
GWB 48 Kerry 42 Nader 5 (+6)
Job Approval: 53% approve 43% disapprove

AP/IPSOS-REID
9/20-22/04
GWB 52% Kerry 45% (+7)
Job Approval: 54% approve 46% disapprove

MARIST
9/20-22/04
GWB 50% Kerry 44% (+6)

CBSNEWS/NYTIMES
9/20-22/04
GWB 51% Kerry 42% (+9)

FOXNEWS/OPINION DYNAMICS
9/21-22/04
GWB 46% Kerry 42% (+4)
Job Approval: 50% approve 45% disapprove

BOTTOMLINE:
Unlike Kerry, the President has managed to emerge from his convention/post-convention bounce with a LEAD in the polls (a solid 5-7 point lead -- despite beheadings, rising oil prices, and a volatile stock market)!

The race will remain 'close' because the media/entertainment/education cabal will make it so; HOWEVER, the closeness of the national polls is really irrelevant given the realities of our Electoral College system!

To win, all we need to do is get our voters to the polls [Remember, over 90% of Republicans/Republican-leaning Independents plan to vote for the President while only 80% of Democrats plan to vote for Kerry!] If we get our voters to the polls, we will hold the states we won in 2000; in fact, we may even add Iowa, New Mexico, Oregon and Wisconsin to the mix -- giving the President MORE than enough states/EC votes to earn a well-deserved second term in office!


20 posted on 09/24/2004 6:52:05 PM PDT by DrDeb
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